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Started By
Message
re: Storm Watch- Gulf- Tropical Depression- Northward Miss. Valley
Posted on 6/1/20 at 1:52 pm to Hulkklogan
Posted on 6/1/20 at 1:52 pm to Hulkklogan
Didn't know that either!
0
Posted on 6/1/20 at 2:19 pm to Ponchy Tiger
quote:
I don’t have time to deal with a storm so I am going to stock up get gas and be ready that will guarantee it won’t amount to anything
Thanks for doing your part
Posted on 6/1/20 at 2:39 pm to The Boat
Coronacane here we come!
Posted on 6/1/20 at 2:59 pm to deuce985
Latest Euro Ensembles
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:09 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
Latest Euro Ensembles
So, somewhere between Brownsville, Texas and Mobile, Alabama
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:13 pm to paperwasp
2020 is one of the shittier years I can remember so why not make it even more shittier with this.
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:24 pm to rds dc
quote:
Upgraded to TD3.
Next name is Cristobal
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:25 pm to rds dc
quote:
Obviously, that can change in just a few model runs but at a minimum areas along the Gulf Coast need to keep an eye out for heavy rain.
Wishcasters right now
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:25 pm to lsugolfredman
There's a cluster of 4 or 5 strong tropical storm/minor hurricane ensembles heading to the central Louisiana coast from Vermilion Bay to Terrebonne Parish. I think that may be the first little "mini cluster" in Louisiana I've seen from the stronger Euro ensembles this system.
I read somewhere else that there's a bit of support for it to be faster and miss an upper level low in the southern Gulf, allowing for it to be a tad stronger and further to the north. They noted that that support was still not believed to be gospel by the NHC yet.
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:52 pm to TDsngumbo
We got a depression
Time for a sticky
Time for a sticky
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:53 pm to The Boat
Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:57 pm to udtiger
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:58 pm to The Boat
quote:
Time for a sticky
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:04 pm to TDsngumbo
The weather channel cone is the PJ special
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:08 pm to The Boat
I don't think I've ever seen a projection that so clearly demonstrates that they have no clue what's going to happen
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:13 pm to Hulkklogan
quote:
I don't think I've ever seen a projection that so clearly demonstrates that they have no clue what's going to happen
On the contrary, they're basically telling you they think it will meander in one general spot for 5 days.
Remember the "cone" is really just 5 circles based on projected center locations and average margin of error in the last 5 years.
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:14 pm to Hulkklogan
quote:
I don't think I've ever seen a projection that so clearly demonstrates that they have no clue what's going to happen
a storm that's expected to stall out or just meander about will have a cone that more resembles a circle
like this
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:17 pm to rt3
quote:
a storm that's expected to stall out or just meander about will have a cone that more resembles a circle
In fairness, the track is very uncertain outside of the first two days.
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:20 pm to Duke
quote:
In fairness, the track is very uncertain outside of the first two days.
The NHC should consider some form of confidence forecasting cones. Using the last few years or errors doesn't illustrate the confidence or lack thereof in a particular forecast. The discussion helps, but the masses don't read that kind of thing.
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