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re: Hypothetical if a 7.8 earthquake hit California like it did Turkey how bad

Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:19 pm to
Posted by PJinAtl
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2007
12760 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:19 pm to

Isn't that Galloping Gertie (aka Tacoma Narrows Bridge)?

If so, all that flexing is simply from wind, not even a quake. I think it was only about a 40 mph wind too.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
45214 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:25 pm to
Would be worse if a 7.8 hit the New Madrid fault
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
15292 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Isn't that Galloping Gertie (aka Tacoma Narrows Bridge)?

If so, all that flexing is simply from wind, not even a quake. I think it was only about a 40 mph wind too.


Absolutely Gertie, and like you said, was caused by resonance in the bridge as a result of heavy winds.
This post was edited on 2/7/23 at 12:27 pm
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
6433 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

6.9


Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
14138 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Learn to swim, learn to swim, learn to swim

See you down in Arizona Bay.
This post was edited on 2/7/23 at 12:32 pm
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
19315 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:36 pm to
quote:



I'm sure some are aware, even yourself, and understand the gif goes with the theme of the thread, but wasn't that incident caused by faulty engineering/resonance caused by vehicle traffic/ high winds?

Or am I thinking of a different famous cable bridge going crazy?
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71428 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

would be great if a 17.8 hit directly on Hollywood Blvd



If a 17.8 were possible it would literally shatter the planet.
Posted by WhuckFistle
Member since Jul 2015
3013 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:43 pm to
It was high winds, I just rolled with that gif.
Posted by Kayakndan74
NE AL
Member since Nov 2021
376 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

1811 earthquakes were pretty bad


A 7.8 on the New Madrid fault would be too terrible to think about. Imagine most of the rail and road bridges across the Mississippi collapsing, snarling up barge traffic. Heavy casualties due to mostly brick structures from Shreveport to Paducah. With faults, it's always a question of when, not if.
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5581 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 1:33 pm to
If an earthquake hits at the border of Arkansas and Tennessee, whose fault is it?
Posted by LStU
Member since Jan 2012
399 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 1:33 pm to
I believe there would be tremendous infrastructure damage to roads, bridges, underground pipes, etc.

Impacts to single family homes would be widespread but unlikely to cause significant fatalities (except for non-structural issues like falling bookshelves).

Most high-rise building in CA are built following significant earthquake building code advances.

I think the predominate damage would be to low and mid-rise apartments that are 40+ years or older so the location of the event will be very important to the prevalence of those types of buildings. Unreinforced masonry has the biggest risk.
Posted by blacroix
Member since Sep 2019
268 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 1:40 pm to
I'm just waiting for the 1st headline that blames the eathquake in Turkey on climate change.
Posted by thumperpait
Member since Nov 2005
2442 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

Northridge had a 6.7 hit. caused $40B in damages

the one that hit turkey is 1000x's stronger

I imagine most cites would not be able to survive that level of destruction



My grand parents left Alaska in 1964 a week before they got hit by a 9.2 quake.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
11830 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 2:00 pm to
quote:


My grand parents left Alaska in 1964 a week before they got hit by a 9.2 quake.


my Uncle's wife and her family were homesteaders in Alaska. She told me she remembers the trees almost touching the ground swinging back and forth in the '64 quake
Posted by terriblegreen
Souf Badden Rewage
Member since Aug 2011
9674 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 2:01 pm to
A 7.8 would be a good start. But if we could get an 8.5 to hit Los Angeles I would be most pleased.
Posted by Kracka
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Aug 2004
40859 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Hypothetical if a 7.8 earthquake hit California


I wish a real one would, not a hypothetical one.
Posted by TigerDeacon
West Monroe, LA
Member since Sep 2003
29345 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

quote:
Northridge had a 6.7 hit. caused $40B in damages

the one that hit turkey is 1000x's stronger



Bruh, Richter scale is based on log 10. "1000x's stronger" than a 6.7 would be stronger than 9.7.

The 7.8 in Turkey was about 12.6 times stronger than Northridge at 6.7.


From this LINK

The Richter Scale (more accurately referred to now as the “local magnitude” scale or ML), like all other magnitude scales to follow, is logarithmic, meaning each unit up on the scale equals a 10-fold increase in amplitude–e.g. a 7.0 earthquake is 10 times stronger than a 6.0 earthquake, and 100 times stronger than a 5.0 earthquake.

However, the energy released by a seismic wave is 101.5 (or about 31.6x) the amount of its amplitude, meaning that a 7.0 quake releases 31.6 times more energy than a 6.0 quake, or 1,000 times more energy than a 5.0 quake.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89621 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 2:13 pm to
Large buildings in LA and Frisco can handle a pretty big shake now. There would likely be a few hundred killed with something approaching a 7.7 or 7.8 (or more), because that's a NFA ("not fricking around") quake, but the bigger problem would be restoring services. It would be like a "dry" Katrina.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
7246 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 2:15 pm to
Ridgecrest had a pretty big one a few years back. A 7.1, Ridgecrest is in the desert east of Bakersfield. My house in Fresno rocked some and it's probably 100 - 150 miles away. Nothing fell over but you could feel the waves for a good 30 seconds. It's a weird feeling.

At my old job we had a team down in Santiago, staying in a high rise, when they were hit with I think it was an 8.9

The hotel was making a humming sound. My boss who was not a small man was tossed around like a rag doll and he was unable to get on his feet. One of the guys that was down there was passed out drunk and slept through it.
The roads were impassable, overpasses collapsed, fires.. you name it. It was bad.
Posted by eiasjsf
Ellensburg, Washington
Member since Sep 2009
460 posts
Posted on 2/7/23 at 2:38 pm to
I'm more curious about when the next big earthquake (8-9+) will hit the PNW. It seems to happen every few hundred years and the last was in 1700, which sent a 16 foot tsunami across the ocean to Japan. I remember the magnitude 6.X quake that hit the Seattle area in ~2001, I was on the 2nd or 3rd floor of the HS and the whole building started shaking and swaying, it was a surreal experience. I can only imagine what an 8 or even 9+ would be like.
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