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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/5/17 at 11:59 am to
Posted by tigerbandpiccolo
Member since Oct 2005
49437 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 11:59 am to
I bet if logged into FB right now I would see at least 2-3 of the same.



ETA: calm down teachers. I recognize that you're all passionate and work hard. I will never know how hard you work. Take a chill pill and laugh at yourselves.
This post was edited on 10/5/17 at 12:01 pm
Posted by DownSouthCrawfish
Lift every voice and sing
Member since Oct 2011
40628 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:00 pm to
Posted by SECretariat
Member since Jun 2015
343 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:01 pm to
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:02 pm to
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
9403 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:03 pm to






Why is COTI being such a contrarian...
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100560 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

takes that it hits us as a Cat1/2?



986 mb is a strong cat 1 usually. Probably 80-85 mph winds at the eyewall.

Don't look too much at intensity forecasts though because it's unreliable this far out
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

Appears to be a pretty compact system on that run, that would increase the chances of RI. The time over water before the Yucatan is big, how fast it organizes there will play a role in how fast it recovers after the Yucatan. Obviously, time over Yucatan matters as well.


Looks like the 12z HWRF just brushes the Yucatan





Posted by Black
My own little world
Member since Jul 2009
22244 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

But I went to good schools where the teachers went to college to become teachers and didn't use it as a fall back career because they didn't know what else to do with their college degree.



damn woman, swinging for the fences today, huh?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:07 pm to
Just south of Terrebonne

Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
128032 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:07 pm to
That's really bad right?
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1935 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:07 pm to
12Z HWRF will be a strong western run. Bottom line is that the potential still exists for rapid intensification in the gulf.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:09 pm to
Yes. It's showing potential for RI and possibly a major hurricane.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36574 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

Don't look too much at intensity forecasts though because it's unreliable this far out




This far out? Landfall in 48 hours?
Posted by ThatsAFactJack
East Coast
Member since Sep 2012
1601 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

deuce985

quote:

with Harvey. Texas got all the publicity but around Lake Charles/Lafayette they got hit hard


Lafayette didn't get dick from Harvey! Lake Charles had some flooding issues.

Posted by Kcrad
Diamondhead
Member since Nov 2010
65337 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:09 pm to


If they're heading this way, they are proper fricked, mate.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100560 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Hurricane Guys is there anything to stop this thing from continuing to shift west?



Try shooting at it
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

That's really bad right?


It would be preferable if it went right over the Yucatan.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40010 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:11 pm to
When do new models come out or run again? Thanks.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

This far out? Landfall in 48 hours?


It's because Nate is in an orgy of energy and spins that makes it really hard to nail down how strong he'll get in the Caribbean then how much he hits the Yucatan and how organized he'll be entering the gulf.

The intensity forecasting is a shitshow.
Posted by Kcrad
Diamondhead
Member since Nov 2010
65337 posts
Posted on 10/5/17 at 12:12 pm to
FWIW, here's what Weather Underground has to say.



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