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Message
re: SW LA getting rocked by severe storms this morning.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 12:53 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 5/18/21 at 12:53 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 5/18/21 at 12:54 pm to soccerfüt
Damn they found a body in one of the cars that went into the water under the bluebonnet overpass. Several cars submerged and piled up right there
I thought it was supposed to be bad today? It’s sunny skies In br right now
I thought it was supposed to be bad today? It’s sunny skies In br right now
Posted on 5/18/21 at 1:02 pm to LegendInMyMind
Is this a tropical system ? Radar shows what appears to be a closed low NNE of Folsom.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 1:11 pm to michael corleone
quote:
This has been my point forever. There is little to no recorded weather data for North America and South America prior to 1800. At best we have 200 years of data, with 150 or so at most being “reliable”. As a result , anytime you hear “1000 year event “ or “500 year event ”, it should be taken with a grain of salt. This includes temperatures. We really have no clue from a statistical standpoint what sort of weather events occurred prior to 1800, let alone their severity. Everything is extrapolated from 150 years worth of data. That’s like basing a QB or RB’s career average upon Week 1 performance data. It’s illogical and irresponsible to advise the public that anything is a 500/1000 year event. Better off comparing it to a known record : built to Katrina flood height;built to 1983 or 2016 flood height, etc.
There is a good amount of Army Corps research on this and it results in the need for 300-400 years of observational history before 1%/100-yr annual recurrence interval estimates converge (See work by Beth Faber, USACE-HEC if you want to go down some nerd rabbit holes).
Posted on 5/18/21 at 1:28 pm to Midtiger farm
quote:
don't be suprised if the ridge thats moving in Friday stays a while and we have a dry June
Promise?
Posted on 5/18/21 at 1:40 pm to Midtiger farm
quote:
don't be suprised if the ridge thats moving in Friday stays a while and we have a dry June
Historically, wet springs lead to dry summers with the death ridge taking hold. It doesn't mean that will happen, but that certainly does provide some protection for the western gulf coast.
The trade off is a brutal arse hot summer.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 2:12 pm to soccerfüt
quote:
better off to take Garp's advice and stayed
We’ve factored in “pre-disastered” a couple of times.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 2:13 pm to Tiger in the Sticks
Are we gonna get hit pretty hard again in BR? Know some people with water still almost all the way in the yard...
This post was edited on 5/18/21 at 2:13 pm
Posted on 5/18/21 at 2:35 pm to MrJimBeam
quote:
Are we gonna get hit pretty hard again in BR? Know some people with water still almost all the way in the yard...
Looks like a big yellow band coming, those kept popping up those random red cells last night when I was watching the radar
Posted on 5/18/21 at 3:20 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
Tornado Warning with a TDS near New Hebron, MS.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 3:22 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
The trade off is a brutal arse hot summer.
Do you promise?
After what feels like a decade of nearly swimming on my commute, i'd give anything for a solid couple months of steady weather in the summer.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 3:23 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
The sun is out for the first time since Sunday in SWLA!
Posted on 5/18/21 at 3:24 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
The rain isn't as heavy, even in the red areas as last night looking at the radar. Though there's plenty of afternoon to go and this looks like another day where someone is going to get a ton of rain but it's near impossible to say exactly where until they get 5" in 30 minutes.
This post was edited on 5/18/21 at 3:25 pm
Posted on 5/18/21 at 3:45 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Historically, wet springs lead to dry summers with the death ridge taking hold.
That's my band's new name.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 3:54 pm to A Smoke Break
quote:
Do you promise?
I wish I could though again temps soaring above 100 for weeks at a time suck bad too. Though the trade off is protection from hurricanes.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 4:00 pm to Oates Mustache
Is it gonna rumble in Houston tonight or nah
Posted on 5/18/21 at 4:00 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Timelapse video of the Lubbock storm last night from @TexasTech:
quote:
Stunning footage from last night’s storm southwest of Lubbock.
??: Dr. Christopher Weiss, Professor of Atmospheric Science at Texas Tech. LINK
Bigger storm than that last night in the Quad.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 4:01 pm to Duke
Is it just me, or is the Bayou Fountain gage ( BBRL-1) rising again? Is this due to backwater flooding? I thought we weren't supposed to have that this time?
ETA: Nevermind about the other part, the campus lakes drain to Bayou Duplantier which drains to Dawson Creek, not Bayou Fountain.
ETA: Nevermind about the other part, the campus lakes drain to Bayou Duplantier which drains to Dawson Creek, not Bayou Fountain.
This post was edited on 5/18/21 at 4:27 pm
Posted on 5/18/21 at 4:03 pm to Oates Mustache
I hate extreme heat but I’d take that as a trade off if it meant the end of dodging storms for the summer. I’ve had it with the weather. We’ve had a month of weekly severe storm possibilities. And we’re not even technically in hurricane season, which for south Louisiana, usually doesn’t get cranked up until late August.
This post was edited on 5/18/21 at 4:05 pm
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