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Message

re: SoCal Atmospheric River

Posted on 2/2/24 at 2:45 am to
Posted by TrimTab
North County Coastal San Diego
Member since Mar 2019
7777 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 2:45 am to
I prefer the term “pineapple express” over atmospheric river.

It’s not stopped raining for hours so far up here in SD but I like it. Reminds me of New Orleans.
Posted by Pezzo
Member since Aug 2020
1964 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 5:40 am to
I’d prefer they start there and not ruin the rest of the country
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
19350 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 5:56 am to
Free Swimming Lessons in Compton
Posted by 632627
LA
Member since Dec 2011
12773 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 6:16 am to
quote:

7 inches of rain over 3 days is a nothingburger in the south but in California it is a huge deal. Yall cant deal with the rain,


wet conditions aren't the problem. Southern California is almost entirely valleys and deserts.... those in the mountainous areas will get mudslides and those in the low areas will get flooding.
Posted by MyRockstarComplex
The airport
Member since Nov 2009
3328 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 6:25 am to
My colleague said all the houses around her in Baldwin Hills have been dropping off the cliff. Bad times ahead for lady homie.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32104 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 6:53 am to
The global warming talk will be off the charts.
Posted by Earthquake 88
Mobile
Member since Jan 2010
3018 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 11:21 am to
quote:

Tell his perfect his work party dodging skills, or he will be filing sandbags forever.


Officer in the Marine Corps is a bad thing? Go frick yourself.
Posted by chinhoyang
Member since Jun 2011
23520 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 11:36 am to
the canyon terrain can generate some scary flash flood action
Posted by guzziguy
Lake Forest
Member since Jun 2022
172 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 11:54 am to
Flash floods in the desert will probably close I10.
Very expensive houses will slide down hills.
Idiots will drive 50mph through 3 feet of standing water.
Insurance rates will SKYROCKET.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
31187 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

Sooooooo…no more drought?




They bitch when it doesn't rain, they bitch when it rains. Perfect progressives, them, always the victim.
Posted by Gifman
by the mountains
Member since Jan 2021
9392 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Flash floods in the desert will probably close I10.
Very expensive houses will slide down hills.
Idiots will drive 50mph through 3 feet of standing water.
Insurance rates will SKYROCKET.



Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19585 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 3:02 pm to
The Left coast really needs a way to store some of that water before the next drought.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67138 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

Reading about this sorta makes me chuckle. 7 inches of rain over 3 days is a nothingburger in the south but in California it is a huge deal. Yall cant deal with the rain, similar to how southerners can’t deal with snow and northerners can’t deal with heat.


Yep. Their sandy soils can’t absorb water, and moisture erodes their hillsides causing mudslides.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54479 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

They bitch when it doesn't rain, they bitch when it rains.

You just described the OT.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 9:16 pm to
The strongest storm to hit California this winter will arrive tomorrow night as a potent atmospheric river and a potential bomb cyclone target the state.

Widespread heavy rain, mountain snow, damaging winds, flooding, and isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible as the storm moves through the state.

SoCal faces the highest threat of severe flooding, with 3-7 inches of rain expected across the coast/valleys and 6-12 inches in the mountains, with isolated amounts of up to 15 inches possible. There is the potential for life-threatening, widespread flooding.

Confidence is also increasing that a potential bomb cyclone could develop off the NorCal coast as a low-pressure system rapidly deepens. This could bring a wide swath of damaging winds across much of the Central Coast and NorCal, resulting in widespread power outages.

NorCal will also see heavy rain, with widespread amounts of 2-4 inches and higher amounts in hills/mountains.

The Sierra will finally see a much-needed major snowstorm, with 3-7 feet of snow expected above 6,000 feet. SoCal's mountains will experience heavy snow, with 2-4 feet expected to fall above 7,000 feet.

The greatest impacts from the storm will occur in NorCal from Saturday night to early Monday morning and in SoCal from Sunday evening to early Tuesday morning.

Stay tuned.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
25727 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

7 inches of rain over 3 days is a nothingburger in the south but in California it is a huge deal. Yall cant deal with the rain, similar to how southerners can’t deal with snow and northerners can’t deal with heat.


Spoken like a true flatlander. Those of us who have lived in mountainous and foothill areas understand how water gets concentrated in the valleys because you know gravity and shite.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54479 posts
Posted on 2/2/24 at 11:30 pm to
They just had a M5.5 earthquake damn close to Oklahoma City.
This post was edited on 2/2/24 at 11:31 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54479 posts
Posted on 2/3/24 at 1:57 pm to
The WPC has introduced an area of High Risk on the Excessive Rainfall Outlook.



quote:

Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 154 PM EST Sat Feb 03 2024  Day 2 Valid 12Z Sun Feb 04 2024 - 12Z Mon Feb 05 2024
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
...Central to Southern California... The latest models are in good agreement on the evolution of a strengthening cyclone off the central California coast early Sunday as this low pushes northward towards the northern California coast. The strong IVT values that begin to impact the central California coast late day 1, ~1000 kg/m/s, will persist into central California coast range, pushing inland into the northern portions of the San Joaquin Valley and Sacramento Valley and southward into the Transverse Range. Strong inflow and available instability across the area will allow for 1" an hour rain totals, which would be especially problematic where there are burn scars. The probabilities of 8"+ in 24 hours are high enough to introduce a High Risk for portions of the southern CA Transverse ranges. General 3 to 5" areal average amounts likely in both the Transverse and Central California Coast Ranges, with maximum totals just over 10" possible in areas of most persistent training and upslope flow. Modest expansions were made to the Slight and Moderate Risk areas.
For portions of eastern CA near the NV border, including Inyo County/Death Valley, inflow from the Gulf of CA is expected to be more or less unimpeded with 850 hPa winds 40+ kts out of the southeast, setting up a moderate to heavy rain event in the desert. Probabilities of 3"+ in 24 hours is high, particularly in nearby topography where some of the precipitation would be in the form of snow at elevation.
The signal was strong/broad enough to lead to some expansion of the Marginal Risk area in that area.


Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
131431 posts
Posted on 2/3/24 at 2:20 pm to
Is Riverside/Fontana on the coast yet?
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
96006 posts
Posted on 2/3/24 at 2:21 pm to
Depends on whether the big one has hit and formed Arizona Bay yet.
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