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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 3/15/24 at 3:39 pm to
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5729 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 3:39 pm to
Zelensky: Ukraine to strike Russia's 'weakest spots' with drones

by Kateryna Hodunova March 15, 2024 9:21 PM

Ukraine had identified Russia's "weakest spots" for future drone attacks, President Volodymyr Zelensky said on March 15 after meetings with top military and security officials.

Zelensky added that the "weakest spots" of the enemy were identified during the meeting and would be targeted by Ukrainian forces to cause "the most serious damage."

"The more Russia loses, and the higher is the price of its aggression, the closer will be the fair end of this war," Zelensky said.

Zelensky also said that he met the representatives of the defense industry, the government, and other institutions to discuss technologically advanced drone production for future combat operations.

"We have such kinds of weapons in Ukraine, but they need to have longer range, more mass, and be more powerful," Zelensky said, adding that none of the Russian terrorist attacks must be left "unanswered.

The Kyiv Independent
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13507 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

I just simply cannot see UKR coming up with the necessary numbers of manpower its going to take to operate all this equipment. Something doesn't add up...


I think you have it backwards.

Having the me to operate equipment is not a big deal. It's a country of 34 million people. They have about 800 males turn 18 years old every day.

Throwing meat waves against entrenched machine guns backed up by howitzers firing cluster munitions...that's how you run out of people. Not by training 4-man IFV or MBT crews. Or operating FPV drones. Those are force multipliers that reduce the need for manpower.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42751 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

I'm not really talking about the casualty numbers up to now...i'm talking about how many men it's going to take to operate all this new equipment we are giving them in the future? Where is UKR finding the manpower? We already know and have seen video evidence of drastic measures being taken, of men being forced into service and sent to the front lines. IMO, i think this is why the world should take Macron's words about sending in Western troops very seriously. I just simply cannot see UKR coming up with the necessary numbers of manpower its going to take to operate all this equipment. Something doesn't add up..


Why do you trust those numbers? I don’t.

Both sides are putting out do much BS its best to ignore it.

All I know is Ukraine had enough men to slow Russian armies to a crawl. How many is that? Just enough.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5729 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

I just simply cannot see UKR coming up with the necessary numbers of manpower its going to take to operate all this equipment. Something doesn't add up...


What new equipment? Most of what we send is consumed by current equipment and goes boom.
Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
8660 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 4:52 pm to
Ukraine still has plenty of men but they need ammunition of all kinds; artillery, mortars, air degrease missiles on down to small arms ammo for individual soldiers.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21027 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 5:11 pm to
Before 2022, Ukraine had an army that had appropriate amounts of equipment for its size.

Then, Russia invaded, and Ukraine's army became four or five times as large, creating a desperate need of equipment. They have since gotten a lot of equipment, but they really still don't have anything like enough for the size of their military.
Posted by NPComb
Member since Jan 2019
28605 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 5:36 pm to
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
4156 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 5:37 pm to
wonder why all those countries feel threatened enough to have to join a defensive alliance
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16112 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 5:38 pm to
Fake news due Russia was a Partnership for Peace quasi member of NATO under Putin
Posted by NPComb
Member since Jan 2019
28605 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

wonder why all those countries feel threatened enough to have to join a defensive alliance


The perfect answer Komrade. I expected nothing less.
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
4156 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 5:39 pm to
ok
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45706 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

The question is this...where is the man power coming from? Seriously, we can give them all the equipment in the world...but who's operating it?



How about the 900,000 active duty personnel and/or the 1,200,000 reservists that are currently in the UAF. As I pointed linked earlier, Ukraine is scheduled later this month to vote on a bill that will conscript an additional 400,000-500,000 males per year.
Posted by StormyMcMan
USA
Member since Oct 2016
4691 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 9:36 pm to
ISW Update

quote:

Key Takeaways:

Russian forces will likely continue ongoing offensive efforts to destabilize Ukrainian defensive lines in Spring 2024 while also preparing for a forecasted new offensive effort in Summer 2024. The provision of Western security assistance will likely play a critical role in Ukraine’s ability to hold territory now and to repel a new Russian offensive effort in the coming months.

Well-provisioned Ukrainian forces have shown that they can prevent Russian forces from making even marginal gains during large-scale Russian offensive efforts, and there is no reason to doubt that Ukraine could further stabilize the frontline and prepare for repelling the reported Russian offensive effort this summer if materiel shortages abated.

The threat of significant Russian gains in the coming months does not mean that there is no threat of Russian forces making such gains through offensive operations this spring.

Pressing shortages in air defense systems and missiles will likely dramatically reduce Ukraine’s ability to defend against Russian strikes both in rear and frontline areas in the coming weeks if not addressed rapidly.

Russian forces have shown the capacity to adapt to fighting in Ukraine and will likely aim to scale lessons learned from the war in Ukraine to ongoing efforts to prepare the Russian military for a potential long-term confrontation with NATO.

Senior European officials stressed that a Russian victory in Ukraine would result in Russia posing a strategic threat to NATO security.

Russian Security Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev questioned the sovereignty of Latvia, a NATO member state, and threatened Latvian President Edgars Rinkevics following Medvedev’s March 14 call for the total elimination of Ukraine and Ukraine's absorption into Russia under Medvedev's “peace formula.” 

French President Emmanuel Macron stated on March 15 that he is not ruling out sending Western troops to Ukraine but that the current situation does not require it.

Russian President Vladimir Putin dismissed continued limited raids from Ukrainian territory into Russia’s border region on March 15.

Ukrainian forces conducted a drone strike against a Russian oil refinery in Kaluga Oblast, and recent Ukrainian strikes against oil refineries reportedly caused a spike in Russian domestic oil prices.

Several Russians made limited attempts to disrupt the first day of voting in the Russian presidential election on March 15.

Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Kupyansk and Avdiivka and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Ukrainian Treatment of Prisoners of War Coordinating Headquarters Representative Petro Yatsenko stated that Russia has intensified its efforts to recruit military personnel from abroad.

Ukrainian sources and Russian opposition media reported that occupation officials continue coercive efforts to artificially inflate voter turnout and perceptions of support for Russian President Vladimir Putin in occupied Ukraine.


Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16112 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 10:03 pm to
Waiting to see if real, but lots of buzz about brand new Russian Ballistic Missile submarine K-554, launched in December calling for evacuation of crew, issues with one of its missiles.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45706 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

Waiting to see if real, but lots of buzz about brand new Russian Ballistic Missile submarine K-554, launched in December calling for evacuation of crew, issues with one of its missiles.


I saw that earlier but I haven’t seen it confirmed. If it is true then I hope Russia has learned from the Kursk disaster. Being trapped in a damaged submarine has to be one of the worst ways to die that I can think of.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26878 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 11:01 pm to
Depending on the precision of the drones, it looks to me like the attacks on refineries are among the most effective. I'm sure there are choke points in military production too.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26878 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 11:05 pm to
quote:

How about the 900,000 active duty personnel and/or the 1,200,000 reservists that are currently in the UAF. As I pointed linked earlier, Ukraine is scheduled later this month to vote on a bill that will conscript an additional 400,000-500,000 males per year.



That's serves the very important need for troops to rotate out for R&R. I don't think the Russians are doing that.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105476 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 11:07 pm to
A derelict vessel on the high seas becomes property of the salvager, yes? Would be interesting if we could get to it first.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16112 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 11:10 pm to
quote:


I saw that earlier but I haven’t seen it confirmed. If it is true then I hope Russia has learned from the Kursk disaster. Being trapped in a damaged submarine has to be one of the worst ways to die that I can think of.


Same sub test fired same type of missile 3 months ago from the White Sea to the Kamchatka Peninsula.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105476 posts
Posted on 3/15/24 at 11:15 pm to
Hard to tell from the translation but it sounds like they have a hot missile they can't shut down. Same thing sank the USS Scorpion in the sixties except it was a torpedo.
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