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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:08 pm to MaxDraft
quote:
Jay Grymes is on FB Live right now saying going right thru New Orleans?
Wishcasting Fan Page?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:09 pm to treyk89
quote:
What generally occurs more in models, ridges being underdone or overdone?
Depends on the model.
Euro likes to overdo them. GFS underdoes them.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:09 pm to Jwho77
David Bernard just did a whole segment on the East shift. As of now, consensus was around Gulfport. He did say the NHC probably won’t move the cone as drastically as the models do, but he is excepting the cone to shift some.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:09 pm to MaxDraft
he just said its likely moving east of new orleans and that would be great news
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 8:10 pm
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:09 pm to geauxtigers87
Bernard is saying he predicts Biloxi without actually saying it.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:10 pm to rocket31
I stopped watching after it seemed he was off on this one...maybe he just got an update then.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:12 pm to treyk89
It moving more westward is still on the table. Look at how conditions evolved in just 24 hours. That margin of error goes down as each hour passes. Miss was always in the cone where the track could shift it more east.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:13 pm to MaxDraft
Which means Here in OS I’m going to get the brunt of it..hell all of you guys keep wishing it East so I will start now and maybe the eye will somehow hit East of OS too.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:14 pm to rds dc
Next recon pass will be interesting b/c this current convective burst is going off!
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:14 pm to marinebioman
Would a direct hit to OS actually be better than say Gulfport since this is going to be such a rainmaker?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:15 pm to Duke
What difference in surge in the lakes would a Mississippi landfall make?
I mean, that easterly flow will still push it in...but maybe not as much...?
I mean, that easterly flow will still push it in...but maybe not as much...?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:15 pm to rds dc
Outflow has been great (well on one side) all day, not surprised if it is popping off some now with the center getting tucked under the convection.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:15 pm to rds dc
This will probably change soon but this is the current map for rainfall totals estimated
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:16 pm to marinebioman
If nothing else, that was a very good explanation by Bernard as to why an east shift would be on the table, while trying not to go against the official forecast.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:17 pm to marinebioman
quote:
Would a direct hit to OS actually be better than say Gulfport since this is going to be such a rainmaker?
To keep it simple, you don't want to be just to the east of it.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:17 pm to mightynine
I remember watching David Bernard as a kid on the news. Why did he leave Louisiana for so long? I think he left after Katrina?
I remember someone on the old network use to joke with him maybe even bully him at times. I can't remember who it was.
I remember someone on the old network use to joke with him maybe even bully him at times. I can't remember who it was.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 8:18 pm
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:17 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Why would you root for a NOLA landfall?
Slack you live in Morgan Shitty, correct?
Follow the thread friend.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:17 pm to marinebioman
Here in OS too. Actually working at Ingalls (I’m on hurricane watch). If it’s gotta go East, make it WAYYYY East.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:19 pm to PnG4ever
.
This post was edited on 1/11/21 at 7:20 am
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