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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:19 am to ReauxlTide222
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:19 am to ReauxlTide222
quote:I can tell you really want to stay and you are just looking for a single shred of confirmation bias in this thread but that isn’t going to come your way. Most people here likely had your same thoughts But then ride through a direct hit and decided never again. If you stay that’s your own choice- we are all saying GTFO
ReauxlTide222
1
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:20 am to OU Guy
Second landfall in South Carolina looking more possible by the minute
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:23 am to OU Guy
Keep on shifting south, that's fine.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:23 am to real turf fan
On surges associated with Katrina:
Get enough water, and back surges happen. Too high to flood? Not all that predictable, when a flooding river (like the Wolf River over in MS) had no place to drain to (met a hurricane surge) and the Wolf River turned into a backed up surge.
Get enough water, and back surges happen. Too high to flood? Not all that predictable, when a flooding river (like the Wolf River over in MS) had no place to drain to (met a hurricane surge) and the Wolf River turned into a backed up surge.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:24 am to Wally Sparks
quote:
Also means that AMI/Holmes/LBK won't get the direct rotational force from the Gulf.
Its a crapshot at this point. They could get it from the from the gulfside or water pushed into the pass and surge from the bayside. Either way, I'm fully expecting feet of water as the house is on the bayside of LBK and only elevated about 2 feet. When they built these homes in the 60s they didn't really consider the fact that they are surrounded by water.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:24 am to CarolinaGamecock99
quote:
Second landfall in South Carolina looking more possible by the minute
Or it rides the land-side of the coast up...
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:24 am to real turf fan
quote:
A friend who worked at the hospital in Lake Charles through Rita re-evaluated his life and moved to the wine country north of San Francisco several months later.
My mom said that he was like a wild animal ... his wife kept saying "let's go on vacation to the beach" after it was over .. he just finally left and went to the camp and chilled for many, many days.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:25 am to OU Guy
quote:
OU Guy
We had some Oklahoma folks cook and bring us jambalaya while working in the PMAC (basketball arena) on LSU's campus after Katrina. Being cooked by Oklahoma folks it was rather bland, but it's the thought that counts.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:26 am to RummelTiger
quote:
Second landfall in South Carolina looking more possible by the minute
Or it rides the land-side of the coast up...
Will we see is it The Frying Pan?? What was that flag named .. Kevin???
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:27 am to SippyCup
quote:
That could be huge for Tampa from a wind perspective. Not sure about surge.
Surge = Less
Wind = Higher
Rainfall = Catastrophic
Unless the southern track is more significant, Tamps is still getting really bad weather for Ian.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:28 am to tiger91
quote:
Will we see is it The Frying Pan?? What was that flag named .. Kevin???
Ha...it is Kevin, but I don't see this being much for NC.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:28 am to Oates Mustache
No doubt the weather is still going to suck, but at least you don't have the winds pushing all that water up into the bay
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:28 am to Oates Mustache
quote:
Unless the southern track is more significant, Tamps is still getting really bad weather for Ian.
And the path could change...again.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:29 am to sicboy
quote:
Keep on shifting south, that's fine.
Not for those of us that live south, it isn't.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:29 am to Oates Mustache
quote:
Surge = Less
Wind = Higher
Rainfall = Catastrophic
Higher wind than a direct hit? Hows that?
BTW, GFS is about to run.
Do we have a name for this one?
OZ: 10:30pm - ?
6Z: 4:30am - Morning Wood GFS
12Z: 10:30am - ?
18Z: 4:30pm - Happy Hour GFS
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 10:32 am
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:30 am to Aspercel
quote:
How’d she get stuck with pets if she didn’t like them? Poor thing.
Can't speak for her hospital, but if we aren't directly involved in patient care we get assigned other jobs to do while on station. They aren't going to pay us just for being there, we're gonna be sweeping floors or cleaning something no matter what our normal job is.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:30 am to H2O Tiger
quote:
No doubt the weather is still going to suck
40+ inches of rain isn't just sucky weather, it's nearly as bad as a significant surge event. It's just trading one for another.
Unless the track shifts south more, which it very well could. Wobble watching mode is now meaning ful as Ian exits Cuba.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:33 am to PsychTiger
Pets are definitely Better than cleaning, imo 
Va, you may need to store that wine higher up? I really hope not.
Va, you may need to store that wine higher up? I really hope not.
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:34 am to meeple
quote:
Or counter that with a guys trip to the mountains every year or two.
Yea, the mountains with "twin peaks".
Posted on 9/27/22 at 10:34 am to ReauxlTide222
quote:
how confident are you in the roof system of 145mph gusts?
Not very.
I’m trying to find data on winds from hurricanes that we’ve been through already. This building was built in the 70’s, so not ideal. But I’m not sold on these winds being worse than what we’ve already experienced.
Wow
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