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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 10/6/22 at 8:41 pm to
Posted by PhilipMarlowe
Member since Mar 2013
21918 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 8:41 pm to
quote:

Russian troops continued ground attacks in Donetsk Oblast on October 6 and likely made incremental gains around Bakhmut.


Posted by Warfox
B.R. Native (now in MA)
Member since Apr 2017
3832 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 8:41 pm to
quote:

No one really said you were incorrect in thinking Putin might do it. They correctly give you grief for doomsday forecasting and thinking we just need to give Putin whatever he wants to avoid it.


But we did agree to leave the old eastern bloc countries alone after the fall of the USSR and this is pretty much the opposite of that.

I don’t see how the situation today is better than if Donbas region had been granted autonomy with Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO.


It wasn’t a huge ask, hell the NATO part was agreed on after the fall of the USSR though conveniently forgotten today apparently.

Are all the lives lost worth it?

Someone please explain how today is better than before the war and how it is worth all of these lives lost.


Posted by Realityintheface
Member since May 2022
1784 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 8:44 pm to
quote:

Are all the lives lost worth it?


Maybe ask Putin?
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20967 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 8:44 pm to
quote:

Ukraine has clarified what he meant which was not calling for a nuclear strike.


Right. It's the opposite. It's about preventing nuclear war.

What Zelensky is saying is that the West might have prevented the February 24 invasion if they had put severe sanctions in place before the invasion, instead of simply promising Russia that we would do so later.

We knew Russia was going to invade Ukraine, but we waited for the invasion to impose sanctions.

If Russia were to use a nuclear weapon, NATO would likely cut off all trade with Russia and impose secondary sanctions any nation that does. It would force China and India to choose.

What Zelensky is saying is that, if we get intelligence that Russia is about to use a nuclear weapon, then we should go ahead and impose those sanctions preemptively to attempt to prevent nuclear war.

And he's right.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8163 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 8:47 pm to
Yes but his mistake is assuming the press will understand the nuance and insinuation. The press is just interested in driving eyeballs and clicks so that was a bad assumption on his part.
Posted by Realityintheface
Member since May 2022
1784 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 8:53 pm to
quote:

and impose secondary sanctions any nation that does. It would force China and India to choose.


This is key and I hope we have already told this to China and India. They have got to know that this will happen. Don’t wait till nukes start going off to pick up the phone to discuss.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8163 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 8:59 pm to
Is that the same kind of White Knighting so many do for Putin who himself has threatened to use nukes on numerous occasions?
Posted by SteelerBravesDawg
Member since Sep 2020
43337 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 9:06 pm to
Excellent post.
Posted by BrianKellyRespecter
Member since Aug 2022
534 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 9:24 pm to
That is a massive leap to say the fall of Kherson city would lead to a political collapse in Russia. That’s in fact ridiculous. Russia doesn’t even need that entire side of the river. It just needs the land bridge to Crimea. I’m not saying it wouldn’t be a massive military defeat of course it would be. But it wouldn’t be the end of the war and it sure as hell wouldn’t be the end of the Russian government. Putin is very popular inside of Russia as I’m sure even you know. There is no reason to believe Putin is in any danger politically at the moment. A few guys bitching on telegram doesn’t mean anything.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30433 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

But we did agree to leave the old eastern bloc countries alone after the fall of the USSR and this is pretty much the opposite of that.

...


It wasn’t a huge ask, hell the NATO part was agreed on after the fall of the USSR though conveniently forgotten today apparently.



Since you are clearly more up on the paperwork signed between the USSR/Russia and NATO could you please link what we have forgotten now? I assume you can because it is unlikely you are just blindly parroting things you have heard repeated recently.
Posted by ImaObserver
Member since Aug 2019
2503 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 9:36 pm to
quote:

Yes but his mistake is assuming the press will understand the nuance and insinuation. The press is just interested in driving eyeballs and clicks so that was a bad assumption on his part.

And those on here and elsewhere who are loosing their shydt about Zelinski's statement need to read the actual text of his statement rather than the distorted bullshydt published in the press in order to stir up the public and get hits on the web.

Full Quote for your convenience :

Zelenskyy calls for preventative pressure on Russia due to its nuclear threats: cue hysteria in Russia
Thursday, 6 October 2022, 21:48

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the President of Ukraine, has called upon NATO to respond to Russia’s nuclear threats by applying preventative pressure. Russia has perceived this statement as a call for a preemptive strike on Russia.

Source: Zelenskyy, during a discussion at the Lowy Institute, Australia, which he attended via video link; Dmitry Peskov, press secretary of the President of Russia; Maria Zakharova, representative of Russia’s Ministry for Foreign Affairs; Serhii Nykyforov, spokesperson for Zelenskyy, on Facebook

Quote from Zelenskyy in response to a question about what NATO should do to prevent Russia from using nuclear weapons:

"We can already see that these people [the Russians – ed.] are capable of such atrocities. What must NATO do? Make it impossible for Russia to use nuclear weapons. But what is [even more] important, I am once again turning to the international community as I did before 24 February. Preventative strikes, so that they know what will await them if they use [a nuclear weapon]. Not the other way round – wait for Russian nuclear strikes and then say afterwards, ‘Oh, it’s like that, is it? Well, take this from us!’

Reconsider applying pressure - that’s what NATO should do, and reconsider the order in which it is applied."

Ukrainska Pravda
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30433 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 9:47 pm to
Since nuclear weapons keep coming up some might be interested in the 2018 Nuclear Posture review, it is 70 some odd pages long (and I found it interesting) but it does have an executive summary at the beginning.

defense.gov

Posted by LSU7096
Member since May 2004
3008 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 10:02 pm to
All groups were great workers. Generally college degrees but had 4 unskilled laborers and never had an alcoholic on the team.
Posted by LSU7096
Member since May 2004
3008 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 10:03 pm to
Tashkent and Bodrum are whe two have gone. Lost touch with the others 10 years ago
Posted by BoardReader
Arkansas
Member since Dec 2007
7391 posts
Posted on 10/6/22 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

But we did agree to leave the old eastern bloc countries alone after the fall of the USSR and this is pretty much the opposite of that.


That would be a hell no. We most certainly did not promise to leave them alone; we immediately began the Partnership for Peace programs, and began onramping Central and Eastern European nations for NATO membership. We are fast closing on 20 years of membership for Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia-- Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania have had NATO borders directly on Russian territory since March 2004.

quote:



I don’t see how the situation today is better than if Donbas region had been granted autonomy with Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO.




Aside from the abrogation of the Budapest Memorandum that guaranteed the indivisible borders of the Ukraine, signed by the Russian Federation in 1994?

quote:



It wasn’t a huge ask, hell the NATO part was agreed on after the fall of the USSR though conveniently forgotten today apparently.

Are all the lives lost worth it?

Someone please explain how today is better than before the war and how it is worth all of these lives lost.


Yes, it most certainly was a huge ask. Ukraine has been an independent nation, guaranteed its own security choices since the mid 90s. Likewise, NATO has always possessed the right of free choices of association.

It was and remains absolutely none of the Russian's damned business who either does business with. They don't have to like it-- they can even be super unhappy about it-- but they don't get to try to change it without consequences.

If the war isn't worth the consequences to date, that responsibility lies solely with those who initiated the conflict in Moscow.
This post was edited on 10/6/22 at 10:13 pm
Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
8589 posts
Posted on 10/7/22 at 1:13 am to
I expected the striking offensive would eventually reach a slowing point. Ukraine is much better at logistics than Russia thanks to us but even they need time to refit. The only thing slowing them down was small arms ammunition getting to the front line troops from the rear. They need to keep pushing as hard as possible though these next 2-3 weeks so they can be surrounding Kherson from 3 sides and the river going into winter so they lay a proper siege and completely cot off every route of supply for that garrison inside the city or force them to retreat and retake the town. Artillery and mortar units need to be brought up and ant reserves available should be committed while they have the advantage. Once they give Russia time to dig in and bring their artillery and Grad batteries up this will become a much more static war for a few months and that doesn’t favor Ukraine. I think if Ukraine does manage to completely cut the Russians in Kherson off that there will be a deal between the two countries to allow the soldiers inside to leave without their equipment in return for POWs.
This post was edited on 10/7/22 at 1:14 am
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
24848 posts
Posted on 10/7/22 at 5:53 am to
Good points.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
89719 posts
Posted on 10/7/22 at 6:15 am to
quote:

And those on here and elsewhere who are loosing their shydt about Zelinski's statement need to read the actual text of his statement rather than the distorted bullshydt published in the press in order to stir up the public and get hits on the web.



So US media is pushing propaganda? No way.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
89719 posts
Posted on 10/7/22 at 6:21 am to
quote:

Aside from the abrogation of the Budapest Memorandum that guaranteed the indivisible borders of the Ukraine, signed by the Russian Federation in 1994?


Seems like the US violated this as recently as the Obama administration.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15664 posts
Posted on 10/7/22 at 6:46 am to
quote:

There is no reason to believe Putin is in any danger politically at the moment. A few guys bitching on telegram doesn’t mean anything.


Back biting is in the open. Kadyrov has been one. Also the head of Wagner. That doesn't happen under Putin until now which has more secret police, FSB formerly KGB, than the entire military. Russia's "National Guard" is also Putin's own private internal military.

You are trying to compare US and Russian politics and debate which means you are not very bright at all.

What grade are you in?
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