re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Ukraine permanently bans all opposition parties

When are y’all going to realize you’re rooting for a bad guy vs bad guy war? Yeah, Putin is worse and at fault, but if you can’t recognize Zelensky’s manipulation of the West and that this is a massive Ponzi scheme, I don’t know what to ttell you. Yes you can still root for Stalin over Hitler, but at least be honest that is what you are doing.

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First, ALL is not referenced. Appears he banned AN opposition party. I’m not familiar with that party’s platform so will withhold comment on motive. In general not a fan of banning much of anything, but in the context of war and potential for that party to be supportive of your invader, again I do not know this to be a stance of the party in question, excuse me if I don’t throw a fit about it.

Second, who in here is actively saying Zelenskyy is some noble savior without flaw? Many times it’s been said in here we get Ukraine is corrupt and Russia is corrupt. One is on a larger scale with much larger external effects. Why should we not root for/support the lesser of the two when there’s carryover benefit to us?

We’re focused largely on the defeat of the aggressor who’s worse and the carry over benefits to the west. That’s more important on a global scale than the internal corruption/not picture perfect democracy of Ukraine.

“There’s a less than 20% chance a nuclear war will happen over this war”

-OMLandshark

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If we had our shite together we could a) help our own economy b) help the Europeans replace Russians LNG with American LNG.

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This is actually one area where we are continuing to make rapid gains.



As of March we were up to about 12.2 bcf/d in LNG exports, from 9.9 bcf/d in October. So up by about 23% over 5 months.

We have another 4.3 bcf/d in export capacity under construction, set to come online over the next 2-3 years. That will bring our overall capacity to around 16.5 bcf/d, another ~35% increase over the next few years.

After that, we have another 22.8 bcf/d in export capacity that has been approved by the DOE and FERC and is either undergoing FEED or has completed FEED and is awaiting final investment decision. These projects have final investment decisions targeted for 2022 and 2023.

To put it into perspective, Russia exported roughly 24.3 bcf/d in 2021. About 14 bcf/d of that went to Europe. So we are offsetting some of those losses, but not all of them.

The problem is that LNG projects have a pretty long lead time. Many of the projects in the works are expansions rather than greenfield construction, which helps (particularly with engineering, as companies are able to do a fair amount of “copy/paste” work from previous trains) but it still takes a long time from FID to startup. LNG capacity is not something that can be added quickly in response to global events.

Where is our LNG going? I’ve only really seen Poland with a deal and that was under Trump.

You must have me confused with someone else, I haven’t given Ukraine a damn thing.

Where have I “celebrated” it? I have discussed the positive impact on Ukraines chances of the aid provided. You do posses the necessary neurons to understand the difference?

Do you know what a best case scenario is, time wise, to bring new infrastructure on line?

(no message)

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What’s the peak on the amount of cash you are willing to give Ukrainian oligarchs and defense contractors in this? We long surpassed mine, but none of you will tell me what yours are.

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Well, that money will likely funnel back to US defense companies, and isn't really among the worst things we've funded. It's better to be forthright about that money than it is to let intelligence organizations use it to fund proxy groups. You understand that because of the Russian invasion, this would have happened anyway, right? The choice people had would not have been about whether or not it would be spent.

I'm cool with propping up Ukraine for a long while, because there's no benefit for withdrawing aid along any perspective. The implications of withdrawing aid are going to be severe as well, and the worst case scenario, the Russians security the entirety of Ukraine, will also cost a lot of money too. Think through the entirety of the implications, and stop focusing on your immediate, visceral response for once.

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Can you actually respond to things like an adult for once? Because, if you read my post, you'd understand that we would likely be paying in some fashion regardless. But alas, with you I should always expect the most hysterical responses.