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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired

Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:27 am to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Especially considering how far that is from the radar site.


That is what can be misleading in strong hurricanes. The radar beam has to penetrate so much weather to get through and detect what is farther out that it doesn't see the 'weaker' echoes or doesn't show the true strength of the stronger ones.

It looks like there may be gaps in the precipitation but there are not really any. The core of the storm is solid torrential rainfall in a storm of this strength.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:32 am to
quote:

That is what can be misleading in strong hurricanes. The radar beam has to penetrate so much weather to get through and detect what is farther out that it doesn't see the 'weaker' echoes or doesn't show the true strength of the stronger ones.

It looks like there may be gaps in the precipitation but there are not really any. The core of the storm is solid torrential rainfall in a storm of this strength.

Yeah, that is one of the primary factors as to why radar isn't showing as much convection on the east side. The radar is have to penetrate everything on the west side, plus it is far away and the beam just ends up being too high.

The fact that the eyewall convection looks that impressive, considering the distance and the convection the radar beam has to go through, is troubling.
This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 10:34 am
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:33 am to


This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 10:34 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:36 am to
Even if the eye stays just off shore like the 4km NAM is suggesting there, the onshore flow would still create bad storm surge. Plus there would be plenty of rough weather from the bands.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:37 am to
I wouldn't want to be anywhere near that thing.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:38 am to
12z GFS for tomorrow afternoon in Gainesville... power outages seem unavoidable.

Posted by NOLA1128
Member since Dec 2011
3936 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:39 am to
Well, y'all, it's almost official.
I'm riding this one out unless the 2 pm/5 pm show a MAJOR change in track.

Even though we would be in TS winds at 5, I'd be driving about 15 miles away from where I am now. I could do that.

Wish me luck. Beer time begins now
Oh, and considering I likely won't have power come gameday (if it's Saturday)
Posted by EffingTiger
Member since Nov 2015
333 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:39 am to
quote:

tke857




No chit. Just massive.
Posted by PurpGold 14-0
Member since Nov 2012
3801 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:40 am to
quote:

tke857


Don't take that downvote personally. It isn't about you. It's because I had to just check my pants because I may have shite myself.
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
72081 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Why are there so many people playing on Juno Beach behind the weather channel guy?



I live 5 mins from Juno. It's really nice here right now Quite a few things open actually.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:40 am to
I saw the GFS model last night and it went absolutely full retard. It had the storm looping around and hitting Florida again. I can't imagine that scenario is very likely?

Posted by mouton
Savannah,Ga
Member since Aug 2006
28276 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:41 am to
Not looking good for me here in Savannah. The issued a mandatory evacuation for us this morning but we are going to ride it out.
Posted by GeauxTigers777
Member since Oct 2007
1593 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:41 am to
Just an update. They expanded the evacuation zones to cover my house. We are running for cover. Prayers to all involved.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:44 am to
mouton you're from the Lafayette/south Louisiana area. Why in God's name would you ride it out??? Please don't do that. And if you do make sure you use a sharpie to write your SSN on yourself and your family AND put an ax in your attic.

Good luck.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:44 am to
Go 777 ... stay safe.
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:45 am to
My daughter attends SCAD. They booted them out today. We just spent a week on Tybee Island...makes me sad to imagine what this storm will do to this area. Prayers for you. Stay safe.
Posted by Wally Sparks
Atlanta
Member since Feb 2013
32706 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:47 am to
RIP Nassau:

Posted by AU24
Toomers Corner
Member since Dec 2014
4523 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:49 am to
"This AIT no blizzard"

Angry weather channel guy
Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
157551 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:50 am to
quote:

My daughter attends SCAD


Need to catch you in another thread about SCAD. My daughter has interest.
Posted by Carolina_Girl
South Cackalacky
Member since Apr 2012
23973 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 10:57 am to
quote:

I am wondering if Nikki is going to call back the buses to evac. Locally here in coastal Carolina Wilm, people are talking... saying she went too far with buses. Maybe she did this when she thought Cat4-5? And the buses thing; is it for the extreme poor or for the ones who are refusing to leave? There are ALWAYS people that refuse to leave. Some people are more worried about their material things to guard? than their life?


I'm sincerely curious...why are the ppl of the coastal areas of Wilmimgton even concerned, much less bothered, by what our governor did in SC? It has no effect on NC whatsoever. I'm trying to understand why all the fuss in NC over what we're doing in SC? (Truly not trying to be rude or argue at all..I sincerely love Wilmington and have actually considered returning to the area)
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