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Posted on 7/19/22 at 6:37 am to RLDSC FAN
British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 19 July 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
Russia continues to commit what are nominally six separate armies to its Donbas offensive. At full, strength, before the invasion, these formations were established for around 150,000 personnel. In recent weeks, Russia has often operated with company-sized groupings of around 100 personnel when undertaking offensive operations in any one sector at a time.
Russia has struggled to sustain effective offensive combat power since the start of the invasion and this problem is likely becoming increasingly acute. As well as dealing with severe under-manning, Russian planners face a dilemma between deploying reserves to the Donbas or defending against Ukrainian counterattacks in the southwestern Kherson sector.
Russia's stated immediate policy objective is to seize all of Donetsk Oblast. While Russia may still, make further territorial gains, their operational tempo and rate of advance is likely to be very slow without a significant operational pause for reorganisation and refit.
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 19 July 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
Russia continues to commit what are nominally six separate armies to its Donbas offensive. At full, strength, before the invasion, these formations were established for around 150,000 personnel. In recent weeks, Russia has often operated with company-sized groupings of around 100 personnel when undertaking offensive operations in any one sector at a time.
Russia has struggled to sustain effective offensive combat power since the start of the invasion and this problem is likely becoming increasingly acute. As well as dealing with severe under-manning, Russian planners face a dilemma between deploying reserves to the Donbas or defending against Ukrainian counterattacks in the southwestern Kherson sector.
Russia's stated immediate policy objective is to seize all of Donetsk Oblast. While Russia may still, make further territorial gains, their operational tempo and rate of advance is likely to be very slow without a significant operational pause for reorganisation and refit.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 6:45 am to Strannix
A few simple questions for you. Are you happy that Russia is going to win this conflict? Do you think that’s a good thing and will lead to more peace and stability in Europe? Do you think this “special operation” by Russia is necessary?
Posted on 7/19/22 at 7:17 am to SirWinston
quote:
SirWinston
You think it's funny? This hero can shoot cruise missiles down with 40 year old soviet technology. Just imagine what he'll do with some of the hundreds of billions of dollars in taxpayer money we've given him.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 7:18 am to Strannix
quote:
Zelensky is going all Stalin accusing everyone e of either spies and affecting mass arrests. The walls are closing in.
Ukraine is winning. Malcom Nance and the OT told me so!
Posted on 7/19/22 at 7:19 am to Malik Agar
quote:
Just imagine what he'll do with some of the hundreds of billions of dollars in taxpayer money we've given him.
We are so generous. The American taxpayer must be loaded.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 7:32 am to Strannix
quote:
Zelensky is going all Stalin accusing everyone e of either spies and affecting mass arrests. The walls are closing in.
Going all Stalin is killing tens of millions of people. Affecting mass arrests and accusing people of being spies is what Putin does on a regular basis. More mouth breathing retardation from you as usual.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 7:33 am to REG861
quote:
Going all Stalin is killing tens of millions of people. Affecting mass arrests and accusing people of being spies is what Putin does on a regular basis. More mouth breathing retardation from you as usual.
So he’s going all Putin?
Posted on 7/19/22 at 7:45 am to Philzilla2k
Russia shot down one of its own Su-34s 
Posted on 7/19/22 at 7:51 am to REG861
quote:
Going all Stalin is killing tens of millions of people. Affecting mass arrests and accusing people of being spies is what Putin does on a regular basis. More mouth breathing retardation from you as usual.
They’re also comparing Zelensky to Hitler on the poli board now. Bunch of loonies. Putin could piss on their leg, tell them it’s raining, and they’d believe him.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 8:01 am to sta4ever
quote:
They’re also comparing Zelensky to Hitler on the poli board now. Bunch of loonies. Putin could piss on their leg, tell them it’s raining, and they’d believe him.
Good point. Zelensky is both literally Hitler and literally Stalin. Pretty impressive.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 8:07 am to REG861
Posted on 7/19/22 at 8:22 am to Malik Agar
Shooting down old technology as well. Russia really hasn't advance its technology that much from already behind by a few decades technology.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 8:50 am to StraightCashHomey21
quote:
Russia shot down one of its own Su-34s
Probably thought it was a civilian airliner.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 9:32 am to kingbob
Russia needs to sell that natural gas due lack of pipelines to others could purchase it. Russia is not making a killing in oil. Net returns matter and steep discounts make any profit even less. Those gold reserves must be depleted already and its borrowing money out the wazoo from China which is already in a shaky financial condition.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 9:42 am to Coeur du Tigre
Yesterday the Ukrainians shelled the Antonivka Road Bridge which crosses the Dnieper River. Notably, the damage was limited to the southern end of the bridge approach which crosses over land. This part of the roadway was not completely destroyed, but looking at the size of those holes, it will be soon. The water-crossing spans were not damaged.
This is one of only two road bridges that cross the Southern Dnieper in Kherson Oblast. The other being the Nova Kakhova Bridge, which is connected to the dam that holds the main Dnieper reservoir. There is a rail bridge upstream of the Antonivka Road Bridge, but this bridge was rendered unusable on July 9 by the destruction of the northern approach structures. So the strategy seems to be to deny the use of these bridges to the Russians but leave the main spans over the river intact for later use. But the Russians will surely blow them if they need to. Well, you would think they would, logically speaking.
Bottom line, if these two bridges are out and the Ukrainian offensive pushes south through the northern side of the Dnieper, the retreating Russians will have to flee east to Zaporizhzhia. Or swim. And once the Ukrainians have pushed the Russians out of Kherson Oblast south of the river, the two roads linking Crimea to Ukraine are less than 200km away.
This is one of only two road bridges that cross the Southern Dnieper in Kherson Oblast. The other being the Nova Kakhova Bridge, which is connected to the dam that holds the main Dnieper reservoir. There is a rail bridge upstream of the Antonivka Road Bridge, but this bridge was rendered unusable on July 9 by the destruction of the northern approach structures. So the strategy seems to be to deny the use of these bridges to the Russians but leave the main spans over the river intact for later use. But the Russians will surely blow them if they need to. Well, you would think they would, logically speaking.
Bottom line, if these two bridges are out and the Ukrainian offensive pushes south through the northern side of the Dnieper, the retreating Russians will have to flee east to Zaporizhzhia. Or swim. And once the Ukrainians have pushed the Russians out of Kherson Oblast south of the river, the two roads linking Crimea to Ukraine are less than 200km away.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 9:54 am to Coeur du Tigre
Shooting fish in a barrel comes to mind
Posted on 7/19/22 at 11:07 am to Coeur du Tigre
Thanks, this is the content we are looking for. Kherson is clearly the most important objective.
Posted on 7/19/22 at 1:51 pm to AGGIES
quote:
Kherson is clearly the most important objective.
Russia has to choose, east or south, they dont have enough personnel for both. East makes most sense for Russia and Ukraine needs a buffer for Odessa.
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