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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/30/20 12PM CT Update: 4,025 Cases - 34,033 tested - 185 dead

Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

I have wondered about the timing of the test results, as well, in looking at the numbers. If some results take days to receive, then the number of cases increasing isn't really accurate. Those folks could be over it.


Correct. We could very well be seeing positive cases added to the total that are almost done with the virus.
Posted by CheniereTiger108
Member since Jul 2014
1679 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:39 pm to
Possibly the 17 year old in Nola
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79878 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

Possibly the 17 year old in Nola


Doesn't show up. He died with covid, not because of it.

Probably depends on how the autopsy classifies it though.
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 12:41 pm
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:42 pm to
LSUpride87 said he was counted
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
46610 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:42 pm to
They already included him in their numbers. I saw it on the LDH website while they were still putting out all the ages.

The update on the 26th still has the 17 YO listed with the rest of the deaths.
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 12:44 pm
Posted by Uncle JackD
Member since Nov 2007
59622 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:43 pm to
They are several days behind on deaths. Currently showing 1 death in Lafayette parish, which I know for fact is wrong.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11843 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:49 pm to
That seems consistent and comparable though. I doubt any country or state or county/parish has been reporting real time deaths.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112599 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

LSUpride87 said he was counted


he was
Posted by anewguy
BR
Member since Mar 2017
1239 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:51 pm to
I am part of this. I tested positive for Covid-19.

Pretty sure I got it from my wife, and doctor thinks our 8 month old had it as well. All are doing fine now.

Also, it took me almost a week to get the test back, and even when I went to take it I already felt better. Felt like I had a bad cold and lower back pain. My 2 weeks really ends today but I am staying out of the office for another week.
This post was edited on 3/30/20 at 12:53 pm
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11843 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:52 pm to
Glad to hear that!
Posted by ashy larry
Marcy Projects
Member since Mar 2010
5582 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Until we begin to see widespread same day or next day tests, there will be a significant lag.


There also seems to be a lag on reporting positive cases unless LDH is counting nursing home differently. A relative of mine lives in Pointe Coupee. He pointed out that they have a nursing home listed for having 2 or more cases. However, Pointe Coupee only shows 2 cases total on the LDH site. There should be at least 4. Pointe Coupee definitely has two cases outside the nursing home and the two (or more) inside of it.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
22267 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Pay attention to the % positives. That is trending in the right direction.

I've always felt that was 1 of the more important factors the media/officials don't discuss.

In the past 2 days we have seen the % positive drop from 15% to 8.3%, then down to 7.9%. But, they will only focus on the 710 combined new cases & 48 combined new reported deaths over the past 2 days
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:59 pm to
arent the test starting to come back much quicker now vs the 5 days they started out taking?
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
57566 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

No, they bury the ventilator with the deceased.


quote:

Antonio Moss


You win the funniest post of the morning. For the record, The Boat was second with his post, and dancing nana, about beating Italy.
Posted by danny d lsu
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2007
1581 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

No, they bury the ventilator with the deceased.




Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
57566 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Pay attention to the % positives. That is trending in the right direction.


No! Meaningless stat. The more tests you administer the lower will be the percentage of positives. If you have limited tests you give them to the most obvious cases. The next batch of tests go to a less obvious group, etc.

Keep your eyes on hospitalization and deaths. Number of new cases is a decent stat, but it's heavily dependent on testing. This stat will get more reliable as testing increases.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
57566 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Pretty sure I got it from my wife, and doctor thinks our 8 month old had it as well. All are doing fine now.

quote:

anewguy


Good for you! I like hearing good news stories about this.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
29151 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

I’m not an expert but seems like good news? Especially on the hospitalization/ventilator side of things?


I interpret that as turbidity. Those that die as well as those that improve get off the vents. My information is that more are improving than dying, which is good. We aren’t overwhelmed at this point, which is also good.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:09 pm to
10k more test since Friday?
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
22267 posts
Posted on 3/30/20 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

No! Meaningless stat. The more tests you administer the lower will be the percentage of positives.

You still have to hit certain qualifiers in order to be allowed to test. The percentage of positives is still an important stay, and probably more so than the quantitative numbers. Because, as you test more people, you will ultimately have more positive results.
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