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re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat

Posted on 8/27/22 at 12:12 pm to
Posted by Herschal
USA
Member since Sep 2011
2211 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 12:12 pm to
Les hiques go ice fishing in queebeck.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75186 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Les hiques go ice fishing in queebeck.


Who doesn't like going ice fishing in Kwahbeck?
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
32103 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 12:32 pm to
Aleutian low. It's a semi permanent seasonal cyclone in the Gulf of Alaska.

The Icelandic low at about the same latitude in the North Atlantic is also a semi permanent cyclone in the fall and winter months. It affects the weather in Western Europe; in recent years its impact has modified to reflect the influence of climate change.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15297 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

Aleutian low. It's a semi permanent seasonal cyclone in the Gulf of Alaska.


yeah that's the main one that drives weather patterns.

these are lows that form off that
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51716 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 1:06 pm to
NHC has upped the chances of development in the wave in the central Atlantic to 40% on the 5 day outlook:



Euro has the idea that this one will be a potential Bahamas and maybe East Coast issue.
This post was edited on 8/27/22 at 1:09 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21544 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

esp given the higher than normal forecast uncertainty for the steering patterns next week because of the downstream impacts from a typhoon that recurved into the Pacific jet stream.


24hr change on Euro

From this



to this



Posted by BayouENGR
Seagrove Beach
Member since Nov 2015
2919 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 1:54 pm to
Here fishy, fishy, fishy!
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

The Icelandic low at about the same latitude in the North Atlantic is also a semi permanent cyclone in the fall and winter months. It affects the weather in Western Europe; in recent years its impact has modified to reflect the influence of climate change.


Im ignorant... is that this big ol thing?

Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177370 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 4:04 pm to
Ways to know GFS doesn’t have any hurricanes heading to Louisiana:

The hurricane season thread is on Page 2
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12620 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 4:16 pm to
I am not a mathematician but honestly, I would think that the Louisiana coastline is due for a break. The return rate for a
Category 2 hurricane for southeast Louisiana is about 8 years. Since 2005, southeast Louisiana has been hit numerous times by: Katrina, Gustav, Isaac, Delta, Ida, and a few TS’s. Time for a break I would imagine.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177370 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

Since 2005, southeast Louisiana has been hit numerous times by: Katrina, Gustav, Isaac, Delta, Ida, and a few TS’s. Time for a break I would imagine.

No one remembers Zeta
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12620 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 4:18 pm to
Add Zeta. I don’t remember the categories for all of the TC’s but it’s been busy for a while for entire Louisiana coast.

When I started keeping up with hurricanes in 1979, I only remember Bob, Danny and Juan and Florence during the 1980’s.

And none of those hurricanes were above category 1. Didn’t have a real scare until Andrew
In 1992
This post was edited on 8/27/22 at 4:26 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43296 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 4:37 pm to
Just since 2019 Cat 1 Barry, 2020 Cat 4 Laura, Cat 2 Delta, Cat 3 Zeta, 2021 Cat 4 Ida. That is just hurricanes
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78443 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

No one remembers Zeta


Only time I think I have ever been in the eye of a hurricane.

The southern wall came across and it was more like "this is it?"

Zeta eye



Have the coolest pic of my little girl stomping in water puddles in the middle of the street while the eye passed over.
This post was edited on 8/27/22 at 4:48 pm
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
32103 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 4:47 pm to
Yea, that's it...it has shifted all the way to about 70° N latitude, thanks to manmade global warming.
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5910 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

No one remembers Zeta


Eye went right over us, although there really wasn’t anything to speak of on the back end. We were out of power for 3-4 days in new Orleans.

The most unusual and memorable thing about Zeta for me was the cold front that followed it. It made for a perfectly pleasant couple of days of hot showers, cold nights and cooking through the freezer for a few days.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102759 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 5:37 pm to
quote:

thanks to manmade global warming.


Stop
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84316 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 8:16 pm to
quote:

tarzana

Posted by GreenRockTiger
vortex to the whirlpool of despair
Member since Jun 2020
60651 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 8:20 pm to
quote:

No one remembers Zeta

Zeta is what finally finished off our fence - it was nice, new, and secure for Ida
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43296 posts
Posted on 8/27/22 at 8:32 pm to
The Central Atlantic Wave is 91 L and the low east of Bermuda is 92 L now
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