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Message

re: The curve has begun to flatten. This shite is on its way out.

Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:29 am to
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216685 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:29 am to
It's gonna get real bad.i stocked up the other day for about two weeks worth. After that not sure what will be available or if I can even get somewhere to stock up again.
Posted by Ryan3232
Valet driver for TD staff
Member since Dec 2008
27985 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:29 am to
quote:


Let’s not start sucking each others dicks just yet.

fine......
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:29 am to
quote:


after 2-3 weeks you're going to see mass unemployment start and then it snowballs



I agree. If or when it hits its going to hit hard all the way up the food chain.
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6388 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:30 am to
quote:

fter that not sure what will be available or if I can even get somewhere to stock up again.


They are not closing grocery stores down and America's food supply is going to be fine. You can wipe your arse with a rag
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481222 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:31 am to
quote:

hopefully in 2/3 weeks it really will be flattening

again. flattening doesn't mean stopping it. it's just controlling the spread over a long period of time

hong kong eased up and their numbers spiked up again

south korea is going to be a major outlier and that's b/c of geography and culture more than anything

japan isn't really testing, so their data is unreliable

china is straight up lying about their numbers. russia too. i don't think india is even testing

quote:

we'll have a more developed economic response plan

our economy is $1.5T/month
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
88509 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:31 am to
quote:

The latest round of testing has driven the rate of positive tests down to 28% in Louisiana. Remember, these are the folks who had to get a doctors permission to be tested in the first place


That's good news for sure.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86738 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Hospitalization rate is the number we should be looking closer at, and it's not about where that number is today but where it will be 2 weeks from now.


I heard this 2 weeks ago

how long are we going to keep saying "lets see in 2 weeks"?
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:31 am to
Yeah that timeline ain't gonna fly. We'll be in serious dire straits and people will start going back to work pretty soon short of martial law being instated. This is unprecedented in American history outside of wartime, and I don't think people will stay tolerant and patient very long.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 10:41 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481222 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:32 am to
quote:

how long are we going to keep saying "lets see in 2 weeks"?

per the imperial college, about 17.5 months
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:32 am to
quote:


It's gonna get real bad.i stocked up the other day for about two weeks worth. After that not sure what will be available or if I can even get somewhere to stock up again.



I’m stocked for about a month as far as essential Necessities.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86738 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:33 am to
quote:

again. flattening doesn't mean stopping it. it's just controlling the spread over a long period of time

hong kong eased up and their numbers spiked up again


anyone with any sense knows that we will have continued spikes

the point is to get past the initial and maybe the 2nd spike, as those will be the highest, which each spike after getting lower

as Tiguar said in the mega thread, handling a virus with 10-20% herd immunity is incredibly easier than handling a virus with 0% herd immunity

Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216685 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:33 am to
Not sure about supplies at stores. The other day the store I went to was struggling to keep shelves even half full.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86738 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:34 am to
quote:

per the imperial college, about 17.5 months



right but that doesn't take into any economic or political considerations

its useless IMO
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481222 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:34 am to
quote:

anyone with any sense knows that we will have continued spikes

the point is to get past the initial and maybe the 2nd spike, as those will be the highest, which each spike after getting lower

as Tiguar said in the mega thread, handling a virus with 10-20% herd immunity is incredibly easier than handling a virus with 0% herd immunity

our best case scenario in this plan is just rolling crisis areas

but that makes the way we quarantined terrible
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:34 am to
My concern is dealing with the secondary spikes. How will we? We can't keep locking down. We HAVE to dramatically increase capacity and equipment very soon so we can fight it without shutting our lives down. We also need to test a lot more to catch a new outbreak quickly
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 10:36 am
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:35 am to
You can’t even make any analysis from the numbers for another few weeks. Right now, cases are directly related to testing, not the spread of the disease.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184680 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:35 am to
quote:


You do realize the CDC said this was going to happen due to the amount of test available earlier this week. That isn’t an increase in cases, it is an increase in test. The mortality rate is dropping like a rock.



Logic isn't welcome here. We need more fear and panic
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
88509 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:36 am to
quote:

marshal law


Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:36 am to
quote:

My concern is dealing with the secondary spikes. How will we? We can't keep locking down.


My wife and I were talking about this last night.

You know there’s going to be a second wave. It’s just inevitable
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 10:37 am
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216685 posts
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:37 am to
The store I went to was limiting supplies to one each on items. How long that will last is unknown. Keeping the grocery stores may be open, but if you can't get what you need then it's useless.
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