Favorite team:Vanderbilt 
Location:Baton Rouge
Biography:Parthenogeneically brought into the world fully grown and fully armed.
Interests:Football, debates, food
Occupation:Student
Number of Posts:7494
Registered on:9/2/2010
Online Status:Not Online

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re: The Hill Poll: Biden +3% - Athanatos
[quote]If it's like 2016, you have to assume that Trump is at least 2 pts better than what he's polled at[/quote] It's possible that margin is even bigger electorally speaking. You have to imagine New York, Illinois, and California will be even more anti-Trump this time around. That's a lot of vo...
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re: This is why "All Lives Matter" is a stupid hill to die on - Athanatos
The conservative analogue is pro-life. Both terms with positive word associations but loaded with political associations. Bringing that up gets people doing real mental gymnastics....
Posted on Political Talk
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re: Ohio Governor Mike DeWine Tests Positive For Covid - Athanatos
[quote]scary because that means about 25% chance of death.[/quote] That seems a bit high. Do you have data on that? I'm seeing more like 5%. [link=(https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.27.20141689v1.full.pdf)]LINK[/link] Still not great, sure, but significantly lower than 25%....
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re: Paul Sperry reporting Weissmann is recruiting DOJ "wistleblowers" to tell on Durham. - Athanatos
Isn’t this what Stone got convicted for?...
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re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 5:00 PM 8/7/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day - Athanatos
[quote]In deaths it appears were not growing as much so I'd expect that to peak pretty soon and start dropping since all the other numbers already have and deaths lag everything[/quote] I gotcha. The Gu model has the US peaking as a country on August 12, and that seems pretty plausible at this po...
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re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 5:00 PM 8/7/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day - Athanatos
[quote]Sounds like we're losing momentum for that August 9th peak called a while back.[/quote] How so? ETA: cases or deaths?...
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re: Senile Joe up 39 points in Caleefornia - Athanatos
[quote]What has Trump done that is so specifically bad for California?[/quote] The tax reform on SALT deductions was very bad for California actually....
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re: POTUS Cleans House at TVA - Athanatos
[quote] Historically, it is hard to argue that Reagan wasn't the best President of the last 100 years without using Democrat talking points[/quote] Calvin Coolidge...
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re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 5:00 PM 8/7/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day - Athanatos
[quote]WOM only shows no numbers from CT, KS and RI. All the others states have reported numbers. And the death total is lower than your site. Frustrating that there is no consistency still in reporting data. [/quote] Texas may have reported the numbers after CTP closed their "day" at 4 p.m....
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re: River Pilots in Louisiana for dummies - Athanatos
Minimal restrictions, if any, depending on what you are referring to....
Posted on O-T Lounge
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re: River Pilots in Louisiana for dummies - Athanatos
If you hold a license for Any Gross Tons Oceans, yeah, you can pretty much sail anything and anywhere, except of course where a compulsory pilot is required....
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re: River Pilots in Louisiana for dummies - Athanatos
Why does a river pilot get paid 3x what a similarly credentialed captain does sailing ATBs, Drillships, MPSVs, etc? Although some may be hawsepipers, and thus not graduates from a maritime academy, they all passed the same exams and have comparable sea service. ...
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re: Wisconsin update needed - was there a spike or not... - Athanatos
Political Math is a great follow....
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re: Here comes the NYT with a muh bombshell: barr and Graham putting fbi source in danger - Athanatos
The distinction between the NYT version and the Real Clear Investigations version is telling: [quote]A newly declassified FBI summary of the FBI-Danchenko meeting reveals agents learned that key allegations in the dossier, which claimed Trump engaged in a “well-developed conspiracy of cooperation...
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re: No payroll tax cut in Senate bill - Athanatos
If getting rid of the payroll tax cut gets them business immunity to negligence suits, then I think most businesses would take the immunity hands-down. That's a huge insurance cost reduction....
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re: Paying off car early, how does it affect FICO? - Athanatos
My credit score dropped after I paid off my house. ...
Posted on Money Talk
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re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 5:00 PM 8/7/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day - Athanatos
[quote]I apologize for that. I’ve gotten frustrated with some goofballs on Twitter gaining popularity for their analyses who ignore and/or outright refuse to accept constructive criticism. Yet, you took my harsher criticism more constructively, so you didn’t deserve the harsh criticism.[/quote] ...
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re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 5:00 PM 8/7/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day - Athanatos
[quote]If you’re going to pull to provisional data, then why not pull the actuarial tables which are easy to as well instead of getting obviously nonsensical results which makes the analysis pointless? I mean even using the actuarial tables won’t be perfect, but what you did was just plain nonsensic...
Posted on Political Talk
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re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 5:00 PM 8/7/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day - Athanatos
[quote]now this is a good analytical question. i think youll find this lowers life expectancy but would be curious to see if someone knows how to pull data set or can help with who would have it ill lokk more into it [/quote] I looked at the CDC provisional death data as of July 11, which h...
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re: Follow For Real Election Analysis - Athanatos
This board went down this path in 2012. It was...painful....
Posted on Political Talk
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