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Started By
Message
Posted on 8/11/25 at 9:49 am to rds dc
97L has become Tropical Storm Erin.
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Erin Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025
200 PM CVT Mon Aug 11 2025
...TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORMS JUST WEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 28.0W
ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 2305 MI...3710 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Erin Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025
200 PM CVT Mon Aug 11 2025
...TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORMS JUST WEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 28.0W
ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 2305 MI...3710 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

This post was edited on 8/11/25 at 10:10 am
Posted on 8/11/25 at 10:17 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Damn forecasting a major. Hopefully it turns north
Posted on 8/11/25 at 10:18 am to Mr Roboto
typically, a major that early on can burn out before US landfall
Posted on 8/11/25 at 10:20 am to Mr Roboto
quote:
Hopefully it turns
if not, looks dead eye at pass christian...
Posted on 8/11/25 at 10:24 am to DVinBR
That most western model showing landfall just SW of Galveston Bay can frick a cactus.
Posted on 8/11/25 at 11:48 am to Mr Roboto
Posted on 8/11/25 at 12:45 pm to LegendInMyMind
Accuweather's hurricane map shows it fish hooking and going away, long before FL.
Posted on 8/11/25 at 3:27 pm to Hangit
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. Western shift but still expected to hook north
Posted on 8/11/25 at 5:48 pm to Mr Roboto
Rds.. thoughts on 18z gfs? Happy hour or trending west? Looks like it struggles to intensify in the short term
Posted on 8/11/25 at 5:51 pm to Hangit
Surf's up starting on Aug 18th out here and I am off work all week

Posted on 8/11/25 at 9:03 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:
thoughts on 18z gfs? Happy hour or trending west?
It's within the current ensemble spread.
Posted on 8/12/25 at 5:06 am to rds dc
The 0z gfs has swung back to the right. So the windshield wipers are on.
Posted on 8/12/25 at 7:11 am to Mr Roboto
quote:
Western shift but still expected to hook north
Good.

Posted on 8/12/25 at 3:02 pm to UptownJoeBrown
I though this thing was supposed to turn north?

Posted on 8/12/25 at 3:14 pm to MorbidTheClown
You'll see the turn north in tomorrow's cone. Its outside of 5 days
Posted on 8/12/25 at 3:29 pm to udtiger
Haha he said north into the Landmass. This dude is trolling
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