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Started By
Message
IMO based on early voting/history/support this is the definitive current state of the race
Posted on 10/26/20 at 11:58 pm
Posted on 10/26/20 at 11:58 pm
I was torn over Nevada but I don’t like what I’ve seen from the mail in voting and Democrats in control of every level of the election oversight in that state.
Republicans are crushing the comeback trail in Florida and Biden is about 250,000 early votes below his needed advantage. Democrats are underperforming big time in North Carolina. The Biden campaign has pulled out of Ohio. And Iowa is locked in for Trump after the new trade deals.
Trump needs to win a combination of any two of these toss up states plus Maine CD 2 to win re-election.
If those two states are Minnesota and Wisconsin he’d have to throw in Omaha too to win with 269 EVs but If Trump wins Minnesota and Wisconsin he’s going to win every toss up state on this map.
Trump can actually win Pennsylvania with Maine CD 2 and Omaha and get to 269 without winning another state. But I wouldn’t count on Omaha in that scenario.
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 12:05 am
14
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:07 am to The Boat
Trump will win Nevada and Arizona.
Didn’t read.
Didn’t read.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:11 am to Mr Perfect
quote:
91% for nevada
quote:
but you have them as toss ups
Derp look at the map
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:13 am to The Boat
lol my bad on NV
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:13 am to Mr Perfect
quote:
nate silver
quote:
Mr Perfect
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:19 am to The Boat
He’s getting all of them except Arizona. Midwest states will be tight, within a few thousand votes. Biden wins popular vote by 2-4% but Trump has another >300 vote win in the electoral college
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:20 am to Eat Your Crow
what's so funny dude.. you're the one out here saying trump going to win nevada.. basically no chance on that one
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:24 am to Mr Perfect
quote:
nate silver
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:24 am to The Boat
The election comes down to two states imo: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Pennsylvania is by far the most important state left on the board and Wisconsin is Trump's best shot in the upper midwest.
Trump needs to take up residence in Wisconsin over the next week.
Pennsylvania is by far the most important state left on the board and Wisconsin is Trump's best shot in the upper midwest.
Trump needs to take up residence in Wisconsin over the next week.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:28 am to Dr Rosenrosen
nate silver say 89% chance for sleepy in wisconsin.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:35 am to Mr Perfect
quote:
nate silver
The credence that liberals given to this guy is something interesting
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:37 am to Mr Perfect
quote:
nate silver
Just stop
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:38 am to The Boat
I'm thinking Trump will take Virginia.
Bush won it in 2000 with 52%
Bush won it in 2004 with 53%
Obama won it in 2008 with 52%
Obama won it in 2012 with 51%
Hillary won it in 2016 with 49%
Running mate Tim Kaine was US Senator for Va at the time.
Bush won it in 2000 with 52%
Bush won it in 2004 with 53%
Obama won it in 2008 with 52%
Obama won it in 2012 with 51%
Hillary won it in 2016 with 49%
Running mate Tim Kaine was US Senator for Va at the time.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:38 am to Mr Perfect
Rural Wisconsin can put Trump over the top. Remember, Trump won Wiscy in 2016.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:39 am to The Boat
What about New Hampshire?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:39 am to Mr Perfect
quote:after checking the first 2 pages of your post history, are you.....
Mr Perfect
quote:
nate silver
???
If not, You have a very odd obsession
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 12:41 am
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:40 am to LSU6262
hey dude.. I'm just making notes to see if he changes the odds for these states
that way we can see if he shifts his predictions away from sleepy as we get closer to election
that way we can see if he shifts his predictions away from sleepy as we get closer to election
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:41 am to Langland
quote:
thinking Trump will take Virginia.
99% chance for sleepy according to nate silver
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:41 am to Mr Perfect
You are a clown. Go back to the soy board
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