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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:52 pm to
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8725 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:52 pm to
Wait. Stop downvoting is Nola good now?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21507 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

First time we've got some convection wrapped around the north side of the center.


Recon VDM pinned it just north of the last NHC fix and pretty much captured by this recent convective burst.

Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:54 pm to
This is going to Mississippi. I think Nola is going to dodge another one.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 7:56 pm
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33487 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:55 pm to
quote:

NWS New Orleans
@NWSNewOrleans
The NOAA Weather Radio transmitter in New Orleans has been expedited for broadcast restoral with our telephone provider. We are working diligently to get the broadcast up and running by later tonight or very early Mon morning. Thank you for your patience. #lawx
Posted by Dlab2013
Pineville, Luzianna
Member since Jun 2013
9532 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:55 pm to
Yep. Been trending that way.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36754 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:55 pm to
Is that a wobble?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

Is that a wobble?


Center got drug a little NNE by the convective burst. Not a traditional wobble, but a feature of it trying to organize tonight.
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 7:57 pm to
So there shouldn’t be any reason for this thing to shift back west. It’s all east from here on right?
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8725 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:01 pm to
So even though all news stations say it’s coming right for Nola, y’all are saying it’s going for Mississippi now?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:02 pm to
quote:


So there shouldn’t be any reason for this thing to shift back west. It’s all east from here on right?


It's all a game of timing to me. It's how far west it gets tomorrow. The trend is slower now, so east.

Don't discount the west possibility because this ridge that should guide it tomorrow is subtle and may be underdone on the models that could get it farther west.

I do think west shifts are less likely vs east ones, just don't call victory just yet.
Posted by iliveinabox
in a box
Member since Aug 2011
24145 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:03 pm to
The lake loOKs like a cock and balls in that .gif
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:03 pm to
Yes. Who still watches fake news. This is where the info is at.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16136 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:04 pm to
Fox 8 just showed consensus going to Biloxi.
Posted by Tigercowboy
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
5090 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

So even though all news stations say it’s coming right for Nola, y’all are saying it’s going for Mississippi now?


Which provides a better news story? A hurricane heading directly to NOLA or A hurricane is heading to Ocean Springs? Just saying
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

I do think west shifts are less likely vs east ones, just don't call victory just yet.


It seems like this time yesterday the opposite was true.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:06 pm to
1) I hate it for those that will get it but Louisiana can’t handle another one right now

2) I’m glad we had to change our beach plans to a later date for non-weather reasons. We’d have been in orange beach.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84300 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

So even though all news stations say it’s coming right for Nola, y’all are saying it’s going for Mississippi now?

Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

Don't discount the west possibility because this ridge that should guide it tomorrow is subtle and may be underdone on the models that could get it farther west


What generally occurs more in models, ridges being underdone or overdone?
Posted by MaxDraft
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2019
574 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:07 pm to
Jay Grymes is on FB Live right now saying going right thru New Orleans?

LINK
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78362 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

Which provides a better news story? A hurricane heading directly to NOLA or A hurricane is heading to Ocean Springs? Just saying



NOAA is real big into getting their viewership ratings up
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