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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:02 pm to
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

Based on recon, radar, and sat it appears that Laura is going to emerge into the Gulf soon with a rather large lumbering eye. This will be a pretty big system and that could work against it wrapping up very fast.


What does this mean regarding current forecasted track?
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

rds dc


quote:

more room to shift west vs east.


Thank you sweet baby Jesus.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59879 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:03 pm to
More to the Levi summary

It depends on how strong the high pressure is over the southeast. If it is weaker the storm makes landfall in Louisiana if it is stronger the storm makes landfall in Texas. So there is still some uncertainty in the track.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84337 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:05 pm to
Eric Webb
@webberweather
The 18z European ensemble track forecast for #Laura summarized in one sentence:

"Houston, we have a problem."

#txwx #lawx

Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82745 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:06 pm to
My boy Scott Pile says to throw this Euro run out da window
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131647 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

It depends on how strong the high pressure is over the southeast. If it is weaker the storm makes landfall in Louisiana if it is stronger the storm makes landfall in Texas. So there is still some uncertainty in the track.


Correct. But Levi said observations today show that the ridge is slightly stronger than GFS is allowing for
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

18z Euro is on the eastern edge of the 18z Euro EPS spread and the 18z GFS clusters with the eastern 1/3 of the GEFSv12 spread. That would seem to indicate we are looking at more room for the system to shift west vs. east when considering the 18z model data.


Exactly.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102839 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

They did, but typically they aren't allowed to fly over Cuba because of you know...the Bay of Pigs and what not.


Trump is president we do what we want.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93651 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

we are looking at more room for the system to shift west


Soooo...I'm getting my rain?
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102839 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

Does that mean it was farther north than they originally thought like someone said a few pages ago?


Yep



Not good. Expect the models to shift east back toward central la
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50833 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

Expect the models to shift east back toward central la

That’s literally the opposite of what everyone with a professional background in hurricanes is saying.
Posted by CharlesLSU
Member since Jan 2007
33653 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:10 pm to
Exactly

I’ll stay with my Beaumont Cat 2 bet
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 8:11 pm
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39224 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

Not good. Expect the models to shift east back toward central la


You should be banned
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95036 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:12 pm to
I’m calling Beaumont landfall. Strong cat 2

Still sucks for me in LC
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 8:13 pm
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
39984 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:12 pm to
The European Model Ensemble show the majority of its tracks below Galveston. I guess we'll see who's right ?
Posted by EveryoneGetsATrophy
Member since Nov 2017
2907 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

That one freakin pink noodle has got to be a democrat....


That's the Latoya model. She has already declared for disaster assistance.
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 8:16 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102839 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:12 pm to
Just my opinion.




I also have a professional background














In shitposting
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39224 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:12 pm to
Not the place, assclown
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:13 pm to
Houston is the new New Orleans since this is clearly not going to Nola. They (media, people who live there, Mets in Twitter) want it to go there so bad.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93651 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

Not good. Expect the models to shift east back toward central la


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