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Registered on:5/18/2026
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quote:

Not that any opposing defenses have anything to do with the bad reads, fumbles, false starts…..



As a general rule, yes, but no one with any kind of sense could look at some of those mishaps and say they were forced.

1. Kamario just drops the ball with zero pressure on him.
2. Kamario throwing to a receiver he can clearly see is bracketed by two defenders.
3. Evans sitting near the sideline with no one around him and plants his left foot out of bounds when catching a pass.

Those are unforced errors that were easily avoidable. Doesn't mean they would have won, but it certainly didn't help.

re: Alabama vs Miss St thoughts?

Posted by SparkyWilson on 10/2/26 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

Are you at all concerned that your offense is predicated so heavily on explosive plays?


It become a concern when it becomes a concern.

Lebby goes for the chunk plays because he's getting them, but his offense has short and mid game built into it.

Your point stands though. Can Lebby pivot to the short and mid game if the long shots are mostly unavailable? I sure hope so.

What gives me reason to believe they can is Bothwell. He's had 100+ yards in each of the last three games (they didn't need him for the ULM game). Bama sitting only works as long as they can also keep Bothwell bottled up.
Great great grand uncle was a 2nd Lieutenant in the 27th Mississippi Infantry Regiment. I don't know for certain if he was there for the entirty of the regiments service, but they fought at Pensacola, Perryville, Stones River, Lookout Mountain, Chickamauga, Resaca, Franklin, and Nashville.

re: Alabama vs Miss St thoughts?

Posted by SparkyWilson on 10/2/26 at 10:43 am to
quote:

Yeah the problem with these stats(and any stats) is that with only 4 games of data it's really hard for them to be accurate.

They say what they say and they are the best stats I know of, but with such limited data, all stats are a bit iffy. Especially when neither has even played a top20 team yet. Alabama's SoS is 56, and Miss St is about equal at 62.

These are the kinds of games that help a lot and add clarity.


completely agree
quote:

What does the rest of the board think?

I think Bama will win this one decisively, we’re starting to click.


As for the original question, I think it will take a couple bad turnovers from either team for it to be a decisive win.

The defensive strategies will be interesting to see for each team. State has 4 receivers that all get a good share of the receptions. There's not really just one guy. Bothwell is having a great start to the season. That's going to be hard to defend.

I wonder if state will stick Kelley Jones on Coleman-Williams all game, and, if they do, will it work? Can Arnett get pressure without sending more than 4-5? Bama's running game doesn't quite as many yards that State does, but I'm thinking it's going to be a factor. Arnett is going to have his hands full too.

re: Alabama vs Miss St thoughts?

Posted by SparkyWilson on 10/2/26 at 10:23 am to
That makes sense, and I like those better.

Believe me, I know the raw stats don't tell the whole story.

It will be interesting to see what the FEI rankings look like further down the road.

re: Alabama vs Miss St thoughts?

Posted by SparkyWilson on 10/2/26 at 9:39 am to
quote:

#5 Alabama - #6 Offense, #10 Defense
#22 Miss St - #11 Offense, #39 Defense


Where are these rankings coming from?

Through 4 games:

Total Yards Gained:

State: #5 Bama: #24

Points Scored:

State: #15 Bama: #5 (that's counting 3 defensive TDS for Bama)

Total Yards Allowed:

State: #74 Bama: #51

Total Points Allowed:

State: #57 Bama: #51 (84 vs 81)

So the yards gained and yards allowed of course will be affected by turnovers/def tds.

The defensive stat that matters the most is points allowed, and the teams are neck and neck as far as that is concerned.

As in my other response, it's still hard to rely on this so early in the season. Opponents are different, teams should be getting better each week, etc..

If both teams continue their trend, it should be a tough match up and it's anybody's game.

re: Alabama vs Miss St thoughts?

Posted by SparkyWilson on 10/2/26 at 9:23 am to
quote:

You seem quite angry about data being presented.

I’d be upset about data too if I were an Arkansas fan.

Is Bama favored? Yes.
Do the stats support that? Yes.
Will it be the best team Bama has played YTD? Yes.
Could MSU win? Also yes.
Would anyone trade MSUs roster for Bamas? No.


That data isn't one to one is the issue.

1. It's still early in the season. If this game was week 8 or 9, you'd have a better picture of what both teams are capable of. Both Russell and Taylor are ascending with very similar stat lines.

2. The South Carolina comparison goes beyond the stats. It was State's 3rd Game. Alabama's 4th game. State played in Columbia. Bama got them in Tuscaloosa. There's no telling what the outcome would be if the situation was reversed, but getting South Carolina in Tuscaloosa with an extra game under their belt makes a difference.

3. You could argue Miss St didn't mop the floor with Missouri last week. Well, Simmons isn't Sellers. Sellers clearly can't read the field where Simmons can or at least he's better at it.

It's not a slam dunk that Alabama is that much better, but Saturday will sort it out.
Anyone? I'm sure there's at least one person somewhere that believes this.

Me? No. It's folly for us mere mortals to attribute anything to God's will.
quote:

Does A&M make playoffs?


Fixed it for you and no.
Seen it happen; I've grabbed the pot ahead of them and poured some for the people with normal size cups first.

They don't need all 20 oz right now anyway.

I have also set up my own coffee bar in my office to avoid the shenanigans.
quote:


I would have to be high to watch that shite.



That's why it was funny in college circa 2005.
quote:

Can we all refer to State as The Juggernut after we beat Bama this week


quote:

Nope Saban got Croomed in his first year at Alabama


Was that the Quentin Culberson pick 6?
He was playing like a Heisman in 2024, I was told.

The guy is a great athlete, but he's not going to get you there if he's forced to make the throws. Let him have some space, and he'll make you pay when the play starts breaking down. Teams know this and won't let him do it.
quote:

but that fellow lining up behind center for Bama and his offense is putting up funny farm numbers.


For comparison:

Bama: 1886 total yards; 171 total points (def TD excluded); 192 with def TD
State: 2,133 total yards; 172 points (State has no def TD)

Points Against are 81 vs 84.

Keelon and Kamario have put up very similar numbers.

Comes down to what it always does. Who's going to do it better on Saturday? State has always had issues closing the deal on big games. Can't seem to get out of their own way or make the clutch plays when needed. Would like to see that change Saturday. One can hope!
quote:

Baw looks like one of the Northmen from the 13th Warrior


Buliweif stunt double for sure.
quote:


Cause it’s happnin


Still a significant "if". They've allowed a fair amount of yards and points compared to Saban's teams, but Keelon is getting better every week as imagine the defense is.

That said, Kamario Taylor has been getting better and State gets to play at home. If this were in Tuscaloosa, I'd not give us much of a chance.

Overall, no, I wouldn't call State The Juggernaut even after this win. A lot of games left to play and they so far haven't just run over other SEC teams.
quote:

Every single oblast in Ukraine voted to leave the USSR, It wasn't even close. Russia will never be a great nation without Ukraine and that is the reason and the only reason Putin wants to conquer it.


Just saying I don't know if he's following Tucker. Otherwise, I don't disagree with you.
quote:

You should not be able to charge the same price for degrees that earn less too.



then the you'd have a lot of degrees that no one is willing to teach for next to nothing unless you suggest that higher earning degrees must subsidize lower earning degrees.

also, the cost of a degree is not the same as is a particular degree a good credit risk. Most of degrees have a lot of the same cost variables for university to provide them. Faculty, support staff, facilities and facilities maintenance, administrative services, taxes, other costs and overhead aren't going to be much different for STEM degrees vs liberal arts degrees.

the credit worthiness of between those degress is significantly different
quote:

He is stuck on the Tucker and other nutter claims. Ukraine wasn't interested in NATO until 2022. It did want to join the EU,



I don't know if that's the case. Nothing wrong with a different view even if I don't agree with it.