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Message

re: The math for buying a home no longer works, per WSJ

Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:39 pm to
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
31551 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

Very good point and goes against what I've been saying. Yes, if living in Louisiana, insurance can be a killer. I agree with what you are saying.

Hell I’m fortunate. I have a guy that works for me that is now paying more in escrow than he is towards his principal. And what other choice does he have? No one is going to buy that house from him right now, with rates being what they are coupled with insurance being what it is.

My point is a lot of people have taken it on the chin in the last four years. Expenses can increase overnight, but how many people can just cut $1000 - $2000 out of their budget overnight? And all these keyboard warriors posting nonsense about living on $200/week in disposable income is just stupid. Hell I spend more than that some weeks on random crap I have to pay for that my kids need for school.
Posted by Mushroom1968
Shreveport
Member since Jun 2023
6272 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

would probably be more expensive to live without a smartphone these days than without one. They're pretty cheap these days. Even Dirt poor eastwards in rural Africa are carrying smart phones these day



I mean that’s good. I said earlier, my daughter and SIL live in downtown Houston, own a home. She’s an occupational therapist and he does HVAC. He cut out his CrossFit to help buy it. They don’t have cable or home internet but do have smart phones. They live in a nice area. I have no idea how much he makes or how much their home cost. They have one son, we help out as much as possible with grandson but we live in Shreveport
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 9:42 pm
Posted by Mushroom1968
Shreveport
Member since Jun 2023
6272 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

My point is a lot of people have taken it on the chin in the last four years. Expenses can increase overnight, but how many people can just cut $1000 - $2000 out of their budget


No doubt, I don’t disagree with anybody. I may have poor ways of explaining my points. I know it’s difficult, but it’s been difficult in prior years also.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
63615 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

If 50 is a boomer then you are correct


It's the mentality. Like I said, you're only a few years older than me. We should have relatively similar viewpoints about many things. But your description of life in general makes me think that you're 20 years older than you are.
Posted by yaboidarrell
westbank
Member since Feb 2017
6454 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

Drive around any neighborhood in the Austin area



And you lost me right there. Love Texas, no desire to live in Austin or do things that Austin residents do.
Single family homes turning into rentals isn't just a city problem. It's happening big time in the suburbs too. Lots of homes for rent in Cedar Park, Leander, Round Rock, Georgetown, DFW burbs, etc. It seems there's more homes for rent than for sale. Frustrating as hell.
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
31551 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

2023 is a completely different world in terms of technology though, and internet access via whatever is a necessity for anyone who’s employed, is looking for employment, or does more than go to the grocery once a week. Also, if you have kids but no internet today, you’re putting them at a major disadvantage to their peers.

Since Covid it’s impossible. Prior to Covid a lot of kids schools were going to online grade distribution and assignments. We had to pay $60/year for renweb so we could access my daughter’s grades and reports. Once Covid hit, and especially during, everything was online. They had to sit through webex, do online quizzes, and upload homework and school work. Half the retail establishments were online pickup only.

Going back a few years, but I think 03 was the last time you could phone in the schedule classes at LSU. (Anyone else remember sitting on hold on REGGIE?)

Posted by Mushroom1968
Shreveport
Member since Jun 2023
6272 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 9:50 pm to
quote:

It's the mentality. Like I said, you're only a few years older than me. We should have relatively similar viewpoints about many things. But your description of life in general makes me think that you're 20 years older than you are.


I grew up poor, dad worked New Orleans fire when I was young, became a drunk, turned into a mechanic. Mom had health problems, cancer, heart problems, assisted at an elementary school. That’s probably my viewpoint. I lived as young adult without nice or extra must have things also. I’m not saying people HAVE to live that way, but you most certainly can
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
31551 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:04 pm to
quote:

I know it’s difficult, but it’s been difficult in prior years also.

And that’s the point some of you people just don’t get, and why I think we’re heading towards a major shakeup in how we do business in general.

First everyone wanted workers to get degrees, so workers got degrees. Then they wanted degree and experience, so you got the degree and you got internships. Then they wanted advanced degrees, so more and more people are getting mbas, etc.

Then the recession hit in 09, and everyone stopped hiring and only wanted people with experience. The future didn’t matter, we just wanted to survive. So, in a lot of industries, young people suddenly found it really difficult to get a job, and one that paid well enough to cover the cost of that education.

Now fast forward a decade later, and all those companies who’ve not really hired in the last ten years are seeing their workforces age out. And there’s a huge experience gap. And they don’t understand why young people come thru the door and can’t replace people that have been there for 30 years on day 1. And there no mentors left as they’ve all noped out and retired. Then add in a lot of these people worked at a time when pensions/ retirement plans existed beyond 401k match, and they don’t understand why these young people want more money and job hop.

Yes times have been hard before, but we’ve never been in a situation where the generation entering the workforce is saddled with so much competitive disadvantage when you factor in all these things. Most are paying on student loans, have the extra monthly expenses like cell phones and internet, and are facing a market where their earning power doesn’t support ever gettin to where they can afford a place of their own. And no guaranteed retirement. So a starting salary today of $60k is not what it was 30 years ago. Salaries have not increased to account for all this extra stuff, so all it does is set them further back.
Posted by Kingshakabooboo
Member since Nov 2012
1890 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

Im having a hard time thinking a state licensed tradesman can only make $26/hr. That's what helper apprentices make


Don’t know what to tell you. Keep in mind he has only had his journeyman’s for right at a year now. I’m sure there are 35 year old plumbers with 10 years experience that make way more than $26 but he is 24 and had his license for a year. He was recruited by the largest plumbing/HVAC company in town the other day and told they would start him at $28 and give him a take home truck. He turned it down because where he is now they do strictly new construction. So no service calls in peoples nasty arse houses and no weekend or night work. Plus his boss paid for his classes and is a really great guy to work for. He literally treats my son as good as his own who also works for him. His son is already talking about changing career fields. He is only planning on working for 5-10 more years. I think he is grooming my boy to take over the business when he retires. Has already mentioned to him that he would pay for his classes if he wanted to take some general business courses at the local community college.
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 10:13 pm
Posted by extremetigerfanatic
Member since Oct 2003
5999 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:11 pm to
Why would a young person be looking at a 400,000 house in any normal market?

You need a 5 bedroom house? Or need to live on 2 acres?

Get a starter home and build equity. This acts like that’s not out there.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26797 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:13 pm to
It is possible to live cheaply if you want to.

Cheap cell phones.
Free internet at the library and hot spots.

Shower and hot water at planet fitness.

If you don't have money for something, you aren't at a disadvantage if you can solve problems.

Are you a problem maker or problem solver?

When my wife and I bought our first home (2003), we didn't have satellite, cable, or internet.

We had internet at work.
We got ABC, CBS, PBS, etc.. on our TV (also had a vcr).
You get by.
Posted by SoDakHawk
South Dakota
Member since Jun 2014
10642 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:21 pm to
When I read articles like this I am thankful that I live in a rural state like South Dakota or Iowa (born and raised in Iowa and still on the state border). Home prices are still very affordable in smaller towns and cities in the Midwest.

But don't you all start moving here, I like it the way it is.

Decades ago the population would move to seek better opportunities or a life that was better, more affordable, more reasonable, with opportunities to raise a family in a good community. Now, people would rather complain that they can't afford to live in a "highly desirable" area.

"Highly desirable". That's in the eye of the beholder. You couldn't pay me to live in places like California or other places like that. Where I live is a great place. If others don't see it that way, that's their loss. Enjoy renting.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
63615 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

Free internet at the library and hot spots.

Shower and hot water at planet fitness.




Just be homeless. That's cheap too!
Posted by Masterag
'Round Dallas
Member since Sep 2014
20252 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

Biden made it illegal for millenials to own houses


This has been happening for long before Biden. But Obama sped it up quickly.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26797 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:36 pm to
I've had people tell me that they needed to get to McDonald's so they could look something up.

My wife works in a quasi-government agency that helps non-profits.
They assist quite a few people living in cars who can afford the amenities of a $10/month planet fitness membership.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
63615 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 10:59 pm to
quote:

My wife works in a quasi-government agency that helps non-profits.
They assist quite a few people living in cars who can afford the amenities of a $10/month planet fitness membership.


Well, there you go. But aren't those people being spendthrifts? Why should they waste money on a car? Again, just be homeless. A tent is cheaper than a car.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26797 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

But aren't those people being spendthrifts?

Trolling aside, everyone has a different definition of "the basics".

I kind of get disappointed in humanity at how quickly strangers on the internet throw their hands up and say ,"that's not possible. Not probable. Not practicle."

6 million years of human evolution and the internet is filled with a bunch of pussies who get more pleasure out of being trolls and complainers than actually achieving a dream or goal with no excuses.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20081 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 11:06 pm to
We’re in a housing bubble. The pricing over the last few years have exploded. A real bubble is one you’re in and don’t see and a lot of people don’t see this.

There will be a correction - it will happen. I don’t know what the catalyst will be but when housing prices are this high and rates are this high….something will give.

ETA: part of the bubble is everyone thinking they need to own whatever the bubble is. Why do so many single individuals think they need a house? I never would have dreamed of buying a house until I was married with a dual income. No way I wanted to tie my career to a mortgage and house. When in was singe I rented with a few friends…best time of my life.
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 11:21 pm
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
150315 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 11:10 pm to
quote:

He cut out his CrossFit to help buy it.
and I'm sure he is still telling you all about it
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26797 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 11:20 pm to
quote:

We’re in a housing bubble. The pricing over the last few years have exploded. A real bubble is one you’re in and don’t see and a lot of people don’t see this.

There will be a correction - it will happen. I don’t know what the catalyst will be but when housing prices are this high and rates are this high….something will give.



There is a bubble only if unemployment explodes.

And then it really wasn't a bubble. It was funded/propped by full employment.

Interest rates. Housing prices. Investors. Those are all minor contributors to the current state of housing.
If one of them changes, you won't see a change in housing.

Literally, it will take 5% unemployment to show any affect on housing prices. 10% and you get a huge crash.
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