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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:15 am to Chromdome35
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:15 am to Chromdome35
LINK
Ukraine may be able to go on the offensive against Russia by late may/ mid June according to Presidential spokesman. Thanks to the new heavy weapons delivered recently. I've always thought Ukraine may have not felt they had the hardware to go on an offensive & take a small city like Kherson.
Ukraine may be able to go on the offensive against Russia by late may/ mid June according to Presidential spokesman. Thanks to the new heavy weapons delivered recently. I've always thought Ukraine may have not felt they had the hardware to go on an offensive & take a small city like Kherson.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:23 am to Chromdome35
City AM - unsure of source quality
quote:
Rumours are swirling in Moscow that a number of former generals and KGB officials are preparing to oust Russia’s president Vladimir Putin and plan to end the war in Ukraine, which is increasingly seen across Russia as a strategic mistake and, above all, an economic disaster. The top of Putin’s former employer – the Russian security service FSB – is said to be so frustrated about the lack of military progress in Ukraine that it has reached out to a number of generals and former army officials, according to various analysts and local media reports. In particular a group called the ‘Siloviki’ – which comprises of former FSB officers who are active in Russian politics – is said to be pushing hard to replace Putin, together with former officers from the GRU, KGB and FSO, other Russian intelligence units.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:25 am to BRIllini07
The EU is preparing to increase military aid to Moldova. Meanwhile Belarus has launched a surprise military readiness checks on its armed forces.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:27 am to DownshiftAndFloorIt
Yes I saw that it has a hell of a win rate in war games. Something like 119-1. If that is the fact why would it not be used, why pay that much money for something you are never going to use. Something is fricky with the whole program. The opportunities have been there for its use.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:35 am to Pfft
quote:The poor bastard who was the “one”….
Yes I saw that it has a hell of a win rate in war games. Something like 119-1.
That would be my nickname for her: “One”.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:35 am to Pfft
The only knock I've seen against them are small internal payload and lack of range. But it's pretty old technology at this point. Rather than buy more they're putting their hopes on the nextgen fighter, which may be partially or fully unmanned.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:45 am to DownshiftAndFloorIt
quote:
I dont believe an F15 has ever been shot down in combat, and the F22 is wayyyyyyy better than that.
The good stuff starts around 3:00 mins in vid one....
Red Flag briefing about IAF Su-30MKI by a USAF Col. - Part I
Red Flag briefing about IAF Su-30MKI by a USAF Col. - Part II
This post was edited on 5/4/22 at 8:55 am
Posted on 5/4/22 at 8:54 am to DownshiftAndFloorIt
quote:
I dont believe an F15 has ever been shot down in combat
One went down the first or second day of desert storm, piloted by a guy from Bastrop. The assumption is a combat loss but they didn't find the wreckage until after it had been stripped by Bedouin scavengers, so no definitive answer
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:11 am to Pfft
quote:
Yes I saw that it has a hell of a win rate in war games. Something like 119-1. If that is the fact why would it not be used, why pay that much money for something you are never going to use. Something is fricky with the whole program. The opportunities have been there for its use.
its not used because it is an air superiorty fighter that must be launched from land. We havent had a need to use them as our F-18s & F-15 can pretty much take out all other jets in the world. the F-15 has never lost a battle and the F-18 has a kill ratio of 15:1 and with the development of the super hornet....yea we dont even need the 5th gen fighters to remain on top
2nd, the f22 is absurbly expensive to operate so if not needed, why would we use it?
3rd....as advanced as the 5th gen fighters are especially the f22....yea its still 1980s and early 90s technology and development. 30-40 years old. It has been in service since the early 2000s and was flying in the late 90s.
AS good as it is, the focus absolutely should be on 6th gen fighters going forward. At this point we can maintain air superioty with our 4th gen and 4.5 gen fighters and if we deploy 5th gen can achieve essential kill ratios of 500:1 maybe even better.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:12 am to Chromdome35
NASA has a set of satellites that monitor fires across the globe. It has come in very useful for seeing exactly where the fighting is occurring in Ukraine.
The NASA tool to view the data is very robust and you can choose from a variety of layers to display. You can also choose a date in time or a date range to view.
This should take you to the Donetsk region where the majority of the fighting is occurring now.
https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#m:advanced;d:24hrs;l:noaa20-viirs,viirs,modis_a,modis_t,countries,landsat_human,street;@38.1,48.7,9z
The NASA tool to view the data is very robust and you can choose from a variety of layers to display. You can also choose a date in time or a date range to view.
This should take you to the Donetsk region where the majority of the fighting is occurring now.
https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#m:advanced;d:24hrs;l:noaa20-viirs,viirs,modis_a,modis_t,countries,landsat_human,street;@38.1,48.7,9z
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:29 am to BRIllini07
quote:
Siloviki’ – which comprises of former FSB officers who are active in Russian politics – is said to be pushing hard to replace Putin, together with former officers from the GRU, KGB and FSO, other Russian intelligence units.
This may have legs. Its been discussed but its going to have to be a security agency or a proxy. No lone wolf guy can get close enough.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:31 am to sugar71
It is my opinion that the Ukrainians have been preparing for a spring/summer offensive. When the ground firms up after the spring rains, I look for them to launch a major offensive to drive Russia from the east and back to the pre-2014 borders. I don't know if they will be successful, but that's what I think they will try.
Their reservists have been being trained by the US and NATO for 2 months. Their army will have had time to learn about and integrate all the new toys they have been provided. Ukraine will have more troops and armor on the battlefield than Russia currently has...why do you think Russia is talking about mass mobilization, Russia knows they are going to be outnumbered soon if they don't bring more troops into the fight.
We haven't seen any modern weapon systems deployed yet (Beyond ATGM and MANPADS). The 155mm arty with the Excalibur rounds, Switchblade drones, and Counter Battery Radar will change the battlefield. There has been reporting that Ukraine now has more tanks on the battlefield than the Russians do, where are they exactly?
The US and NATO are assisting the Ukrainian military by being fully involved in strategic and tactical level planning. I would bet that we have a large group of "liaison" officers sitting in the Ukrainian C&C bunkers offering advice and intelligence.
Ukraine took Russia's best punch and survived...Ukraine will punch back hard and soon.
Their reservists have been being trained by the US and NATO for 2 months. Their army will have had time to learn about and integrate all the new toys they have been provided. Ukraine will have more troops and armor on the battlefield than Russia currently has...why do you think Russia is talking about mass mobilization, Russia knows they are going to be outnumbered soon if they don't bring more troops into the fight.
We haven't seen any modern weapon systems deployed yet (Beyond ATGM and MANPADS). The 155mm arty with the Excalibur rounds, Switchblade drones, and Counter Battery Radar will change the battlefield. There has been reporting that Ukraine now has more tanks on the battlefield than the Russians do, where are they exactly?
The US and NATO are assisting the Ukrainian military by being fully involved in strategic and tactical level planning. I would bet that we have a large group of "liaison" officers sitting in the Ukrainian C&C bunkers offering advice and intelligence.
Ukraine took Russia's best punch and survived...Ukraine will punch back hard and soon.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:39 am to Chromdome35
quote:LINK article is in Russian or some other Slavic language. You can run it through your translator of choice if you wish to read it. Pretty interesting.
At the end of March, many contract soldiers from the self-proclaimed South Ossetia refused to fight in Ukraine. After that, according to Mediazona's source in the republic, all refuseniks were fired from service. About a hundred people have already returned to the troops - some of them will be sent back to the combat zone. Another two dozen military men challenged the dismissal in court. After returning to the republic, the soldiers met with the head of South Ossetia, Anatoly Bibilov. They talked about unbearable service conditions, broken equipment and lack of command on the front line. Mediazona publishes excerpts from their stories and answers from the head of the republic.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:48 am to Jim Rockford
I have read several articles that discuss the same thing.
Did you see the reporting from a few days ago discussing the firefight between the Chechens and Russian troops over Loot? The Chechens were taking loot gathered by Russian troops, and the Russians got pissed and started shooting.
Did you see the reporting from a few days ago discussing the firefight between the Chechens and Russian troops over Loot? The Chechens were taking loot gathered by Russian troops, and the Russians got pissed and started shooting.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:51 am to Chromdome35
quote:
Did you see the reporting from a few days ago discussing the firefight between the Chechens and Russian troops over Loot? The Chechens were taking loot gathered by Russian troops, and the Russians got pissed and started shooting.
Are you suggesting the Russians don't like when people steal their stolen things? Interesting
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:51 am to Chromdome35
quote:
I would bet that we have a large group of "liaison" officers sitting in the Ukrainian C&C bunkers offering advice and intelligence.
No we don't. Mainly because we have no need to.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:56 am to sugar71
I’m skeptical… why publicize it like that? If UAR was serious about a counteroffensive, then politicians need to shut up. Otherwise, it’s just a ploy to scare Russia.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:57 am to Jim Rockford
Good article with new info.
Fully reinforces the narrative that Russia does not have a professional military in any sense of the word.
Fully reinforces the narrative that Russia does not have a professional military in any sense of the word.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 10:06 am to Centinel
quote:
Centinel
what is your opinion on what NATOs reaction will be if Russia declares all out war and full military mobilization?
Posted on 5/4/22 at 10:10 am to Centinel
quote:
No we don't. Mainly because we have no need to.
The mobil TOC. Frustrating, awkward at first, cant print, "hey I didnt get your slide"....but by god they work (eventually).
I just did a warfighter with the Egyptian Army in 2021 and this is why we do shite like that. You know when the 18th ABC hit the ground they were up and running and fighting the war in 24 hours. We do it right and it shows.
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