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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 10/5/17 at 11:59 am to LSUFanHouston
Posted on 10/5/17 at 11:59 am to LSUFanHouston
ETA: calm down teachers. I recognize that you're all passionate and work hard. I will never know how hard you work. Take a chill pill and laugh at yourselves.
This post was edited on 10/5/17 at 12:01 pm
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:03 pm to SECretariat
Why is COTI being such a contrarian...
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:04 pm to longhorn22
quote:
takes that it hits us as a Cat1/2?
986 mb is a strong cat 1 usually. Probably 80-85 mph winds at the eyewall.
Don't look too much at intensity forecasts though because it's unreliable this far out
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:05 pm to rds dc
quote:
Appears to be a pretty compact system on that run, that would increase the chances of RI. The time over water before the Yucatan is big, how fast it organizes there will play a role in how fast it recovers after the Yucatan. Obviously, time over Yucatan matters as well.
Looks like the 12z HWRF just brushes the Yucatan
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:06 pm to tigerbandpiccolo
quote:
But I went to good schools where the teachers went to college to become teachers and didn't use it as a fall back career because they didn't know what else to do with their college degree.
damn woman, swinging for the fences today, huh?
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:07 pm to rds dc
12Z HWRF will be a strong western run. Bottom line is that the potential still exists for rapid intensification in the gulf.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:09 pm to Fun Bunch
Yes. It's showing potential for RI and possibly a major hurricane.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:09 pm to deltaland
quote:
Don't look too much at intensity forecasts though because it's unreliable this far out
This far out? Landfall in 48 hours?
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:09 pm to deuce985
quote:
deuce985
quote:
with Harvey. Texas got all the publicity but around Lake Charles/Lafayette they got hit hard
Lafayette didn't get dick from Harvey! Lake Charles had some flooding issues.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:09 pm to theOG
If they're heading this way, they are proper fricked, mate.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:10 pm to LSU5508
quote:
Hurricane Guys is there anything to stop this thing from continuing to shift west?
Try shooting at it
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:11 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
That's really bad right?
It would be preferable if it went right over the Yucatan.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:11 pm to deltaland
When do new models come out or run again? Thanks.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:11 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
This far out? Landfall in 48 hours?
It's because Nate is in an orgy of energy and spins that makes it really hard to nail down how strong he'll get in the Caribbean then how much he hits the Yucatan and how organized he'll be entering the gulf.
The intensity forecasting is a shitshow.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:12 pm to Zephyrius
FWIW, here's what Weather Underground has to say.


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