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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:20 pm to
Posted by Earthquake 88
Mobile
Member since Jan 2010
3332 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

vs repairing broken window, repairing inside of house, sheetrock, insulation, painting, new floors, furniture etc etc etc etc


Good point. I don’t really have anything that can hit my house I am surrounded by a pasture. Guess wind could break them. Was informed my insurance company won’t pay for that kind of damage unless I put up my metal window covers. The contractor included it might as well use it I suppose.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177254 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

The fact they have SE LA under a Hurricane Warning tells me they are not even confident in what she is going to do.

Nah those warnings are from when they had the track going west of New Orleans and up through Hammond and haven't remembered to cancel them yet.
Posted by mulletproof
Shambala
Member since Apr 2013
4735 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

No, I’m East of 181 about 2.5 miles down 90, right past plantation hills on a big arse farm


Is that your pretty hip high cotton off the side of 181 baw? Hope you got strong crop insurance son.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:23 pm to


The models now agree with me.





Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1278 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:24 pm to
Hurricane warnings are for wind, so you'll see them go down to tropical storm warnings before they are dropped altogether.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16132 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:24 pm to
That 48 hour rule has to have the caveat of the storm being decently organized. The center moved on this one a few times.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51688 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

Everything is in this link.

Thanks!
Posted by pngtiger
Mobile
Member since May 2004
1837 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

run on the way home, and ride this one out with a pregnant wife. Sheesh.


How far along? We were due in October living in Spanish fort when a hurricane came through. She started having contractions. There was no getting across the bay that night. Luckily never needed to.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36754 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

That 48 hour rule has to have the caveat of the storm being decently organized. The center moved on this one a few times.





oh come on now. and I quote from Laura thread "nailed down".


that doesn't leave room for caveats
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177254 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

Hurricane warnings are for wind, so you'll see them go down to tropical storm warnings before they are dropped altogether.

The warnings are for "conditions" which include storm surge. The hurricane warning for Lake Pontchartrain is more for the significant storm surge expected. They're not going to see hurricane force winds. Also it means winds of that strength are "possible" which the NHC is pretty fast and loose with how strong the winds are going to be. Which you can see through things like their "earliest arrival time of winds" maps they use. Look at the extent they have on this thing. They got gd Orange, Tx on it.

This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 4:30 pm
Posted by arseinclarse
Member since Apr 2007
35423 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:27 pm to
Toya not happy. She was waiting to blow up the levees like W to hold GEOTUS hostage with relief funds.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75072 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

That 48 hour rule has to have the caveat of the storm being decently organized. The center moved on this one a few times.


You can say that over and over again, but some of these are the same people who were bitching about about a "miss" on Laura when it was 3+ days out and just hitting open water. Nevermind that the eventual landfall was right smack in the middle of every cone shift over those 3+ days.
Posted by Scooba
Member since Jun 2013
20014 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

Yes - put NOLA on the news and mention Katrina from 15 years ago. Great for generating more fake news clicks





I'm going to go ahead and submit my prediction for Teddy.



Ya heard it here first folks...
Posted by Tigerdew
The Garden District of Da' Parish
Member since Dec 2003
15385 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:30 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102612 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

Calling for 105mph winds at landfall.


Seems conservative considering it’s at 100 now with 36 hours to go
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177254 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Seems conservative considering it’s at 100 now with 36 hours to go


The hurricane hunter plane didn't even find hurricane force winds recently but they use their voodoo ocean frothiness reader and how much they want to scare people to cook up the 100 mph wind number.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51688 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:33 pm to
An active Atlantic Basin:

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131501 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:34 pm to
Peak season baw
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51688 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

Seems conservative considering it’s at 100 now with 36 hours to go


I actually misspoke. They are calling for it to reach 110mph winds. Cat 3 begins at 111mph.
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
2011 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:35 pm to
I'm thinking a big drop in winds will happen soon. Looking pretty rough.
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