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Posted on 2/7/21 at 11:58 am to TDsngumbo
You are trying to hard........
Posted on 2/7/21 at 12:18 pm to dukke v
What the frick are you talking about?
Posted on 2/7/21 at 12:23 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Do I order the snowblower from Amazon today or not?
Posted on 2/7/21 at 12:24 pm to StringedInstruments
quote:
The forecasters know that the models are showing inconsistencies, so why choose the low temps and snow to post in apps, websites, and on TV shows?
What are they supposed to do? Not tell us anything?
Posted on 2/7/21 at 12:27 pm to TexasTiger1185
quote:
What are they supposed to do? Not tell us anything?
Say nothing. These 7-10 day forecasts are proving that they are useless.
Posted on 2/7/21 at 12:44 pm to ihometiger
quote:
Do I order the snowblower from Amazon today or not?
Best go ahead and place the order. Getting 9" of snow on the 22nd
This post was edited on 2/7/21 at 12:45 pm
Posted on 2/7/21 at 12:58 pm to doubleb
There's a reason the NWS doesn't go out past day 7 on forecasts.
You're getting raw model output at that point in time, so yeah, it'll change.
quote:
These 7-10 day forecasts are proving that they are useless.
You're getting raw model output at that point in time, so yeah, it'll change.
Posted on 2/7/21 at 1:11 pm to doubleb
quote:
These 7-10 day forecasts are proving that they are useless.
They are useless as far as public consumption is concerned. There is a reason you don't see any forecasts over 7 days with any real specificity being released by local news/weather outlets. Long range models are used to spot trends, nothing more or less. When you're talking about winter weather in the Southeast, those models become even more useless. You're dealing with a weather event that requires a perfect setup. The reality is that it is nearly impossible to forecast that perfect setup outside of a couple days, and even then it can be hit or miss.
Models are perfectly fine if you operate and use them within their parameters and recognize their limitations.
Posted on 2/7/21 at 1:11 pm to Duke
Here's the latest NBM:
Posted on 2/7/21 at 1:35 pm to TexasTiger1185
quote:
What are they supposed to do? Not tell us anything?
Tell us all of it. Program the app so it reflects the reality of the forecast. Go on TV and say “we don’t know yet. The models are showing drastic inconsistencies, which happens sometimes.”
Posted on 2/7/21 at 2:08 pm to StringedInstruments
Nothing wrong with saying that and it’s honestly the most respectable way of handing it imo.
Posted on 2/7/21 at 2:11 pm to weadjust
3-4 inches is like the perfect amount of snow
But ice storms are gay
Posted on 2/7/21 at 2:22 pm to S
The models nailed the snow a few weeks ago really far out. Not so much this time.
Posted on 2/7/21 at 2:23 pm to The Boat
Everyone don’t drive your cars this week. We need to reverse global warming so it’s cold!!!!
Posted on 2/7/21 at 2:32 pm to jimbeam
quote:
Everyone don’t drive your cars this week. We need to reverse global warming so it’s cold!!!!
Posted on 2/7/21 at 2:44 pm to doubleb
quote:
These 7-10 day forecasts are proving that they are useless.
My favorite product that one respectable weather company Crapuweather came out with was a 90 day forecast.
They also came out with some thing called minute cast.
Let me tell you, neither was accurate hence my new name for them.
The only thing they had going for them a few years ago was Joe Bastardi.
Now he is with another weather decision making company.
This post was edited on 2/7/21 at 2:47 pm
Posted on 2/7/21 at 2:55 pm to Duke
quote:
You're getting raw model output at that point in time, so yeah, it'll change.
Thus it’s useless to tell folks it’s going to be a 55 degree high with a 40%chance of rain nine days from now; yet you see that all the time.
The models are beneficial tools to meteorologists, but not so that a definitive forecast can be made using them. You can alert folks to possibilities and trends sure; but specific temps is crazy when no one really knows.
Posted on 2/7/21 at 2:56 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
erate and use them within their parameters and recognize their limitations.
Models are great. No doubt about that. It’s the 7-10 day forecasts that are useless.
Posted on 2/7/21 at 3:03 pm to doubleb
They won't really know how cold it will be for us until the air gets into the US observations points. Canadian model flipped from snowpocalypse to much warmer, Euro not consistent.... It seems snow/ice events are much more difficult to forecast than a line of storms
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