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Posted on 2/6/21 at 12:24 pm to jimbeam
#TeamCanadian
Posted on 2/6/21 at 12:29 pm to DVinBR
My forecast is still showing low 30s in Dallas with it reaching 35° on Sunday 
Did this thing speed up? I need 33° to stick around through Sunday at least!
Did this thing speed up? I need 33° to stick around through Sunday at least!
Posted on 2/6/21 at 2:55 pm to The Boat
Shortwave is a-hole.
If that ridge was built up into eastern Alaska like it had been shown, it would evict all the cold from Canada and probably get all the way down south. Just in time to spin up a coastal low near the Gulf Coast.
Models starting to hold it up a little, and some split some of the arctic cold toward the NE. Even if it all stays together, the later cold is having a surface low too far south for Louisiana snow and instead ice storm the shittiest parts of SEC country and snow for the Ohio Valley.
No harm in watching the models a little longer though.
Posted on 2/6/21 at 3:00 pm to Duke
quote:Amen.
No harm in watching the models a little longer though.
Posted on 2/6/21 at 3:32 pm to TDsngumbo
OP should be updated
Posted on 2/6/21 at 3:33 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
OP should be updated
Updated to "possible frost V-Day weekend"
Posted on 2/6/21 at 4:39 pm to The Boat
Frost huh?
Posted on 2/6/21 at 4:41 pm to BallsEleven
Lol Tuesday the 16th
GFS was showing that on Friday the 12th when this thread was made
GFS was showing that on Friday the 12th when this thread was made
Posted on 2/6/21 at 4:48 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
LSUGrrrl
You doing the Cupid run or something??
Posted on 2/6/21 at 4:48 pm to The Boat
Yea my forecast went from showing it snowing its balls off fri-sat to having that goofy thermometer with the snowflake next to it thing on Monday. Still has pretty cold weekend temps tho. Low 20s
This post was edited on 2/6/21 at 4:49 pm
Posted on 2/6/21 at 4:59 pm to The Boat
I’d say a high in the 20s is more than a frost but to each their own.
Posted on 2/6/21 at 5:00 pm to BallsEleven
quote:
Frost huh?
What you posted is the next system around mid-week the week after Valentine’s Day. Not the system for Valentine’s Day weekend.
The temp map is for Valentine’s Day, though.
This post was edited on 2/6/21 at 5:02 pm
Posted on 2/6/21 at 5:05 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
I know, but it’s just 2 days later.
This post was edited on 2/6/21 at 5:06 pm
Posted on 2/6/21 at 5:42 pm to BallsEleven
We aren't having highs in the 20's, u don't care whatbsimd computer model shows
Posted on 2/6/21 at 5:51 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Get that kind of cold near the gulf long enough, you'll spin up a low near the coast. Jet stream has dipped so you get some favorable upper dynamics and the big temperature difference with the gulf.
I do think this is going to produce an ice storm somewhere in the SE, just a matter of how far the cold gets south and when exactly the low pressure forms.
I do think this is going to produce an ice storm somewhere in the SE, just a matter of how far the cold gets south and when exactly the low pressure forms.
Posted on 2/6/21 at 8:52 pm to TDsngumbo
Saturday evening update:
Ice and snow are MOSTLY gone from the models now and the GFS still shows bitter cold temps while the EURO thinks the cold stays further north. Below are some highlights.
Friday - (GFS) 46 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 40 at noon
Saturday - (GFS) 36 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 49 at noon
Sunday - (GFS) 27 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 54 at noon
Monday - (GFS) 37 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 37 at noon
Tuesday - (GFS) 34 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 27 at 6:00am
(GFS) 36 at 6:00am
Wednesday - (GFS) 35 degrees at noon
Thursday - (GFS) 37 degrees at noon
Friday - (GFS) a sticky 48 degrees at noon
Precipitation is mostly out of the BR area this whole time but it’s definitely close enough to the region that the chance is there for some sleet/freezing rain issues much of the time.
Canadian model only goes to Tuesday morning at this time so no further info temperature wise there. The Canadian does give us a good bit of ice on early Tuesday morning.
Talking as though this is going to be nothing is being a little premature right now BUT it is worth noting that anytime the models start pushing back a significant event it usually ends up being wrong. Just my personal observation from years of watching weather models.
Ice and snow are MOSTLY gone from the models now and the GFS still shows bitter cold temps while the EURO thinks the cold stays further north. Below are some highlights.
Friday - (GFS) 46 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 40 at noon
Saturday - (GFS) 36 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 49 at noon
Sunday - (GFS) 27 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 54 at noon
Monday - (GFS) 37 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 37 at noon
Tuesday - (GFS) 34 degrees at noon
(Canadian) 27 at 6:00am
(GFS) 36 at 6:00am
Wednesday - (GFS) 35 degrees at noon
Thursday - (GFS) 37 degrees at noon
Friday - (GFS) a sticky 48 degrees at noon
Precipitation is mostly out of the BR area this whole time but it’s definitely close enough to the region that the chance is there for some sleet/freezing rain issues much of the time.
Canadian model only goes to Tuesday morning at this time so no further info temperature wise there. The Canadian does give us a good bit of ice on early Tuesday morning.
Talking as though this is going to be nothing is being a little premature right now BUT it is worth noting that anytime the models start pushing back a significant event it usually ends up being wrong. Just my personal observation from years of watching weather models.
This post was edited on 2/6/21 at 8:54 pm
Posted on 2/6/21 at 10:12 pm to TDsngumbo
GFS is running now - so far Friday at noon is colder than the previous run, at 42 degrees.
33 at noon on Saturday.
Trending colder
33 at noon on Saturday.
Trending colder
This post was edited on 2/6/21 at 10:17 pm
Posted on 2/6/21 at 11:53 pm to TDsngumbo
Canadian is still all in on a 3 day ice storm starting the 15th.
This post was edited on 2/6/21 at 11:55 pm
Posted on 2/7/21 at 4:25 am to TDsngumbo
These “weather experts” just guess their arse off a week before. Two days ago it said Watson would be down to 19F on Friday Feb 19. (Which now shows 39F). Huge f’n difference. Now it shows 34 as the coldest night the entire week. Idiots.
This post was edited on 2/7/21 at 4:30 am
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