re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted by LegendInMyMind

Member since Apr 2019

75221 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:02 pm to Mr. Hangover

quote:
is marco expected to strenghten or weaken before landfall? sorry for the redudant question but i've been hurricane prepping all day and haven't been able to really follow this thread. only hearing the panic from the locals.

It should weaken due to fighting substantial shear pretty much its entire time in the Gulf. It is a small system that will feel the impact of any shear or dry air more than if it were larger. This current strengthening for Marco is not unexpected, and it shouldn't last.

Posted by Jwho77

cyperspace

Member since Sep 2003

84318 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:03 pm to OldHickory

Robert Mandan TYFYS

Posted by BradC

Smith Lake

Member since Feb 2019

334 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:03 pm to rds dc

quote:

Levi Cowan

@TropicalTidbits

·

1m

#Laura's center is now clear on radar, moving to the south of eastern Cuba. The circulation will likely interact with Cuba's mountains later today/tonight, but the storm's structure is healthy, which is not an encouraging sign for when it enters the Gulf of Mexico tomorrow night.

This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 1:04 pm

2 ...

Posted by RummelTiger

Official TD Sauces Club Member

Member since Aug 2004

93643 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:04 pm to BradC

quote:
The circulation will likely interact with Cuba's mountains later today/tonight, but the storm's structure is healthy, which is not an encouraging sign for when it enters the Gulf of Mexico tomorrow night.

Fuuuuuuuuuuck

Posted by LegendInMyMind

Member since Apr 2019

75221 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:04 pm to Jwho77

Pressure at landfall aside, being sub 1,000 before it exits Cuba is a good sign of strengthening going forward in the Gulf.

Pretty much the only thing keeping Laura from bombing out right now is land. It has everything else in its favor right now.

Posted by Tiger Ryno

#WoF

Member since Feb 2007

108374 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:05 pm to Jwho77

When is Trump gonna do something about these storms?

Posted by jimbeam

University of LSU

Member since Oct 2011

75703 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:05 pm to The Boat

May God be with you The Boat.

Posted by Bobby OG Johnson

Member since Apr 2015

33516 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:05 pm to BradC

Posted by Duke

Dillon, CO

Member since Jan 2008

36494 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:06 pm to DhanTigers212

quote:
Will Laura keep tracking west? What could happen for it to come back east? I know I’ll get downvoted for asking a question but I am actually trying to understand how all this works.

These are the questions worth asking.

So it's going to ride along the edge of a ridge. It's a high pressure cell and flow around it is clockwise. So on the SW and W side you get WNW to N motion.

It's going to take this path but it depends on where it enters the gulf. The farther south it gets, the farther west it goes. It's the same thing pushing it so it goes the same direction.

What gets it back east would be cutting north across Cuba early and getting close to the Keys. Off the western tip or south of Cuba, it goes to Texas.

Posted by lsuman25

Erwinville

Member since Aug 2013

43297 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:08 pm to Duke

LOL Euro weakens it and makes landfall close to Grand Isle looks like maybe a little west of there.

5 ...

Posted by tigercraig

Baton Rouge

Member since Sep 2003

3824 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:11 pm to lsuman25

Marco not looking as robust as he did a couple
Hours ago. Cloud tops seem to warming on satellite

Posted by lsugolfredman

Member since Jun 2005

1941 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:12 pm to lsuman25

Yeah, that Euro run is gonna make the NHC scratch their collective heads. No way its that weak, but Euro's record is pretty impeccable for track location.

Posted by tgrgrd00

Kenner, LA

Member since Jun 2004

11595 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:12 pm to lsuman25

WTF Euro, c'mon man.

That's frustrating af.

I'm not sure about the euro right now. Seems to be struggling.

Posted by rt3

now in the piney woods of Pineville

Member since Apr 2011

147182 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:12 pm to lsuman25

interesting Euro run right now

certainly against every other trend right now

Posted by Jwho77

cyperspace

Member since Sep 2003

84318 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:13 pm to Tiger Ryno

quote:
When is Trump gonna do something about these storms?

It's like he doesn't think we know the Pentagon has the Tropical Cannon.

Posted by lsufan4lifeMiles

Baton Rouge

Member since Aug 2013

746 posts

Posted on 8/23/20 at 1:13 pm to tigercraig

Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits

A note on the 12Z ECMWF:

The rightward track of #Laura into SE Louisiana appears to be due to #Marco falling apart on the model, leaving its remnants in the gulf, which then pivot Laura to the right. Can't guarantee this doesn't happen, but so far, Marco is holding together.