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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:43 pm to
Posted by OneSaintsFan
St. George, La
Member since Jan 2009
1917 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

They keep telling you the center is not in a different spot.


I took that as the model run that someone posted was wrong date to be today's.

I gotcha, sorry about that.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78511 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:43 pm to
I was wondering this after speculating why they didn't fly over the Yucatan the other day. How big are these sensors to be dropping over land?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131647 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:45 pm to
Levi definitely thinks a shift west would be more likely than east
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8725 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:46 pm to
Just a question. What happens to the dropsondes after they drop them? Do they hire a team to go collect them? Do the burn up? Are they biodegradable?
Posted by StickD
Houston
Member since Apr 2010
11837 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:46 pm to
Levi is the modern day Nash Roberts
Posted by Athis
I AM Charlie Kirk....
Member since Aug 2016
16459 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:47 pm to
That one freakin pink noodle has got to be a democrat....



Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

Levi definitely thinks a shift west would be more likely than east


He's right.

quote:

I was wondering this after speculating why they didn't fly over the Yucatan the other day. How big are these sensors to be dropping over land?


They don't drop stuff over land.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131647 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:50 pm to
We drop them over cuba

frick em
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51776 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:51 pm to
Center of TS Laura visible over the western end of Cuba from the Key West radar site:

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21552 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:52 pm to
Based on recon, radar, and sat it appears that Laura is going to emerge into the Gulf soon with a rather large lumbering eye. This will be a pretty big system and that could work against it wrapping up very fast.

ETA: Also ref Roll Tides post above for radar.

This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 7:54 pm
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1788 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:54 pm to
Is that an eye starting to form over northern Cuba???
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:55 pm to
Perfect color to represent a Democrat too.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51776 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:55 pm to
quote:

Also ref Roll Tides post above for radar

My best contribution to these threads is that I’m good at getting lots of radar and satellite images.
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:56 pm to
Isn’t that more northerly than it was before?
Posted by BourreTheDog
Member since May 2016
2775 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:56 pm to
If you listen to Levi’s ‘steering’ projections, it boils down to the strength and location of the ridge of High Pressure over Florida. GFS has it more East and weaker than the Euro. Laura is going to go West of that ridge. THAT’s the $Million question that tomorrow is going to answer.

If I’m hearing what Levi is saying w/o saying it, the likelihood of the Euro winning is greater, pushing Laura westward before landfall
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27448 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

Center of TS Laura visible over the western end of Cuba from the Key West radar site:


That's bad for Sela correct?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78511 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

They don't drop stuff over land.



That is what I was thinking, I just saw that pic you posted and thought those were sensors being dropped over land.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85157 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

Isn’t that more northerly than it was before?


Def looks to be emerging further north... However, looks can be deceiving.

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131647 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:00 pm to
That isnt really the eye

The center is more broad right now
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21552 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:01 pm to
quote:

quote:
Levi definitely thinks a shift west would be more likely than east


He's right.


18z Euro is on the eastern edge of the 18z Euro EPS spread and the 18z GFS clusters with the eastern 1/3 of the GEFSv12 spread. That would seem to indicate we are looking at more room for the system to shift west vs. east when considering the 18z model data.
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 8:02 pm
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