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2
Posted on 3/31/23 at 8:26 am to nitwit
What legitimate question was asked?
Posted on 3/31/23 at 8:30 am to GOP_Tiger
This biggest sign yet that the Russian offensive is culminating: this is the first day in months that Ukraine has claimed to kill fewer than 500 Russian soldiers. I think yesterday was 560. The average number in February was probably 850-900.
I have said it before, but I think that the correct way to view what the Ukrainian MoD puts out is "very optimistically accurate." Ukraine put out some straight-up propaganda at the very beginning of the war, but they realized that it was making them look bad, so they quit that after a few weeks, and the daily updates started to bear a resemblance to reality.
I think you could get a more accurate number of total Russian equipment losses by taking the Oryx list and multiplying it by 1.5. If you do that for tanks, the Ukrainian MoD's number seems reasonable; if you do it for aircraft, not so much.
I have said it before, but I think that the correct way to view what the Ukrainian MoD puts out is "very optimistically accurate." Ukraine put out some straight-up propaganda at the very beginning of the war, but they realized that it was making them look bad, so they quit that after a few weeks, and the daily updates started to bear a resemblance to reality.
I think you could get a more accurate number of total Russian equipment losses by taking the Oryx list and multiplying it by 1.5. If you do that for tanks, the Ukrainian MoD's number seems reasonable; if you do it for aircraft, not so much.
This post was edited on 3/31/23 at 8:35 am
Posted on 3/31/23 at 8:31 am to nitwit
quote:
Vladimir Putin said at a meeting with members of the Russian Security Council that he approved a new version of the Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation.
The new version of Russia's Foreign Policy Concept:
- The logic of the updated Russian Foreign Policy Concept reflects changes in the foreign policy contour after the start of the Special Military Operation;
- The updated Concept explicitly names the United States as the main conductor of the anti-Russian policy;
- The thesis on the use of the Armed Forces to repel or prevent an attack on Russia or its allies is introduced;
- Strategic partnership with China and India is declared.
Russia will also oppose the deployment or strengthening of military infrastructure of unfriendly countries in the near abroad, Lavrov added.
LINK
quote:
The migration service of Argentina began to massively deny russians the extension of their tourist stay and residence permits, the consular department of the russian embassy in the country said.
In a number of cases, russians were ordered to leave the country as soon as possible "under the threat of initiation of the deportation procedure."
LINK
Posted on 3/31/23 at 9:11 am to StormyMcMan
Putin pushing the narrative that the US pushed Russia into invading and the US is their big enemy.
Reality is Putin miscalculated and a host of nations saw what Russia was about and three their support behind Ukraine. It’s way more than a US proxy war. Most of the West has supported Ukraine.
Reality is Putin miscalculated and a host of nations saw what Russia was about and three their support behind Ukraine. It’s way more than a US proxy war. Most of the West has supported Ukraine.
Posted on 3/31/23 at 9:20 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
- We know that Russia is struggling to manufacture enough artillery shells, tank ammo, tanks, etc.; but what other systems is Russia losing that their defense industrial base might be unable to replace, and how deeply will this affect their combat power?
This Russian says the US can't keep up with Russia despite our huge military budget. We simply can't do what Russia does.
Twitter video
Posted on 3/31/23 at 9:32 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
...
Russia will also oppose the deployment or strengthening of military infrastructure of unfriendly countries in the near abroad, Lavrov added.
much of this seems like a weird and "out of touch with reality" flex...
Also, while I do not stay on top of these sort of things...
quote:
- Strategic partnership with China and India is declared.
These are tenuous bedfellows at best..
Posted on 3/31/23 at 9:34 am to Obtuse1
quote:
This Russian says the US can't keep up with Russia despite our huge military budget. We simply can't do what Russia does.
Someone should remind him that the states of California, Texas, and New York individually have a larger GDP than Russia does.
Posted on 3/31/23 at 9:35 am to Obtuse1
quote:
This Russian says the US can't keep up with Russia despite our huge military budget. We simply can't do what Russia does.
He actually says that we spend 20 times as much on our military as Russia does, and this shows our weakness, because we waste money.
Posted on 3/31/23 at 9:49 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
conscript 147,000 Russians between April 1 and July 15.
Hmmm, this seems like a bad time to get get conscripted...
Posted on 3/31/23 at 10:10 am to Lakeboy7
quote:
Hmmm, this seems like a bad time to get get conscripted...
Nah, the conscripts include children of the elite, so they don't serve in Ukraine.
The key thing about the conscription process is that it consumes the bureaucracy that would otherwise be used to do a big mobilization, so Russia won't be able to do another big mobilization for months. He should have done it in February for the anniversary of the invasion -- it would have made the Ukrainian spring offensive much harder.
This post was edited on 3/31/23 at 2:38 pm
Posted on 3/31/23 at 11:04 am to cypher
They have been using them for a good 4-6 weeks now. They just have to be very careful and very selective in how they use them with all the air defense systems out there. JDAMs are great bang for your Buck weapons but the downside is for them to be effective hitting targets behind enemy lines at range the aircraft delivering the payload needs to drop from altitude as there is no propulsion system, just tail fins to steer and GPS to guide it.
Posted on 3/31/23 at 1:10 pm to LSUPilot07
LINK
Video is in the link.
quote:
A newly released Wagner video showed their flag on a building in the center of #Bakhmut. The snow indicates this video is from TODAY.
Video is in the link.
Posted on 3/31/23 at 1:38 pm to GOP_Tiger
Every day they hold the city is just a bonus now. They did their job keeping the Russians pinned down long enough to get the western armor in country but they are now in country. I expect the Ukes to attack towards Zaporizhzhia and attempt to drive to the Azov Sea in the first half of May.
Posted on 3/31/23 at 2:14 pm to GOP_Tiger
One of the mysteries to me is that a sociopath like Putin can be hyper aggressive about everything yet still refuses to commence a full wartime mobilization. In the coming list of reasons why Russia lost this war, his fear of mobilizations will be in the top three.
Posted on 3/31/23 at 2:55 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
One of the mysteries to me is that a sociopath like Putin can be hyper aggressive about everything yet still refuses to commence a full wartime mobilization. In the coming list of reasons why Russia lost this war, his fear of mobilizations will be in the top three.
While ethnic Russians might tolerate a full mobilization, the minority regions would likely revolt
Posted on 3/31/23 at 3:00 pm to Tigeralum2008
Reuters:
Munitions, anti-tank rockets in next $2.6 bln US pledge for Ukraine -sources
Munitions, anti-tank rockets in next $2.6 bln US pledge for Ukraine -sources
quote:
WASHINGTON, March 31 (Reuters) - A new $2.6 billion U.S. military aid package that could include air surveillance radars, anti-tank rockets and fuel trucks for Ukraine's fight against Russia is expected to be announced as soon as Monday, three U.S. officials said on Friday.
A half a dozen types of munitions, including tank munitions, are also expected to be on the list of equipment that could be finalized over this weekend, the officials who spoke on condition of anonymity said, adding that the dollar amount and specific equipment in the package could change.
Also slated for inclusion were precision aerial munitions, bridging equipment Ukraine would use to assault Russian positions, recovery vehicles to help disabled heavy equipment like tanks and additional rounds for NASAMS air defenses that the U.S. and allies have given to Kyiv.
The aid was comprised of $2.1 billion in weapons aid coming from Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI) funding that allows President Joe Biden's administration to buy weapons from industry rather than from U.S. weapons stocks.
The remaining $500 million, mainly comprised of munitions to help Kyiv push a spring offensive against Russia's invasion, was expected to come from Presidential Drawdown Authority funds, which allow the president to take from current U.S. stocks in an emergency.
Posted on 3/31/23 at 3:03 pm to Tigeralum2008
quote:
One of the mysteries to me is that a sociopath like Putin can be hyper aggressive about everything yet still refuses to commence a full wartime mobilization. In the coming list of reasons why Russia lost this war, his fear of mobilizations will be in the top three.
Russian law, to the extent it exists as an independent entity, is very peculiar around mobilizations.
In order to empower a full mobilization under Russian law would require doing some things that make any future negotiation position untenable, as well as stripping the civilian infrastructure of badly needed personel, as the civilian service sector underpins much of what works in Russia from day to day. Imagine a Russia without doctors, without civil engineers, etc.
Throw in that conscription is as close as the regime has to a difficult political football domestically, and its a recipe for trying to do things on the cheap.
Posted on 3/31/23 at 3:11 pm to BoardReader
Full mobilization would require admitting this is beyond a *limited* special military operation.
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