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re: Where are the hurricanes we were promised?

Posted on 7/23/24 at 2:58 pm to
Posted by Boondock Saint
The Boondocks
Member since Oct 2005
4838 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 2:58 pm to
Posted by Bamafig
Member since Nov 2018
6464 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:07 pm to
I don’t know about gumbo, but crawfish is way overrated. Shrimp is better in all ways.
Posted by Dixie2023
Member since Mar 2023
5189 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:20 pm to
Was just talking about this today. It’s not end of August yet. That’s when we tend to get hit.
Posted by Rabby
Member since Mar 2021
1724 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:36 pm to
Whether this was a pathetic troll attempt or you really are this insensitive is irrelevant. Just set the keyboard down until further notice. December might suffice...
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
39590 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:37 pm to
Shut the frick up dork
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
17110 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 10:21 am to
quote:

Bamafig


You question the forecasts for this year but fail to see that the forecast was for the entire season which we have barely begun.

* I am not a meteorologist but my understanding is:

We already had a Cat5 in late June or early July. This was very unusual. The reason it is unusual to see a storm that strong early in the season is that USUALLY conditions are not favorable during the early season for a strong storm to form. During that time of year (and now) we usually see more wind shear, sinking winds, and a lot of dust. All these things work against storm formation.

USUALLY the dust dissipates late July-early August and we start seeing more storms. That is exactly what is happening now. The forecasts have not changed and things (atmospherically) are still in line with expectations.

Most tropical meteorologists (that I have read about) say that in a couple of weeks they expect the dust train from Africa to end and shear to be less. This is a common occurrence during this time of year. These new conditions will lead to the Atlantic\Caribbean to be more conductive to storm formations. And with the unusually warm water in the area where most storms form we are still looking at the chances for a very active season.

I am certainly not wanting any storms to make landfall but I understand that some will and we all need to be prepared for that.
Posted by Higgysmalls
Ft Lauderdale
Member since Jun 2016
7955 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 10:33 am to
Business could use a hurricane or two right now
Posted by George Dickel
Member since Jun 2019
2246 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 10:35 am to
Some poster does this every year as a troll. Congrats on the troll … but man…. this ain’t cool.
/smdh
Posted by zsav77
Member since Oct 2011
6280 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Bamafig


Admins should make an exception and edit your user name to actual Bamafag. It’s very fitting.
Posted by Bamafig
Member since Nov 2018
6464 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 11:00 am to
Run it up the flagpole Zsa Zsa. Is that big blonde the look you go for when you do “story time” with the neighborhood kids?
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80790 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 11:01 am to
quote:

Bamafig


Aptly named.

I hope to God we don't need to bump this thread in the future.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216453 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 11:01 am to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 11:04 am to
quote:

Most tropical meteorologists (that I have read about) say that in a couple of weeks they expect the dust train from Africa to end and shear to be less. This is a common occurrence during this time of year. These new conditions will lead to the Atlantic\Caribbean to be more conductive to storm formations. And with the unusually warm water in the area where most storms form we are still looking at the chances for a very active season.


The upper levels are going to be mostly switched on by next week. There are gonna need to be a few sacrificial waves, i think, to moisten things up.

Generally thinking second week of August this shite turns on. Gotta keep an eye out for quick homebrews over the next two weeks. Upper levels being more favorable allow more quick spin ups.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 11:13 am to
I queried ChatGPT about Saharan dust because I was curious. This is the result.



Also this:

What influence does Saharan dust over the Atlantic have on the Atlantic basin hurricane season?


ChatGPT
Saharan dust has a significant impact on the Atlantic basin hurricane season in several ways:

Suppression of Hurricane Formation: The dry air associated with Saharan dust can inhibit the development of tropical cyclones. Dry air can penetrate the moist environment needed for cyclone formation, reducing the likelihood of thunderstorms developing into tropical storms or hurricanes.

Increased Wind Shear: The Saharan Air Layer (SAL), which often accompanies Saharan dust, brings strong winds at mid-levels of the atmosphere. This increased wind shear can disrupt the organization of thunderstorms and hinder the formation and intensification of tropical cyclones.

Solar Radiation and Cooling: Saharan dust particles reflect and absorb sunlight, which can cool the ocean surface below. Cooler sea surface temperatures reduce the energy available for tropical cyclone formation and intensification, as hurricanes rely on warm ocean water to gain strength.

Cloud Formation: Dust particles can act as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), affecting cloud properties and precipitation patterns. While this can sometimes promote cloud formation, it can also stabilize the atmosphere by creating a layer of warm, dry air that suppresses convection.

Air Quality and Health Impacts: While not directly related to hurricane formation, Saharan dust can impact air quality across the Atlantic, including in the Caribbean and southeastern United States. This can have health implications for respiratory conditions and visibility.

In summary, Saharan dust generally acts to suppress the development and intensification of hurricanes in the Atlantic basin through mechanisms such as dry air intrusion, increased wind shear, and cooling of sea surface temperatures.
This post was edited on 7/24/24 at 11:16 am
Posted by SteelerBravesDawg
Member since Sep 2020
43337 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Bamafig

Why?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51688 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 11:16 am to
It’s still July. The peak of the season is not until mid-September. Right now there is a lot of dry, dusty air across the main development region. That is likely to change down the road.
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
15007 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 11:34 am to
Are you nuts? Don't ask that....
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
48820 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 12:46 pm to
fun fact
Saharan dust also feeds the South American rain forests…tens of thousands of tons of phosphorus fall there each year
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43294 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 1:59 pm to
Since thread has been made the Euro is coming awake with action down the road.
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
31550 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 2:40 pm to
What the hell is wrong with you people.
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