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re: Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS reveals prediction

Posted on 5/1/24 at 10:41 pm to
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91100 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 10:41 pm to
quote:

So which Republican would have beaten JB?



muh chris christie DUH!
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
65864 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 10:43 pm to
quote:

Nominating Trump made this an option.


No one who couldn't beat Trump is able to beat Biden.
Posted by shoelessjoe
Member since Jul 2006
11406 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 10:46 pm to
quote:

No one who couldn't beat Trump is able to beat Biden.

But the Ron supporters would have you believe this is false. Usually, these are the same idiots that believe pedo Joe actually received 81 million votes.
Posted by Neutral Underground
Member since Mar 2024
3384 posts
Posted on 5/2/24 at 12:36 am to
"Trump is 0 - 1. Beaten by Biden."

The election was stolen by mail-in ballots and dead voters. Trump will be the next President.
Posted by Drizzt
Cimmeria
Member since Aug 2013
14889 posts
Posted on 5/2/24 at 12:44 am to
I’m never voting for a McCain or Romney or Bush candidate again. You establishment neocons had your chance. You fricked it up.

MAGA bitch.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
39524 posts
Posted on 5/2/24 at 12:49 am to
Is that guy smoking crack? If those are his keys then Trump wins in a landslide
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
39420 posts
Posted on 5/2/24 at 1:11 am to
Why doesn't his 13 keys to win the election include illegal aliens and dead people voting?
Posted by 10thyrsr
Texas
Member since Oct 2020
1152 posts
Posted on 5/2/24 at 1:47 am to
Every year the media rolls out some turd who has never lost in their predictions to tell us how it's gonna go. It never does and they flush the turd and look for the next one with no humility because it wasn't THEM saying it, it was some random that they implied we should trust because of their record.

Final take: frick those guys and the randoms. You would probably do better asking random clowns in action who they thought was going to win.
Posted by LSUFreek
Greater New Orleans
Member since Jan 2007
16312 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 9:46 am to
I remember hearing about this dude before the 2020 election. He was predicting Potato would beat Trump despite the massive Trump rallies & Red Tsunami polling projections. I thought there was no way.

He insists polling & debate results are absolutely worthless, citing as an example of Hillary beating Trump in both pre-election polling data & post-debate polls, whereas his keys supposedly predicted a Trump win. This is pretty scary bc even though it's not final, he currently (post-debate) still has Potato winning again.
Posted by Free888
Member since Oct 2019
3281 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 9:48 am to
quote:

Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.


RFK Jr says hi
Posted by FLTech
he/won
Member since Sep 2017
28255 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 9:52 am to
You are full of shite and wrong as always.

If there it is a fair election without fraud and fake illegal voters, etc…. Trump wins in an epic and dominating landslide.

But there is going to be so much cheating going on, it’s going to be a nail biter
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
12209 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 9:54 am to
quote:

But there is going to be so much cheating going on, it’s going to be a nail biter




That’s not the reason it will be a ‘nail biter’. Donald Trump losing an election doesn’t mean it was ‘rigged’ or that there was ‘cheating’.
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
55327 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 9:55 am to
quote:

He still claims Biden wins.


I agree.
Posted by FLTech
he/won
Member since Sep 2017
28255 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 9:57 am to
Keep thinking that. A lot more people hate Biden and the democrats then Donald Trump this time around.
Posted by tigerfan 64
in the LP
Member since Sep 2016
6471 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 9:59 am to
quote:

Which republican speficially could beat him?


Expect crickets

Any and every republican that couldn't beat Trump - Ron Ricks
Posted by thebigmuffaletta
Member since Aug 2017
15718 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 10:00 am to
quote:

The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.


Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
167539 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 10:00 am to
This guy is stuck in circa 2004 and is in some kind of a bubble to think that the economy is doing well.
Posted by Team Vote
DFW
Member since Aug 2014
7955 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 10:16 am to
Fun to revisit this.

quote:

There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. Incumbency:

Dem convention could be a bloodbath

quote:

The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. Third party

Not for long

quote:

There is no significant third party or independent campaign.

Not sure how “significant” is quantified here. I don’t see RFK getting what Stein and Johnson got in 2016

quote:

Short term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.

Economy not doing great

quote:

Long term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.

See above

quote:

Policy change: The incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy.

Infrastructure bill and a whole bunch of executive orders that will fall to Trump or court challenges thanks to Chevron being overturned

quote:

Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.

Far left pro Hamas protesting and illegal immigrants raping and killing

quote:

Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

Hiding that the president is a dementia patient won’t sit well with voters

quote:

Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.

Afghanistan

quote:

Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs

Only thing worth bragging about here is protecting global shipping from the Houthis, but you can hardly call it a success because they are still doing hoodrat shite even with the Navy out there.

quote:

Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

Biden has none. Kamala has none though the media will project it on to her

quote:

Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic

Trump is more charismatic but also more disliked.

You can argue that all thirteen are working against Biden here.

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