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re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat
Posted on 8/26/22 at 10:58 pm to Oates Mustache
Posted on 8/26/22 at 10:58 pm to Oates Mustache
Rolf’d at the Stone Cold gif being whacked out of the thread
Posted on 8/26/22 at 11:26 pm to The Boat
What dildo posted the Stone Cold gif?
Posted on 8/26/22 at 11:29 pm to Duke
The guy 30 people replied to the last two pages
Posted on 8/26/22 at 11:35 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Give me a GoPro and a mic and I’ll be the official OT field reporter.
Go to the Vermillion in Brownsville, best enchiladas
Posted on 8/26/22 at 11:38 pm to Duke
quote:
What dildo posted the Stone Cold gif?
A misguided fool.
Posted on 8/26/22 at 11:40 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
did we learn anything new tonight?
Yes. That late lunch burrito was a mistake.
Posted on 8/27/22 at 7:44 am to LegendInMyMind
So the last two GFS runs are coming more in line with the ensembles showing a landfall in Mexico. So far so good! Leave us alone here. 
Posted on 8/27/22 at 7:51 am to Oates Mustache
When we getting one of them cold front things?
Posted on 8/27/22 at 7:51 am to Oates Mustache
First system, right?
Now do the second.
Now do the second.
Posted on 8/27/22 at 9:45 am to Oates Mustache
I'm still recovering from Ida last year and as soon as the housing market fully collapses I'm moving. Early option looks like Austin, Texas for me.
This post was edited on 8/27/22 at 9:46 am
Posted on 8/27/22 at 9:52 am to deuce985
quote:
Early option looks like Austin, Texas for me.
Come on, brother. Always nice to have more Louisiana people here!
Posted on 8/27/22 at 9:55 am to rds dc
Neither prospective system looks impressive at all. No future Ida or Laura visible there.
Posted on 8/27/22 at 9:58 am to deuce985
I’m with you. My Dad is elderly and I won’t go until after he passes. But between the evacuation every other year, property damage every other year, sky high insurance, and horrible political “leadership “, I think it’s time for me to get out of Louisiana as well.
Posted on 8/27/22 at 10:05 am to rds dc
quote:
We'll have to wait and see, the models are trying to resolve a very broad AEW pouch. It will be hard for that to consolidate and it might be slower than what the Euro is showing...
The trend of slower development continues to show up in the ensembles. You can see it pretty clearly with the shift from 00z to 06z on the Euro EPS. It's unclear how this might impact the long range track, if this can form, esp given the higher than normal forecast uncertainty for the steering patterns next week because of the downstream impacts from a typhoon that recurved into the Pacific jet stream.
There is still some low end support for something to form in the WCAB and Gulf but no real trends to be concerned about at this time. The 06z GEFS is still the most aggressive guidance.

Posted on 8/27/22 at 10:12 am to rds dc
quote:
downstream impacts from a typhoon that recurved into the Pacific jet stream.
Doesn't this usually help push fronts through LA into the gulf?
Posted on 8/27/22 at 10:21 am to rds dc
Well, is it coming to Houston, or what?
Posted on 8/27/22 at 11:54 am to rds dc
5 straight GFS runs put it into Mexico. The 12Z today even farther south near Tampico. I'm liking that trend.
Posted on 8/27/22 at 12:00 pm to NorthEndZone
Looks like Kweebeck is gonna get a landfall before anyone. Who didn't have Kaybeck getting a storm this year before most everyone? We all knew Kuhbeck was going to get a hurricane this year.


Posted on 8/27/22 at 12:07 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Looks like Kweebeck is gonna get a landfall before anyone. Who didn't have Kaybeck getting a storm this year before most everyone? We all knew Kuhbeck was going to get a hurricane this year.
Alaska gets those remnant typhoons and massive extra tropical lows in the fall time all the time.
there were sometimes I looked at satellite i was like holy shite that looks like a big hurricane
Posted on 8/27/22 at 12:08 pm to gaetti15
Any word yet from the Peej Prediction Center?
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