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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:22 pm to
Posted by PnG4ever
Ms Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2020
111 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:22 pm to
Only essential employees Monday and Tuesday. I’m on the last boat on the river (123). Just got the generator on this evening. Suppose to report in tomorrow at 1400 and bring enough food to last till Wednesday.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14278 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:22 pm to
That's a LOT of rain that has to go somewhere...

Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44793 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

the NHC probably won’t move the cone as drastically as the models do, but he is excepting the cone to shift some


At least they admit it now.
Posted by CE Tiger
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
41905 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

has to go somewhere...



FloraBama would be my preference
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27420 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:26 pm to
No point in getting worked up over one run of the models. If we're still seeing this tomorrow morning I'll feel better
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
25530 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:26 pm to
Where do people get that gif from that shows the cone shift from each update? I want to see how drastic the changes were once they end up shifting this way east.
Posted by tokenBoiler
Lafayette, Indiana
Member since Aug 2012
5047 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:26 pm to
quote:

Latoya won't be bullied.
That track looks like God is specifically gonna smite her in particular. Have y'all thought about chaining her to a rock out in the Gulf somewhere?
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79906 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:26 pm to
quote:

quote:
Might use an empty Kentwood 5 gallon jug uncapped for my deep freezer.



Don't think you will have enough time for that to freeze up
About 12 hours later and it is 90% frozen. It will easily be complete by morning.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 8:28 pm
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33486 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:28 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:28 pm to
quote:

Where do people get that gif from that shows the cone shift from each update? I want to see how drastic the changes were once they end up shifting this way east.


LINK start here
Posted by AU_251
Your dads room
Member since Feb 2013
12113 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:29 pm to
In relation to land, are we kinda close to where Laura was before she strengthened so rapidly?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78362 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:30 pm to
Laura was below Cuba. Or do you mean distancr offshore?
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 8:31 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:31 pm to


Posted by AU_251
Your dads room
Member since Feb 2013
12113 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:33 pm to
Yes offshore of us,
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:34 pm to
Laura was not that close to us.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14278 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

ECMWF Ens.


Whoomp, there it is!
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78362 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:34 pm to
I may be wrong, and I know someone will correct me if I am, but Laura was already well organized when her intensification happened. This storm doesn't seem to be near as organized as Laura was.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21507 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:35 pm to
quote:




The interesting thing about that is that there are now some stronger members in the western spread, when at 12z essentially all stronger members were in the eastern 1/3 cluster.
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27420 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:35 pm to
So that drags it across st Bernard into miss?
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 8:36 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:36 pm to
quote:

Laura was already well organized when her intensification happened. This storm doesn't seem to be near as organized as Laura was.


Yes, it has to organize before it can really intensify. The convective burst we're seeing now, and if the center remains under the convection it would be signs of the organization process happening.

It's not about to bomb tonight, it's just trying to build a core tonight.

Then it can take advantage of the favorable (for the hurricane) conditions.
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