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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:03 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:03 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
2
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:04 pm to The Egg
quote:
Peej is pure human trash
really???????
Got A problem with me giving my opinion????
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:05 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
They were planning to stay until about an hour ago. They live almost at sea level
I’m on the 11th floor so I’m not too worried. No one else in Gulf Shores or Orange Beach seemed to be either. I’ve always thought it would be fun to watch one roll in. The Phoenix’s are constructed of poured concrete and have been here through a lot of big storms.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:05 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Sally has a little dry air entrapment from the shear rds mentioned earlier. Should hamper substantial development for a bit.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:05 pm to slackster
quote:
Herp derp.
Storm has never left the cone.
This is the original cone.
This was Sunday. The MS/AL state line where it probably makes landfall isn’t even in the Sunday cone.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:07 pm to The Boat
thanks for facts dude. pretty big miss that close to landfall
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:09 pm to dukke v
your opinion sucks. like, REALLY sucks when it comes to storms.
but human trash you are not. an idiot when it comes to weather? yes.
but human trash you are not. an idiot when it comes to weather? yes.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:09 pm to slackster
A bit of a double max there, small inner eyewall structure is collapsing and a bigger one is going to form. Pause in strengthening as that sorts out. Really chaotic day with the inner core of this system.
There is a little dry air being rotated around and might be what's disrupted the tiny core that was developing.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:09 pm to Ramblin Wreck
We had a place in Phoenix V until 1997, then bought a lake house, but still rented one Phoenix VII for a couple more years. Phoenix VII was nice as shite but the walk from condo to the water was like a quarter mile...that sucked
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:09 pm to slackster
quote:
Storm has never left the cone.
It’s impossible for a storm to leave the cone these days. They just keep moving it so they’re always right.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:10 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
So the 4 pm advisory still has the worst of the storm surge in the SELA area?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:10 pm to The Boat
quote:
This was Sunday. The MS/AL state line where it probably makes landfall isn’t even in the Sunday cone.
Nice catch. So if the storm makes landfall at the state line, the cone will have missed it by 5 miles.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:11 pm to rds dc
Meteorologists have the only job I know of where their "predictions" affect so many lives, they can be wrong more than 75% of the time, and still keep their jobs.
I can't tell you how many times I've gone fishing and have had the forecast of light and variable winds with a 10% chance of light showers the night before only to get gale force winds and stormed on when I'm on the water.
I can't tell you how many times I've gone fishing and have had the forecast of light and variable winds with a 10% chance of light showers the night before only to get gale force winds and stormed on when I'm on the water.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:12 pm to Friedbrie
Maybe you should start doing your own forecasting and stop relying on them so much.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 5:13 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:12 pm to OysterPoBoy
Fox News going full panic mode for New Orleans 
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:12 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
We had a place in Phoenix V until 1997, then bought a lake house, but still rented one Phoenix VII for a couple more years. Phoenix VII was nice as shite but the walk from condo to the water was like a quarter mile...that sucked
Phoenix VII has a great view on both sides. We almost bought there, but ended up buying at Phoenix V
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:13 pm to blight
quote:The paid professionals missed landfall by their entire cone only 48 hours before landfall, but yeh, lets get pissed at a random message board guy for missing the strength by 1 category 5 days out
your opinion sucks. like, REALLY sucks when it comes to storms.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 5:14 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:14 pm to slackster
Surprisingly, the 18z GFS shifts a litter further west
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:14 pm to Duke
quote:
A bit of a double max there, small inner eyewall structure is collapsing and a bigger one is going to form. Pause in strengthening as that sorts out. Really chaotic day with the inner core of this system.
They're barely picking up hurricane force winds
NHC: "Looks like 100 mph to me"
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:15 pm to slackster
quote:
Nice catch. So if the storm makes landfall at the state line, the cone will have missed it by 5 miles.
I was being conservative. As far as Mobile Bay is looking likely now.
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