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Started By
Message
re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:15 pm to slackster
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:15 pm to slackster
quote:Dude, their cone that encompasses 200 miles or so missing at all isnt good
Nice catch. So if the storm makes landfall at the state line, the cone will have missed it by 5 miles.
1
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:15 pm to Ramblin Wreck
Also, it wasn’t as much of a concern for her about damage, it was really about being 68 and having no utilities on the island for 7-8 days. We had already convinced her to fill up her bath tub with water and stuff, but with mandatory evacuations and how long it could linger, she’s leaving. If it was a faster moving storm of same or stronger she would stay. She’s a stubborn arse woman
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:15 pm to dukke v
quote:
really???????
Got A problem with me giving my opinion????
Yes. Because you have proven yourself with astonishing efficacy to be the biggest idiot on the board, have been told time and time again no one wants your opinion in these threads, yet you can’t help yourself. One more notch in your idiot totem pole.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:15 pm to Mr Perfect
quote:
thanks for facts dude. pretty big miss that close to landfall
A, it hasn’t made landfall.
B, The Boat knows that the cone means , but most have no clue. It’s a 1 standard deviation miss. It’s designed to catch 65% of historical errors, and they haven’t missed it yet with Sally.
If it ends up outside of the cone, sure, I’ll say they missed it, but even those misses are expected about 35% of the time.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:15 pm to slackster
quote:
Storm has never left the cone.
the cone shifted
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:15 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
When this storm is likely to become a CAT 3
Wut? Winds are already 100 mph and it has 24 hours left.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:16 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Dude, their cone that encompasses 200 miles or so missing at all isnt good
Y’all are clearly dumb as frick regarding the cone. Or trolling. Not sure.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:16 pm to The Boat
quote:
NHC: "Looks like 100 mph to me"
They had some older data to support that but it's definitely not the case right now.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:17 pm to Cosmo
Ascension schools closed tomorrow, virtual only
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:17 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
having no utilities on the island for 7-8 days.
Been there done that in southeast Texas with Rita and Ike. No fun going weeks with no electricity.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:17 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
the cone shifted
Well no shite...it always does. The cone is a point in time reference with a prediction of future position. However, this storm is still within original cone
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:17 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Winds are already 100 mph
So they say
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:18 pm to lsupride87
quote:
The paid professionals missed landfall by their entire cone only 48 hours before landfall
See, y’all are just making shite up. This didn’t happen. Landfall hasn’t even happened.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:18 pm to jac1280
quote:
Ascension schools closed tomorrow, virtual only
So they’re closing due to anticipated hurricane conditions, but don’t assume power outages?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:20 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Wut? Winds are already 100 mph and it has 24 hours left.
right...so it's likely to become a CAT 3 and PeeJ said it wouldnt even make it to be a CAT 2
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:20 pm to slackster
quote:Alright man, they nailed it
Y’all are clearly dumb as frick regarding the cone. Or trolling. Not sure.
48 hours before the storm, and where they had the landfall prediction is now expected to have virtually nothing, and where landfall may actually happen wasnt even in their cone
Im not saying we should murder them, but what would you call it?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:21 pm to Duke
quote:
They had some older data to support that but it's definitely not the case right now.
Recon found 89 mph winds in the NW eyewall like 25 minutes ago.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:21 pm to lsupride87
Alabama has been in the cone THE ENTIRE TIME
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:22 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Winds are already 100 mph
And I’m sitting on my balcony at Orange Beach eating chicken fried rice with a slight comfortable breeze right now. It must be concentrated near the eye.
I will say that the waves are starting to get impressive for Orange Beach.
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 5:26 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:22 pm to tigercraig
quote:
Alabama has been in the cone THE ENTIRE TIME
Anyone have a c.unt hair to measure this?
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