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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:22 pm to Friedbrie
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:22 pm to Friedbrie
quote:
Meteorologists have the only job I know of where their "predictions" affect so many lives, they can be wrong more than 75% of the time, and still keep their jobs.
Have you ever heard of an "economist"?
1
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:23 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Well the wife just left Malbis to go work the nursery at mobile infirmary. She may be stuck there for a while. Looks like it’s me and the dogs for a while
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:23 pm to Sneaky__Sally
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:23 pm to slackster
There's a rig reporting those type of winds, but the plane hasn't found much to support 100 mph so far.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:24 pm to Ramblin Wreck
quote:
And I’m sitting on my balcony at Orange Beach eating chicken fried rice with a slight comfortable breeze right now. It must be concentrated near the eye.
NHC fear mongering over hurricanes has really failed Americans in teaching them how hurricanes work and how its impacts are felt.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:24 pm to The Boat
Can y'all stop having a dick measuring contest
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:24 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
I think it more has to do with the pandemic screwing things up and how uncertain things are in the Atlantic this year. You're looking at a historic year that's not close to over yet.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:28 pm to The Boat
quote:
NHC fear mongering over hurricanes has really failed Americans in teaching them how hurricanes work and how its impacts are felt.
I 100 percent agree and might be changing my tune this time tomorrow LOL
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:29 pm to lsupride87
quote:
48 hours before the storm, and where they had the landfall prediction is now expected to have virtually nothing, and where landfall may actually happen wasnt even in their cone
Im not saying we should murder them, but what would you call it?
For starters, it hasn’t made landfall.
48 hours before projected landfall around midnight Wednesday was last night at 10pm update. That cone clearly had Mobile and Mobile Bay in it.
A hurricane watch has been in effect to the MS/AL border since 5pm Saturday.
If you’re in Mobile and this storm surprises you, blame your media, not the NHC. They’ve always been a distinct possibility.
Lastly, there are minimal impacts west of landfall. Shocker, I know.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:30 pm to Ramblin Wreck
But yeah the strongest winds are in a narrow band at the center of the storm so you won't see those until it makes landfall. You can get some pretty good gusts in the rain bands once those start moving on shore but it won't be anything too crazy.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:32 pm to Duke
quote:
There's a rig reporting those type of winds, but the plane hasn't found much to support 100 mph so far.
Dropsonde from 4:45?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:32 pm to Scooba
LMAO 
Fear Porn and Cancel Culture Society in Hyperdrive
Fear Porn and Cancel Culture Society in Hyperdrive
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:32 pm to The Boat
I'm thinking drop to Cat 1 soon. Maybe 85 mph.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:35 pm to slackster
Gotta reduce those windspeeds, since the sonde catches gusts.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:36 pm to Duke
Also think a little more north movement.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 5:37 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:36 pm to Crimsonians
quote:
Also think a little more north movement.
Last two recon passes show slow due west.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:38 pm to Duke
Maybe. Have my doubts. Probably less than 6 mph?
I'm talking recently. Next couple hours will tell.
I'm talking recently. Next couple hours will tell.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 5:40 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:39 pm to Crimsonians
quote:
Also think a little more north movement.
?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:39 pm to Duke
quote:
Gotta reduce those windspeeds, since the sonde catches gusts.
I get that, but they also make an adjustment for the fact they’re probably not sampling the absolute highest winds either.
Point being, I’d be a little surprised if they come down on the winds with such a recent data point to consider. Maybe they do though.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:39 pm to Ancient Astronaut
Wobble
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