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Message
I’m a medical provider:Why we should be concerned about COVID-19
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:48 pm
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:48 pm
I’m a healthcare provider (PA) and am concerned by the amount of people down playing the seriousness of this virus.
The flu has a mortality rate of about 0.1% vs coronavirus 2-3.4% (CDC and WHO). That mean the coronavirus is 20-34X deadlier than the flu.
-Last flu season 61,000 americans died from the flu.
-if you extrapolate that number for increases deaths for coronavirus for lower to higher death rate estimates: 1.2 million(2%mortality rate) to 2.07 million deaths (3.4% mortality rate)
-The coronavirus has no vaccine and is MUCH MORE INFECTIOUS.
-A significant amount of our population is vaccinated against the flu which protects the populations as a whole. And we have antiviral therapies that reduce severity of influenza such as tamiflu and xofluza.
-With no vaccine, antivirals, and being much more infectious than the flu, the coronavirus could easily kill more than 2 million people.
EDIT**: Young and healthy people have a very low chance of dying (less than 1%) while people 70+ 8-10% chance, and 80+ is a 14.8% according to CDC and WHO.
-Diabetics have a 7% mortality rate and several other chronic conditions such as hypertension, copd etc have elevated death rates.
Ochsner main campus, westbank, and kenner campuses already have areas of units dedicated to people who are currently infected with coronavirus. The official test can take 3-5 days for be able to get absolute confirmation if the virus. Colleagues of mine work on those units treating covid-19 patients. We will hear results and increases in cases soon.
The test is not widely available so most people who get sick wont even get tested or often can have mild symptoms but pass it to others who have a severe response.
Infectious disease experts are predicting 40-60% of population will be infected and the pandemic will last 3-6 months or more
If you are young and healthy but get sick the biggest risk is passing it to elderly.
-One of the inpatient units I work on is a geriatric unit with people 60+ with many 85+, my patients will be in deep trouble if they contract coronavirus and likely > 1in10 wont survive.
Hopefully this helps clear up some of the bullshite that ignorant people with no healthcare knowledge or experience are spreading about how there is nothing to worry about.
The flu has a mortality rate of about 0.1% vs coronavirus 2-3.4% (CDC and WHO). That mean the coronavirus is 20-34X deadlier than the flu.
-Last flu season 61,000 americans died from the flu.
-if you extrapolate that number for increases deaths for coronavirus for lower to higher death rate estimates: 1.2 million(2%mortality rate) to 2.07 million deaths (3.4% mortality rate)
-The coronavirus has no vaccine and is MUCH MORE INFECTIOUS.
-A significant amount of our population is vaccinated against the flu which protects the populations as a whole. And we have antiviral therapies that reduce severity of influenza such as tamiflu and xofluza.
-With no vaccine, antivirals, and being much more infectious than the flu, the coronavirus could easily kill more than 2 million people.
EDIT**: Young and healthy people have a very low chance of dying (less than 1%) while people 70+ 8-10% chance, and 80+ is a 14.8% according to CDC and WHO.
-Diabetics have a 7% mortality rate and several other chronic conditions such as hypertension, copd etc have elevated death rates.
Ochsner main campus, westbank, and kenner campuses already have areas of units dedicated to people who are currently infected with coronavirus. The official test can take 3-5 days for be able to get absolute confirmation if the virus. Colleagues of mine work on those units treating covid-19 patients. We will hear results and increases in cases soon.
The test is not widely available so most people who get sick wont even get tested or often can have mild symptoms but pass it to others who have a severe response.
Infectious disease experts are predicting 40-60% of population will be infected and the pandemic will last 3-6 months or more
If you are young and healthy but get sick the biggest risk is passing it to elderly.
-One of the inpatient units I work on is a geriatric unit with people 60+ with many 85+, my patients will be in deep trouble if they contract coronavirus and likely > 1in10 wont survive.
Hopefully this helps clear up some of the bullshite that ignorant people with no healthcare knowledge or experience are spreading about how there is nothing to worry about.
This post was edited on 3/12/20 at 10:01 pm
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:50 pm to phonyscandals
quote:
Infectious disease experts are predicting 40-60% of population will be infected and the pandemic will last 3-6 months or more
Care to share a link for this? Otherwise it's bullshite
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:51 pm to phonyscandals
quote:
Hopefully this helps clear up some of the bullshite that ignorant people with no healthcare knowledge or experience are spreading about how there is nothing to worry about
You know nothing.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:51 pm to phonyscandals
quote:
The flu has a mortality rate of about 0.1% vs coronavirus 2-3.4% (CDC and WHO).
Dear fricking Lord you are ALL GODDAMNED IDIOTS
How the frick can you ALL not know you're citing TWO DIFFERENT statistics and conflating them.
frick
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:52 pm to phonyscandals
Seems hard to believe that Tom Hanks has a 3-4% chance of dying of this.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:52 pm to phonyscandals
Don’t waste your time. An endless parade of marketing majors and other experts will be downvoting for the reality check.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:53 pm to phonyscandals
Because you’re retarded. You obviously don’t understand how numbers work.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:53 pm to phonyscandals
quote:
Young and healthy people only have about a 3.4% chance of dying, while people 70+ 8-10% chance, and 80+ is a 14.8% according to CDC and WHO.
Always with the China numbers.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:53 pm to phonyscandals
Your an assistant
Ask the doc to come by with real news when he has time
Ask the doc to come by with real news when he has time
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:53 pm to phonyscandals
You want me to panic? Will panic help me survive?
I can do a lot of things, but I can't make my own medicine or medical supplies. That's just how it is.
I can do a lot of things, but I can't make my own medicine or medical supplies. That's just how it is.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:53 pm to phonyscandals
You can't be this dumb, as more people get tested, that rate will come WAY WAY down.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:53 pm to Boatshoes
quote:
An endless parade of marketing majors
When I’m getting flak, I’m over the target.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:54 pm to phonyscandals
I don't buy your story.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:54 pm to Boatshoes
quote:The dude opened up by treating TWO DIFFERENT stats as if they are the same stat.
Don’t waste your time. An endless parade of marketing majors and other experts will be downvoting for the reality check.
You pretty much can't have credibility after that point
Of course, you're a fricking moron too...…..so there's that
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:54 pm to phonyscandals
quote:
Infectious disease experts are predicting 40-60% of population will be infected and the pandemic will last 3-6 months or more
I call bullshite...
Let me guess, you got that from Thalib earlier.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:54 pm to PaperTiger
Virus expert: As much as 70 percent of world's population could get coronavirus
Harvard epidemiologist prediction
LINK
Harvard epidemiologist prediction
LINK
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:54 pm to phonyscandals
quote:
The flu has a mortality rate of about 0.1% vs coronavirus 2-3.4% (CDC and WHO). That mean the coronavirus is 20-34X deadlier than the flu.
You are contradicting sworn Congressional testimony by Dr Fauci this week who stated the mortality rate of Corona is currently 1%.
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:55 pm to phonyscandals
The best data we have at the moment is out of South Korea and the fatality rate is around .7%. The CDC at 2-3% is premature.
You’ve been listening to the Med School hacks.
You’ve been listening to the Med School hacks.
This post was edited on 3/12/20 at 9:57 pm
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:55 pm to phonyscandals
quote:
I’m a healthcare provider (PA)
It was still an undergrad degree when you went to school wasn’t it?
Posted on 3/12/20 at 9:55 pm to phonyscandals
quote:
Virus expert: As much as 70 percent of world's population could get coronavirus
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