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Message
Biden's lead in polling average is the highest at this stage in campaign since 1996
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:28 am
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:28 am
I've said for months that I think Trump will win. And I still believe that. These polls are going to have to really rethink how they are performing after 2 presidential elections that show how off they are.
quote:
Nathaniel Rakich
@baseballot
·
23h
The @FiveThirtyEight nat'l polling average with 34 days until E-Day:
2020: Biden+7.3
2016: Clinton+4.3
2012: Obama+3.5*
2008: Obama+4.3
2004: Bush+5.2*
2000: Gore+0.9
1996: Clinton+14.4
1992: Clinton+11.8
1988: Bush+5.6
1984: Reagan+20.6
1980: Reagan+5.5
1976: Carter+3.3
https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1311343738812235777?s=20
30
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:29 am to Mickey Goldmill
Step 1: stop oversampling Democrats
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:29 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
2020: Biden+7.3
That is just a ridiculous number.
That is made up.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:30 am to Mickey Goldmill
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:30 am to Mickey Goldmill
If our nation used the National vote I might be worried.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:30 am to Mickey Goldmill
Anyone who thinks Trump is leading presently is deluding themselves. And BTW - the polls were pretty accurate in 2016. There's nuance, but the pollsters aren't complete idiots.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:30 am to Mickey Goldmill
Its conditioning us and prepping the line for the steal
We all know it
We all know it
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:31 am to Mickey Goldmill
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:31 am to Mickey Goldmill
When they use D+10 polls instead of D+4 like the electorate will actually be you get a huge Biden lead.
It stupid as hell they come out with polls where the demographics are all over the place with numbers never seen before in an election
It stupid as hell they come out with polls where the demographics are all over the place with numbers never seen before in an election
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:31 am to Mickey Goldmill
Wow...we need to spread the word and mobilize all the Trump supporters.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:31 am to Mickey Goldmill
Trump's Done. It's Over, am I right?
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:31 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
Biden's lead in polling
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:32 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
And BTW - the polls were pretty accurate in 2016.
National polls, sure because states like California exist. State polls were horrible though.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:32 am to Mickey Goldmill
Your Party has adopted the concept of "The Big Lie".....do you know where they got that idea from?
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:32 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
And BTW - the polls were pretty accurate in 2016. There's nuance, but the pollsters aren't complete idiots.
For one the state polls were horribly inaccurate
And two the national polls were closer to accurate because they came out with real polls at the very end because they want to actually be right and didn’t think they needed to suppress Trump support anymore.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:32 am to Mickey Goldmill
a focused poll of Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida and Pennsylvania, maybe Arizona and NC together would be way more useful, thats what we come down to. hillary won nationally by 3 million votes. It didnt help.
This post was edited on 10/1/20 at 11:34 am
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:33 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
Biden's lead in polling
quote:
Mickey Goldmill
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:33 am to Mickey Goldmill
I can’t believe these idiots are gonna fall for these bullshite fake news polls AGAIN!
I will be very interested to see how the polls react to being wrong again after this election
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:33 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
And BTW - the polls were pretty accurate in 2016
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:33 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
There's nuance, but the pollsters aren't complete idiots.
:lol: 
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