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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 9/1/20 at 2:28 pm to Penrod
Posted on 9/1/20 at 2:28 pm to Penrod
Chrome/others...what are your thoughts on this:
The New York Times Does Accidental Journalism on COVID-19 Testing
PJ Media Rept
So if we do a PCR corona test on an immune person, it is not a virus that is detected, but a small shattered part of the viral genome. The test comes back positive for as long as there are tiny shattered parts of the virus left. Correct: Even if the infectious viruses are long dead, a corona test can come back positive, because the PCR method multiplies even a tiny fraction of the viral genetic material enough [to be detected].
In three sets of testing data that include cycle thresholds, compiled by officials in Massachusetts, New York and Nevada, up to 90 percent of people testing positive carried barely any virus, a review by The Times found.
The New York Times Does Accidental Journalism on COVID-19 Testing
PJ Media Rept
So if we do a PCR corona test on an immune person, it is not a virus that is detected, but a small shattered part of the viral genome. The test comes back positive for as long as there are tiny shattered parts of the virus left. Correct: Even if the infectious viruses are long dead, a corona test can come back positive, because the PCR method multiplies even a tiny fraction of the viral genetic material enough [to be detected].
In three sets of testing data that include cycle thresholds, compiled by officials in Massachusetts, New York and Nevada, up to 90 percent of people testing positive carried barely any virus, a review by The Times found.
0
Posted on 9/1/20 at 2:28 pm to Chromdome35
https://twitter.com/cnnbrk/status/1300878000595046401
quote:
The Florida Department of Health has cut all ties with Quest Diagnostics after the state says the company did not report nearly 75,000 Covid-19 test results dating back to April
Posted on 9/1/20 at 2:35 pm to Chromdome35
Sometimes I have to go to quest in fla. They suck!!!
Posted on 9/1/20 at 4:03 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
the company did not report nearly 75,000 Covid-19 test results
Is this the same company that was reporting 100% positive rates? If so, I think we found the negative test results.
Posted on 9/1/20 at 4:35 pm to NoHoTiger
I believe you are correct. It's likely how they found the 75k missing tests.
Posted on 9/1/20 at 4:37 pm to AUMIS01
Apparently I have a stalker on an info page. Wow
Posted on 9/1/20 at 4:40 pm to dafif
quote:
Apparently I have a stalker on an info page. Wow
?????
Posted on 9/1/20 at 4:55 pm to AUMIS01
quote:
Please do, I've seen some charts that speak to this but without detailed analysis. Summer is almost over and we're just now seeing surges in most of the Midwest states, whereas the sunbelt states all started seeing case growth at exactly the same time. It was incredibly nice here in Georgia in May and we were bumping along at a stable level for a month after the stay at home orders were lifted, then George Floyd, Wendy's, and 4th of July all hit in sequence, and our curve follows those events to a T.
So the studies are a bit all over the place. More recent studies have some relationship. The below from Brazil indicated a linear relationship until you hit 28.5 degrees C, but at that point, the curve flattened.
LINK
One study showed a significant inverse correlation between temperature and deaths/MM, which was interesting.
quote:
We observed a strong, statistically significant inverse correlation between average monthly high temperatures with the number of deaths/1 M people. We confirmed the data by analyzing the correlation with the latitude, which can be considered a proxy for high temperature.
LINK
Same here:
quote:
A highly significant, positive correlation was found between lower death rates and a country's proximity to the equator (Pearson r?=?0.40 P < .0001, 2-tailed t test). The R squared of 0.16 means that 16% of the variation in death rates among nations is accounted for by the latitude of the country. Evidence is presented suggesting a direct correlation between sunlight exposure and reduced mortality.
LINK
Bottom line? Deaths and latitude seem to be correlated, but who knows. More information needed
Posted on 9/1/20 at 5:04 pm to Athanatos
The data analysis post-COVID is going to be interesting. I'm looking forward to knowing the truth. (Assuming we'll get it eventually)
Posted on 9/1/20 at 5:08 pm to dafif
???? Not following you
Posted on 9/1/20 at 5:17 pm to Athanatos
It'll for sure be easier to build studies and draw conclusions once we have something closer to a "final" data set. Doubt we'll ever get the full story, but a lot of PhDs will be minted doing studies of COVID.
Posted on 9/1/20 at 5:29 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State
7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State
7-day average positivity rate
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State
7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State
7-day average positivity rate
This post was edited on 9/1/20 at 5:44 pm
Posted on 9/1/20 at 5:31 pm to Chromdome35
There was some data frickery by Alabama today
From the CTP site:
Bama reported no new tests today, but 1,558 new cases.
It looks to me like the declining trends are all starting to flatten out. Too early to tell yet if this is a back to school spike.
From the CTP site:
quote:
On September 1, 2020, Alabama began displaying the number of people tested by antibody, 54,076 individuals, separately from its main total tested field, which it clarified represents antigen and PCR testing. Its main total tested number dropped by 26,943 the same day. We have reached out to the Alabama Department of Public Health to confirm this drop was due to the removal of the individuals tested by antibodies.
Bama reported no new tests today, but 1,558 new cases.
It looks to me like the declining trends are all starting to flatten out. Too early to tell yet if this is a back to school spike.
This post was edited on 9/1/20 at 5:33 pm
Posted on 9/1/20 at 9:59 pm to Chromdome35
Chromdome35
Not to derail but its not often you provide info and ask a question and get one downvote.
As for the stats, thanks again. I thought the article from the liberal nyt indicating the testing is skewed was important.
Not to derail but its not often you provide info and ask a question and get one downvote.
As for the stats, thanks again. I thought the article from the liberal nyt indicating the testing is skewed was important.
Posted on 9/2/20 at 12:56 pm to dafif
France's 7-day average for daily new cases is now setting daily records. Spain had a lull for a few days, as their Health Department is adjusting how it reports cases (and deaths are rising already). A few Eastern Europe countries are seeing a surge too.
Wonder what the new narrative will be.
Wonder what the new narrative will be.
Posted on 9/2/20 at 4:49 pm to Athanatos
Europe having a rebound in cases was inevitable, hence why I find it laughable that people want to compare us to the "success" of Europe. Not necessarily on this board, rather in general. Northern Italy probably won't see much of a resurgence, along with some sporadic pockets, but their severe lockdowns for several months only delayed the inevitable.
Posted on 9/2/20 at 5:45 pm to AUMIS01
quote:
but their severe lockdowns for several months only delayed the inevitable.
Correct. You have to let this virus run its course. Let it run through the population (not everyone will get it).
Posted on 9/2/20 at 6:06 pm to AUMIS01
Another day under 5% positivity, but the damn death toll is just teasing us now. Almost got below both 30k cases and 1k deaths, but not quite.
Posted on 9/2/20 at 6:17 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State
7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State
7-day average Positivity Rate
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State
7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State
7-day average Positivity Rate
Posted on 9/2/20 at 6:18 pm to Chromdome35
Data frickery from MA today
From CTP
From CTP
quote:
Massachusetts revised their probable case definition, resulting in a drop of 7,757 cumulative cases. To allow a more reasonable view of the current nationwide trends, we placed a zero for MA's daily case today.
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