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re: The math for buying a home no longer works, per WSJ

Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:54 am to
Posted by GreatLakesTiger24
One State Solution
Member since May 2012
55725 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:54 am to
quote:

You will own nothing

And you will be happy


more of a "your kids will be shanked in elementary school and you will be happy" in this case
Posted by dsides
Member since Jan 2013
5370 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:55 am to
Dudes won’t buy what they can afford because she “needs” and open kitchen, walk in closet, play room for the kids and two washing machines. Gotta keep up.
Posted by armsdealer
Member since Feb 2016
11515 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:55 am to
It says "individual" income but that sure looks like median household income.

Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35389 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:56 am to
quote:

But to be fair, had you bought in 2019, you would have been extremely mad in 2021 when the rates were 2% lower than what you bought at


Holy shite lol
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167350 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:59 am to
quote:

But to be fair, had you bought in 2019, you would have been extremely mad in 2021 when the rates were 2% lower than what you bought at


Holy shite lol



Apparently buying in 2019 would have kept a person from refinancing in 2021 according to Upperdecker
Posted by ApexHunterNetcode
Member since Aug 2023
267 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:59 am to
quote:

how?


Primarily by focusing on individual income vs household income. If one person makes $200k+ and the other makes $20k doing something that is a passion, the person making $20k is not at a disadvantage.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
32549 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:00 am to
quote:

First time home buyers should be buying below their income levels. That allows them to build up equity and stay within an appropriate % of their income. Once they build up equity, buying housing appropriate to their income level becomes more attainable, and eventually may be able to buy above their income level

I have friends who did this. They are stuck in a house they've outgrown and probably make 1.5x what their house is worth, but don't feel like they can afford (or just don't want to afford) to buy something larger in this current market.

On the other hand, we bought a house that was about 3x our gross, but that we could grow into as our family grows and our incomes grow. We're locked into a 2.75% interest rate on a home that is now less than 2x our income and we have space to have more kids (currently only have 1).
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 10:04 am
Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
13490 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:01 am to
quote:

eems like you're missing the point of this thread.

The average hope price is 400+k
Median income *now* isn't able to support buying at the average house price

Has nothing to do with buying outside your means brah.



Put differently, housing costs are far, FAR outpacing wage growth. Gap is biggest it has been in modernity.



Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
13490 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:03 am to
quote:

A large proportion of families now have duel incomes. It seems statistics are slanted to ignore. Although one may argue that an increasing number of households require at least 2 incomes just to stay above water.



Two incomes means much higher child care costs due to daycare, which is OUTRAGEOUS. Add skyrocketing private school costs because the public school system is failing in most parts of the country.

But yeah, DINKs have it made I guess. Most people would like to have kids though.
Posted by alajones
Huntsvegas
Member since Oct 2005
34492 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:04 am to
quote:

So I should buy a home in North BR?
No, the local governments should enforce existing criminal codes so people would rather live in town. The ratio of areas where you don’t want to live would drop down, more neighborhoods would be open for development, there wouldn’t be a constant exodus to suburbs that strains the infrastructure of a city, lowers the value of homes in cities, etc.

It’s a cycle.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35389 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:06 am to
quote:

I have friends who did this. They are stuck in a house they've outgrown and probably make 1.5x what their house is worth, but don't feel like they can afford (or just don't want to afford) to buy something larger in this current market.


Yep. When we were looking for a first home my parents said we should look at 2/1’s with ~1k sqft.

My god that would have been a fricking horrible decision. After closing costs coming and going to get into a bigger house once we had even just one child we would have been down pretty substantially vs just buying a house that one could reasonably grow into with a couple of kids.
Posted by GreatLakesTiger24
One State Solution
Member since May 2012
55725 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Primarily by focusing on individual income vs household income. If one person makes $200k+ and the other makes $20k doing something that is a passion, the person making $20k is not at a disadvantage.
this is household income
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25664 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:08 am to
Don't buy a median home.

There is a large percentage of the population that rents.

This type of "oh my gawd" journalism is tiresome.
Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
3570 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Most FTHB don’t have the funds lying around liquid to buy a house and then dump 20-30k into renovations.



Are you aware that there are mortgage products made specifically to address this issue?


quote:
Section 203(k) insurance enables homebuyers and homeowners to finance both the purchase (or refinancing) of a house and the cost of its rehabilitation through a single mortgage or to finance the rehabilitation of their existing home.



HUD




Like I said, it still isn't free. And on top of that, a 203k doesn't really fit your sweat equity point because you have to hire contractors to do the work acccording to the rules and guidelines of the loan. Fundamentally, you're just borrowing additional money. It's also, by definition, a loan. You'll be paying all of those renovation costs back to the lender, with interest.


You also better hope you pick a good contractor who doesn't bail in the middle of the job or that your lender is very much on the ball. It's a lot of moving parts to keep track of and if any of them go wrong, you can end up in a bad spot.


Not to mention closing can take longer and you'll have to pay insurance on the loan as well. I'm not saying it's impossible, but it's not as nickel and dime to do as maybe is portrayed.
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 10:09 am
Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
13490 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:11 am to
quote:

but a $200-250k is perfect as a starter home


Houses at this price that aren't in horrible areas of town or complete shitholes aren't really available in most places.

We bought a small spot in a "gentrifying" area and flipped it and then flipped another until landing in current spot. But if we were in our 20s again, we couldn't afford to do this. shite is so damn expensive now.
Posted by 904
Forever under I-10
Member since Dec 2009
792 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:15 am to
quote:

I have friends who did this. They are stuck in a house they've outgrown and probably make 1.5x what their house is worth, but don't feel like they can afford (or just don't want to afford) to buy something larger in this current market.

On the other hand, we bought a house that was about 3x our gross, but that we could grow into as our family grows and our incomes grow. We're locked into a 2.75% interest rate on a home that is now less than 2x our income and we have space to have more kids (currently only have 1).

Truth, if you can swing it. And everyone wonders why people aren't having kids until their 30's now. Some of these responses are out of touch with reality.

I say all of this as a current 2bed 1bath homeowner
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71443 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:16 am to
quote:

It was and still is sound advice. You were an unfortunate victim of circumstances. But to be fair, had you bought in 2019, you would have been extremely mad in 2021 when the rates were 2% lower than what you bought at



I generally avoid loans with buyout payments, and I probably would have refinanced. Also, not truly that concerned about interest as I tend to pay a lot more principle than suggested. I get the argument for investing the differences, and I know it's not the most financially smart move out there, but I hate debt.

That being said, my current interest rate is 7.5%, so argument is moot.
Posted by ApexHunterNetcode
Member since Aug 2023
267 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:19 am to
quote:

For this year, an individual earning the median income in the U.S. — $78,642 — would have needed to allocate over 40% of their income to monthly housing costs when purchasing a median-priced home, valued at around $400,000, as per Redfin's findings. This represents the highest percentage in Redfin's records dating back to 2012, indicating an almost 3% increase from the previous year.

unusual whales tweets:

At current rates, the average household could spend more than 60% of its monthly income on mortgage payments, assuming a 10% down payment, per Credit News.

51% of Americans make a median annual salary of $75,000.

They can afford a home that costs about $256,000, per the National Association of Realtors.

The median home price in the United States is $431,000, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data.



It's mixed data. Ultimately doesn't matter though. The wage/housing gap is massive, the middle class is screwed and the largest asset class that previously led to wealth generation in the US is now generating wealth for an increasing number of foreign and domestic entities vs individuals.
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19182 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:20 am to


...and this graph ends in 2020...before the big increase in the OP.
Posted by 904
Forever under I-10
Member since Dec 2009
792 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:20 am to
quote:

You shouldn’t, but you can. Some people only put down 3 or 5% even. Which jacks up their mortgage costs on a monthly basis so high with straight principal plus PMI that it takes them a long time to actually build equity


Or you could buy a house with 0% (zero) down like we did

The OT isn't gonna like this
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