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re: Hurricane Season - NHC 92L in BOC 90%
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:10 pm to trussthetruzz
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:10 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
why does mobile deserve it ?
Deserve’s got nothin’ to do with it.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:17 pm to HubbaBubba
OysterPoboy
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:17 pm to Tiger985
quote:
If we can get this thing to slide to Mobile or east of that,
We've got the plague making a return, a horrible stomach virus that has kept me from eating since Friday, and Arkansas football
Haven't I suffered enough, I ask. Dear God, haven't I suffered enough?
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:26 pm to RazorBroncs
Friend,
I do not enjoy suffering, but experiencing suffering may be the first requirement for writing about its virtues. The great mystic of the last century Simone Weil understood something about affliction that I have slowly come to recognize and that is that suffering does not merely hurt us. At its worst, it humiliates our belief that we are autonomous, important, and in control. It reduces the self until there is nowhere left to stand except in dependence upon something beyond the self.
Weil called attention the beginning of love, and perhaps affliction teaches attention by force, making us look at what we would otherwise ignore. I would not choose the wounds I have received, but I am increasingly grateful for what they have made impossible for me to believe about myself. There may be crushing defeat in affliction. But for those who put their faith in God and do not waiver, affliction opens the door to finding the meaning of Christ’s suffering.
May your illness be short and may you find God’s steadfast love and faithfulness in the darkness you now face.
Yours,
TulaneLSU
I do not enjoy suffering, but experiencing suffering may be the first requirement for writing about its virtues. The great mystic of the last century Simone Weil understood something about affliction that I have slowly come to recognize and that is that suffering does not merely hurt us. At its worst, it humiliates our belief that we are autonomous, important, and in control. It reduces the self until there is nowhere left to stand except in dependence upon something beyond the self.
Weil called attention the beginning of love, and perhaps affliction teaches attention by force, making us look at what we would otherwise ignore. I would not choose the wounds I have received, but I am increasingly grateful for what they have made impossible for me to believe about myself. There may be crushing defeat in affliction. But for those who put their faith in God and do not waiver, affliction opens the door to finding the meaning of Christ’s suffering.
May your illness be short and may you find God’s steadfast love and faithfulness in the darkness you now face.
Yours,
TulaneLSU
This post was edited on 10/5/26 at 10:28 pm
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:27 pm to TulaneLSU
I never take most potential Louisiana hurricanes seriously until this thread gets stickied.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:31 pm to weagle1999
quote:
Zack
Doesn’t his wife have huge cans?
Yes. They are his personal floatation devices if NOLA floods.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:37 pm to TulaneLSU
quote:
meteoroguessologists
This term could grow on me.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:38 pm to Turnblad85
This post was edited on 10/5/26 at 10:39 pm
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:49 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Something tells me this thing will move 2 H's east and land over pensacola
Posted on 10/5/26 at 11:24 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Just keep in mind that some models are worth more than others. The data from the NHC from last season said the best performing models at 120 hours (day 5) were Google Deep Mind and the HCCA consensus aid. The GFS was dead last.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 11:31 pm to CWilken21
quote:
The GFS was dead last.
Correct. As he has iterated multiples times in this thread. It is a solution but not a likely solution (i.e. nonzero possibility, but less than 50% (else likely and unlikely have no meaning and sandpaper and hot sauce hjs reign supreme).
Posted on 10/5/26 at 11:56 pm to gaetti15
I just like the gif display he does no idea how true it will be be
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 10/6/26 at 12:18 am to OU Guy
No concern here in the Florida Peninsula. Not liking that move west. Seems like the Euro (which I typically trust the most) has a Mississippi landfall now.
Seems like it will mostly be a rain event, but the entire gulf coast is already saturated, so flooding will be a significant concern.
Seems like it will mostly be a rain event, but the entire gulf coast is already saturated, so flooding will be a significant concern.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 1:02 am to SaintsForever83
Uh, the gulf coast is not saturated, damp maybe but not saturated.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 1:07 am to TulaneLSU
quote:
meteoroguessologists
I like the term “weather guessers” or “weather soothsayers.”
Posted on 10/6/26 at 5:25 am to OU Guy
quote:
Three Spinners
Sounds like a 1950s band name.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 5:41 am to Tarps99
Hurricanes? We have bigger issues here...
Posted on 10/6/26 at 6:17 am to Deadmanshand
Baby baw getting that whole milk +
Posted on 10/6/26 at 6:20 am to Deadmanshand
Shes congested with a chest cold. All swollen
Posted on 10/6/26 at 6:33 am to TheArrogantCorndog
quote:
Something tells me this thing will move 2 H's east and land over pensacola
It is still too early to tell. I like to look at historical tracks to use as analogs to compare previous storms and their setups.
Looking back at strong El Niño years in recent years, I can’t remember a strong storm forming in that area coming up. We have had some in La Niña years like Opal in 1995 and Zeta in 2020. We even had Nate in 2017, but he formed further to the east in the Caribbean and came up to the Mississippi river before swinging east to Biloxi he was only a Cat 1 at landfall.
One storm that does come to mind is Post Tropical Cyclone Olga in 2019 that came up and gave Terrebonne Parish some heavy rains. 2019 was an El Niño year and was starting to flip in Late October.
By early this afternoon, you will start to have schools decide on High School football games on Friday and Wednesday organizations will decide if their events will happen this weekend. The saving grace is that it looks like the system should be out of here by Saturday night and into Sunday.
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