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Message

re: The math for buying a home no longer works, per WSJ

Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:32 am to
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29311 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:32 am to
They don't even mention HOI.

Hell I bought my house for 220,000 about 7 years ago at about a 4% rate....today the amount going into my escrow for HOI/tax is way more that what is going to my premium...the total opposite of how it started in 2016.

So hell even if you make median income and you could afford the 200K-ish house....hell can you afford to insure it????

Thankfully I make way more than the median income and I'm not close to house poor even with the stupid insurance but I imagine a lot of people are.
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
66922 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:33 am to
quote:

Buying a house to live in and calling it an investment has never been a good idea. At any time in history if you broke even after taxes, insurance, interest and maintenance you were fortunate. If you did the maintenance yourself you may have saved some money but you had an opportunity cost that is impossible to calculate. If you did make more than it cost to own and you did not down size or buy again in an area where prices had not increased all you did was swap one "asset" for another of equal value. This does not include the fact that owning a pile of bricks can be an anchor that keeps you from growing your career and taking advantage of opportunities. Owning a home is an expense. If you are fortunate it may not cost you much more than renting to own it. The piece of mind from owning is very valuable to some but that is often replaced by regret over the costs of owning



883 characters typed to say absolutely nothing.
Posted by lockthevaught
Member since Jan 2013
2359 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:34 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 9:47 am
Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
3570 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:34 am to
Sweat equity still isn’t free. You need materials and tools oftentimes to do the renovations. Most FTHB don’t have the funds lying around liquid to buy a house and then dump 20-30k into renovations.
Posted by lockthevaught
Member since Jan 2013
2359 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:34 am to
quote:

First time home buyers should be buying below their income levels.


The biggest problem is most banks won't give you a mortgage that small because there's not enough profit in a small loan for the lender.

It's easier to get approved for a $200-300k loan vs a $50-150k loan.

The current system does not allow most people to buy below their income
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 9:37 am
Posted by Rick9Plus
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2020
1724 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:35 am to
With these prices and interest rates, I wouldn’t be able to afford my current home if i bought it today, and my income has gone up by about 30% since i bought it.
Posted by alajones
Huntsvegas
Member since Oct 2005
34493 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:37 am to
quote:

how does one address this without putting millions of people on trains and sending them to a camp?
Enforce criminal justice
Posted by Lake08
Member since Jun 2023
563 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:39 am to
Haven’t bought a house in over 15 years and was fortunate enough to not have a mortgage. I’ve always heard 20% down. Learned something new today
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53059 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:42 am to
quote:

Ya boy is a young millennial that owns a house. I’m like a king amongst the proletariat

How’d you get a house if you spend so much on funkos and avocado toast?
Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
10520 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:42 am to
quote:

You can get a conventional mortgage with only 3% down
That is exactly what I did back in 2021.

Got the seller to pay the closing costs by adding that to the price of the house, put 3% down, and locked in a 3.2% rate.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120340 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:42 am to
You will own nothing

And you will be happy
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7169 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:42 am to
I live in a county and city comprised of mostly upper middle class families with teens and retired people (also a LOT of military families who receive some serious housing stipends). It would be impossible anywhere in that county to buy a lot big enough for a well and septic tank, or one on county utilities, and build a modest home on it....the dirt is too damned expensive. It is too damned expensive in part due to demand but it also is a function of zoning that requires massive lots and restrictive covenants, allowed by zoning, which increase the costs of anything built in the county. About 95% of the development in the county in the last 20 years has consisted of tract house development with 4000 square foot, 5 bedroom 4 bath houses on 1/10th acre lots. A 1/4 acre lot is huge and a 1/2 acre lot looks like an estate. Those houses are selling for around $450K. Most of them have 3-5 people living in them. Those houses are what is required to make building lucrative enough to be worthwhile because of zoning and building codes that have nothing at all to do with owner safety and everything to do with keeping real estate prices as high as possible. There have been some proposals to build smaller houses, even condos and other attached residences...almost all BUT luxury condos have ever been approved. There is a market for smaller, less expensive moderate houses in the US and they can be built...but the margins are not attractive to developers and bankers and they control the market. This county is not unique, almost all of any area in the country close to jobs and services is identical. There is no way a family of 4 needs 4000 square feet of 5 br 4 bath house...but thats what is being built.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
30593 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:43 am to
quote:

I followed this advice and didn't buy a house in 2019. Yeah I am bitter.

It was and still is sound advice. You were an unfortunate victim of circumstances. But to be fair, had you bought in 2019, you would have been extremely mad in 2021 when the rates were 2% lower than what you bought at
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
30593 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:44 am to
quote:

The biggest problem is most banks won't give you a mortgage that small. It's easier to get approved for a $200k loan vs a 100k loan.

$200k loan is fine. We’re talking about an average monthly income of $78k. They shouldn’t buy a $400k house like the article is suggesting, but a $200-250k is perfect as a starter home
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167351 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Most FTHB don’t have the funds lying around liquid to buy a house and then dump 20-30k into renovations.



Are you aware that there are mortgage products made specifically to address this issue?


quote:

Section 203(k) insurance enables homebuyers and homeowners to finance both the purchase (or refinancing) of a house and the cost of its rehabilitation through a single mortgage or to finance the rehabilitation of their existing home.




HUD
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167351 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:52 am to
quote:

I live in a county and city comprised of mostly upper middle class families with teens and retired people (also a LOT of military families who receive some serious housing stipends). It would be impossible anywhere in that county to buy a lot big enough for a well and septic tank, or one on county utilities, and build a modest home on it....the dirt is too damned expensive. It is too damned expensive in part due to demand but it also is a function of zoning that requires massive lots and restrictive covenants, allowed by zoning, which increase the costs of anything built in the county. About 95% of the development in the county in the last 20 years has consisted of tract house development with 4000 square foot, 5 bedroom 4 bath houses on 1/10th acre lots. A 1/4 acre lot is huge and a 1/2 acre lot looks like an estate. Those houses are selling for around $450K. Most of them have 3-5 people living in them. Those houses are what is required to make building lucrative enough to be worthwhile because of zoning and building codes that have nothing at all to do with owner safety and everything to do with keeping real estate prices as high as possible. There have been some proposals to build smaller houses, even condos and other attached residences...almost all BUT luxury condos have ever been approved. There is a market for smaller, less expensive moderate houses in the US and they can be built...but the margins are not attractive to developers and bankers and they control the market. This county is not unique, almost all of any area in the country close to jobs and services is identical. There is no way a family of 4 needs 4000 square feet of 5 br 4 bath house...but thats what is being built.




You type a lot to say nothing
Posted by Geauxld Finger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
31749 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:52 am to
quote:

Also, I’ve been saying for years that there are an assload of affordable houses, they’re just in neighborhoods where people don’t want to live. Addressing this issue would bring housing prices down also


So I should buy a home in North BR?
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35391 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:53 am to
quote:

That is exactly what I did back in 2021. Got the seller to pay the closing costs by adding that to the price of the house, put 3% down, and locked in a 3.2% rate.


Man, you should have waited a few years and saved up more so you didn’t have to pay pmi.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167351 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:54 am to
quote:

So I should buy a home in North BR?



For a good deal? Sure then section 8 it and use that income to afford a better personal house.

Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35391 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:54 am to
quote:

It was and still is sound advice


No it’s not.
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