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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/15/20 at 7:52 am to
Posted by SohCahToa
New Orleans, La
Member since Jan 2011
7786 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 7:52 am to
Didn’t he say it didn’t have time to grow to anything more than a minimal hurricane? That wasn’t correct at all
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
2011 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 7:54 am to
Said it couldn't get to Cat 2. It did.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41004 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 7:54 am to
Agreed but a closer approach to SELA could cause more water problems outside the levees and shitty Entergy to have more outages
Posted by OldSouth
Folsom, LA
Member since Oct 2011
11006 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 7:54 am to
quote:

Can someone re-post PJs prediction… Is he going to be correct?


quote:

Chicken


Peej Alter.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 7:58 am to
It's nasty looking outside right now....nice stiff breeze blowing.....dark and cloudy. It might as well just rain and get it over with
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14276 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:11 am to
Shell Beach 4.7 feet above normal predicted tide already.

Places in LA with water to the north are still going to have surge.

Posted by Costanza
Member since May 2011
3273 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:14 am to
Duke, rds, others
Is it unusual that Sally never developed a true eye? Does it slowing its movement make that more or less likely?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177253 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:15 am to
quote:

I’m pissed. This is 4 or 5 times now in the past year that they’ve gotten me ready for a little minor hurricane excitement all to end up having ZERO, literally zero impacts. This time they even texted me at 4am on a Sunday morning, 50+ hours before impacts to tell me about my life being threatened. I want to be a meteorologist

Stay strong, brother
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
79567 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:16 am to
So where is this thing at, has it made landfall, and what's it's strength?


Or what page is the latest on this?
Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:17 am to
?????

Page 1
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134822 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:19 am to
quote:

Can someone re-post PJs prediction…
quote:

Rain event for the gulf coast.............
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
79567 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:20 am to
Ah. That's how this works.
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:21 am to
quote:

shitty Entergy


So far from the truth
Posted by Jimmy2shoes
The South
Member since Mar 2014
11004 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:23 am to
Surf is up on the Bama coast. View from Sea-n-Suds

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102603 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:23 am to
quote:

I’m drinking tequila tonight so sally better watch out or imma go upside that head pa-yow!




Just poured some ole smokey salty caramel in my coffee.. on the 3rd story at the condo watching the waves roll in.. Hopefully we'll get 2 good days on the beach before vacation is ove


I dont think you caught the reference

LINK
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:24 am to
quote:

I’m pissed. This is 4 or 5 times now in the past year that they’ve gotten me ready for a little minor hurricane excitement all to end up having ZERO, literally zero impacts. This time they even texted me at 4am on a Sunday morning, 50+ hours before impacts to tell me about my life being threatened. I want to be a meteorologist


Ts and Ps for you in this difficult time.
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:25 am to
Bet it sounds awesome.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:31 am to
quote:

Is it unusual that Sally never developed a true eye?


Not really for the current strength. A classic eye requires a solid ring of strong wind around the center to really drive convection. The storm blasts all of that air it's picking up out the top (outflow, which is why we look for it expanding out of the storm as a sign of strengthening) and when it's strong enough some of that gets forced to sink into the middle of the storm.

The sinking air is actually pretty dry and gets hot as it falls to the surface, which produces the clear eye associated with hurricanes.

You can get a true eye feature at Cat 1 but you don't always if the storm hasn't built the eyewall all the way around the center and typically a weaker hurricane will have some cloud cover sporadically in the eye.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93601 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:32 am to
quote:

Goodell Clown


Say, brah...

How you know these fellas:

lesgeaux
hawgfaninc


Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:32 am to
quote:

To the experts here, now that the storm appears to be weakening, doesn’t that decrease the chance of a significant turn? I believe Duke posted yesterday a weakened storm due to shear would more likely head more west, while a strong organized storm would turn north earlier.


Losing a few mph isn’t a weakened storm. It basically needed to fall apart overnight for it to drift further west. At this point the drift is going to be NW at worst. LA is off the table, minus the Chandeleur Islands.
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