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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/25/21 at 4:56 pm to
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

That being said, theres a lot pointing to that northern one winning out.


So far, 18z GFS strongly agrees with this. Much further north and east. Downstream impacts are likely to reflect this change (think Central LA coast) for this run.
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
19222 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 4:56 pm to
I realize how little I understand about this stuff when I read some of the posts in here.

Rds may as well be speaking Greek, I just read it and pretend I know what he’s saying.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18050 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 4:57 pm to
18z gfs... looks like for 12z Friday it has that northern vort stronger than it was last run. Or am I not looking at it right?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50648 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 4:57 pm to
Have we ever learned who rds really is or am I way behind on that front?
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Have we ever learned who rds really is or am I way behind on that front?


Bob Breck using his Vipr Elite model.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 4:58 pm
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7975 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:00 pm to
interesting... 18Z GFS has it crashing into Cuba MUCH more than it did on 12Z

wtf... is this a throw-away run?
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 5:03 pm
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:03 pm to
Yeah this looks like it will be a lot farther east
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1772 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:03 pm to
Noticing that also…
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

Y'all have no idea how insightful rds's posts are now that I understand 95% of it.


I can tell they are, but it's like if I tried breaking down how an ISP network operates.. it's just a foreign language
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
16607 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:06 pm to
quote:

Yeah this looks like it will be a lot farther east


Maybe keep tracking towards tLandmass or Bama?
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:07 pm to
Looks like its headed for the mouth of the river.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43294 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:08 pm to
Grand Isle to me looks like
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
24148 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

So far, 18z GFS strongly agrees with this. Much further north and east. Downstream impacts are likely to reflect this change (think Central LA coast) for this run.




so where you thinking landfall?
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1278 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:09 pm to


I think I'm just going to stop looking at model runs until this thing has a center.

I guess if nothing else, these runs are probably setting the eastern edge of days 4 and 5 of the first cone.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 5:12 pm
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182142 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:09 pm to
Uh oh....



Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:10 pm to
From yesterday this thing has gone from Texas to now models getting close to New Orleans. If I was on the right side of Louisiana I would start to pay attention to this.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 5:11 pm
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

Have we ever learned who rds


Margaret Orr
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
40302 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:11 pm to
Still early in the game but the eastern trends are worrying. We'll know a lot more tomorrow.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9356 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:11 pm to
SELA hurricane force shield ON [OFF]
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84299 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 5:12 pm to
We'll pretty much know where it's going Friday morning.
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