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re: Pending home sales fall to the lowest level in 26 years

Posted on 10/22/26 at 9:51 am to
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
24647 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 9:51 am to
quote:


The price was “too high” because rents are not equitable with the price of ownership. I had 3 applications and a new renter within a week at 20% cash flow after taxes and insurance.


Say it with me, you could have sold it easily for a very nice profit but it made more sense to rent.

Again Mingo, that doesn't mean you couldn't sell it.

You do you
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
38587 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 9:54 am to
quote:

Say it with me, you could have sold it easily for a very nice profit but it made more sense to rent.


God, you are dumb
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
61703 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 9:54 am to
And they should continue to plummet. Screw the banks, private equity, and the government for getting us here
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
152110 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 9:56 am to
Drumf tanked the housing market so all his billionaire buddies can buy up all the property for cheap and raise rent on POC
Posted by Tiger4life306
Member since Apr 2016
950 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 9:58 am to
Prices aren’t going to plummet
Posted by Loup
Ferriday
Member since Apr 2019
18216 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:04 am to
quote:

I fall squarely into this. We'd love to buy a different home with more land. Our house has appreciated a ton and we are in a better spot financially than when bought our current home (although it's just fine). We aren't even considering it now because we are at a 3% interest rate.

I'm not buying more home AND taking on a 7-7.5% rate. My mortgage would triple or more.

We are always looking at new houses and land online for fun, but it just doesn't make sense. Tons of things for sale, but it's financially stupid to move right now.



I'm in the same boat. My income has tripled since I bought my (very small) house but I'm staying in it as long as I can. If I financed the same amount at today's interest rates I'd be paying $525/month more just in interest.
Posted by dchog
Pea Ridge
Member since Nov 2012
28830 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:08 am to
Being back the illegals!!

Says the real estate developers.
Posted by jwalk38
Member since Nov 2021
266 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:10 am to
Yeah, how Dare they for wanting a favorable ROI

Treating single family homes as investments is why we are at this point now.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
60839 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:10 am to
quote:

I know a lot of this market was propped up by the psychology that rates being increased was only temporary, but it's been like 3 years and they still haven't accepted the fact that they're not coming down anytime soon


I've said for a while now I believe there were a lot of "passive speculators" who got caught as rates increased, thinking they would return to sub-5% within a year or three. These people were buying homes to live in, but their real goal was to sell in a few years for a massive profit. Now they're stuck and the question now is how many of them can afford to remain in their current setup and how many are running out of cash.

The larger group though are those who bought at ~5%-6% or less and are stable in their situation, but would like to move but can't because rates + price equal paying more for less than what they already have.
Posted by BayMar
Member since Jun 2026
107 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:12 am to
Even with the fastest trains thats a 2 hour commute
Posted by ShrimperDan
Fernandina
Member since Jul 2026
398 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:13 am to
quote:

Rates aren't that bad, I'm sorry. The essentially free money days of 2-4% interest were an exception not the norm.

Economists were saying for years that the 3% interest rates were going to bite us in the arse at some point.

The hard truth is interest rates in the 5-8% range is healthy. That allows a healthy bond market and generally speaking helps with inflation.


You aren't wrong on a lot of this, but you're not adjusting your outlook on the situation based on the current factors at play.

We should not have kept mortgage interest rates at 2.8-3% for as long as we did. Absolutely agree. But, we did do that. So we can't just not react to that fact. Doing that inflated home prices to a point where any sort of mass correction on home values will cause a crisis. Then we had COVID and building materials shot through the roof. There has been some recovery on that side, but we all know once things inflate they rarely if ever go back down to the pre-inflation prices.

The simple fact is that our greed from keeping rates so low for longer than necessary has made a market dependent on lower rates. We essentially have to get back down to at least the low 5's if not high 4's in terms of the average mortgage rate to get the housing market going again. Mortgages are too high in relation to income levels.

The amount you actually pay for the house is absolutely meaningless to most people. The number they care about is their mortgage payment. $600k for a house in some neighborhoods is the steal of the lifetime, and if you dropped that same house into a different neighborhood it would be a 2x overpay. Conceptually the value of an individual home just does not matter to people. But you tell them their payment, and now we can have a discussion.
Posted by ShrimperDan
Fernandina
Member since Jul 2026
398 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:16 am to
quote:

Prices aren’t going to plummet



They can't be allowed to. Almost half of seniors get most of their income from Social Security. A house is the largest single investment for a huge percentage of Americans.
Posted by SEC Doctor
Member since Aug 2024
13383 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:17 am to
I'm one of the people who plan to retire in the next 10 years. Plan to sell my house and downsize when I do. Hopefully things get turned around soon. Under the current market conditions, I would have to probably delay retirement for another year or two.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52646 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:19 am to
I was hoping to build soon, but that’s not gonna happen it doesn’t look like
Posted by npt817
Prairieville, LA
Member since Sep 2010
1709 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:20 am to
quote:

one of the largest builders in America, Lennar, is allegedly colluding with another entity they have an interest in, buying their own homes and renting them for less than market value


A couple builders here in the Baton Rouge market have been doing this for years.
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
37816 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:21 am to
quote:

Prices aren’t going to plummet


They can't be allowed to. Almost half of seniors get most of their income from Social Security. A house is the largest single investment for a huge percentage of Americans.



Possibly.

Or alternatively they absolutely have to (or young people will continue form fewer families and have fewer children).

We don't want to become Japan. Their policies since the 90s have prioritized the elderly above the young and their demographic issues will continue to harm the country's fiscal and demographic future
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
16001 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:23 am to
quote:

Or alternatively they absolutely have to (or young people will continue form fewer families and have fewer children).

We don't want to become Japan. Their policies since the 90s have prioritized the elderly above the young and their demographic issues will continue to harm the country's fiscal and demographic future


100000000%
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
87023 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:26 am to
Nah. 50 year mortgages are the solution
This post was edited on 10/22/26 at 10:26 am
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
16001 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Nah. 50 year mortgages are the solution



it would be like being eiffle towered by the "you won't own anything and you'll like it gang"...on one side property taxes and on the other 50 year mortgages
Posted by SparkyWilson
Member since May 2026
600 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Another issue, is that people with 4-5% rates that bought homes in the teens, then put Helocs on their inflated equities during the Covid boom, are stuck with trying to sell their homes at those higher prices because if they did not they would be netting nearly zero or even paying out of pocket at closing.


I mean, boo hoo for them. There better have been a good reason for the HELOC.
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