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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:50 am to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74950 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Any shift south could have big impacts on areas down there maybe not paying attention because Tampa gets the coverage. Same thing that happened before Charley. People to the south were caught off guard.

That's what sucks about trying to message a hurricane like this. Too many variables and too many people thinking they will be fine. Rock and a hard spot, really.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51672 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Va, you may need to store that wine higher up? I really hope not
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59875 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:50 am to
Anyone in the cone of uncertainty should prepare for a reasonable worst case scenario, even a couple days before landfall the storm can still do unforeseen things.
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
79560 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:51 am to
I'm just looking for an excuse to use this when Tampa escapes a major storm again.

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Any shift south could have big impacts on areas down there maybe not paying attention because Tampa gets the coverage.


Thats true. Though I would hope local media learned from Charley.
Posted by BritLSUfan
Member since Jan 2012
693 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:54 am to
This links to surge, wind, rain and tornado threat maps:

LINK to NWS

Naples will likely experience:

6ft surge
Winds 74mph - 110mph
Major flooding rain
Potential for Tornadoes

Edit:

Link to interactive map showing evac zones for Florida

LINK to Know Your Zone




This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 10:59 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:55 am to
Eye is clearing out:

Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:56 am to
quote:

I would hope local media learned

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:56 am to
This fricker is really going to strengthen right off a landfall?

I didnt think it would take that long but not immediately.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:57 am to
quote:

That's what sucks about trying to message a hurricane like this. Too many variables and too many people thinking they will be fine. Rock and a hard spot, really.



That's all I'm saying. If you're in Tampa, you are far from being in the clear. You still need to prepare for the worst.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131381 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:58 am to
Harsh communist countries make a man stronger
Posted by STEVED00
Member since May 2007
23151 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:58 am to
South of Ft Myers on the Florida peninsula is pretty uninhabited until you get to Miami, correct? Isn’t that where the Everglades is located? So if anywhere can take a direct hit, that section of Fla would be best, correct?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:59 am to
Interesting how some hurricanes get punched in the chops by that part of Cuba and some hurricanes swatch it away like a fly. Gustav was a Cat 4 barreling over Cuba and was never able to recover. This one acted like Cuba wasn’t even there.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:59 am to
quote:

Harsh communist countries make a man stronger


Training comrade canes to kill the filthy capitalists.
Posted by CobraCommander83
Member since Feb 2017
12418 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:01 am to
quote:

Would also increase the chances of Ian going back into the Atlantic and then another landfall in the Carolinas.


Local weather in Myrtle Beach is saying that if it did do that wind shear and dry air will prevent it from strengthening. I don’t know how much is that true.

Either way, we are prepping for the possibility of State Active Duty.

Posted by Abstract Queso Dip
Member since Mar 2021
5878 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:02 am to
How good is the insulation on a washing machine? Is it yeti level or close? Has anyone ever tried putting ice in it. Sorry i'm ignorant on these topics but fascinated. I woudl think that there should be something on top of the lid so there would be less exposure
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:02 am to
quote:

This fricker is really going to strengthen right off a landfall?

I didnt think it would take that long but not immediately.

Noticing a lot of lightning in the eyewall on radar. Probably another sign of strengthening.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
91318 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:03 am to
quote:

I can tell you really want to stay and you are just looking for a single shred of confirmation bias in this thread but that isn’t going to come your way. Most people here likely had your same thoughts But then ride through a direct hit and decided never again. If you stay that’s your own choice- we are all saying GTFO
I definitely understand how it seems like that. And hell, I might be subconsciously doing it, idk.

Im feeling better and better about staying, but leaving isn’t off the table. Just learned the bridges here aren’t closing so I’ll be able to sneak out tonight or tomorrow if need be.
Posted by Slagathor
Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny
Member since Jul 2007
38984 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:03 am to
quote:

How good is the insulation on a washing machine?


I don't think people use them for the insulation as much as for the passive drainage
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Interesting how some hurricanes get punched in the chops by that part of Cuba and some hurricanes swatch it away like a fly. Gustav was a Cat 4 barreling over Cuba and was never able to recover. This one acted like Cuba wasn’t even there.


You figure western end, not going to disrupt much but will still need that 6-12 hours to get the boundary layer with the surface right.

Was expecting a hold strength until tonight and then another pop.

Ian didnt give a frick.
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