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Started By
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Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:09 pm
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:09 pm
This post was edited on 10/8/17 at 10:25 am
83
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:13 pm to rds dc
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:14 pm to rds dc
Sure, why not?
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:17 pm to rds dc
Some guy made a thread earlier about wanting rain in LA.
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:22 pm to AubieALUMdvm
Anyone know how punta cane looking for next week?
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:26 pm to Chad504boy
Do you mean Punta Cana? Heading there in April. All is good I hear.
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:27 pm to rds dc
Klaus Wilmsmeyer
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:29 pm to rds dc
quote:
The Euro has a broad system in the Gulf in the longer range:
Breaking: Florida says they can't play the LSU game due to safety concerns.
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:31 pm to Chad504boy
quote:Not
Anyone know how punta cane looking for next week?
Good
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:36 pm to rds dc
The WCAB has been pretty much untouched the last part of the season and OHC is off the charts. The WCAB and Gulf both could support high end storms even into October with the current setup.
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:45 pm to rds dc
the loop current right now could provide carribean water 3/4s of the way to the delta.
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:46 pm to rds dc
That synoptic set up would suggest that the system in the gulf would head north or northwest, but I thought climatologically NNE or NE is more normal for this time of year. Interesting.
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:50 pm to otowntiger
quote:
That synoptic set up would suggest that the system in the gulf would head north or northwest, but I thought climatologically NNE or NE is more normal for this time of year. Interesting.
Yea, climo is just a "rule of thumb" but ultimately storms obey the physics of synoptic scale setup.
Posted on 9/26/17 at 9:52 pm to rds dc
I'm ready
Posted on 9/26/17 at 10:06 pm to rds dc
That's a really broad system on that GFS run.
Posted on 9/26/17 at 10:09 pm to rds dc
Is that really a big swath of 150 kJ/sqcm? FUUUUCK. That's a shitload of energy available.
No shear and we get to test the theoretical limits of hurricane strength in our basin. That's the sort of potential we all want to see.
No shear and we get to test the theoretical limits of hurricane strength in our basin. That's the sort of potential we all want to see.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:45 am to rds dc
quote:yep, understood. I think I was also thinking that I recall early on in the long term model runs that this would be steered in the usual NNE/NE direction (in keeping with climo) once it entered the gulf. That set up seems to now not be materializing. Just add one more curious, unusual turn in this season. Of course things can still change and lot of things are still on the table, including more than one storm coming out of this general area.
Yea, climo is just a "rule of thumb" but ultimately storms obey the physics of synoptic scale setup.
This post was edited on 9/27/17 at 10:48 am
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:49 am to Duke
quote:
Is that really a big swath of 150 kJ/sqcm? FUUUUCK. That's a shitload of energy available. No shear and we get to test the theoretical limits of hurricane strength in our basin. That's the sort of potential we all want to see.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:57 am to otowntiger
Scary yes, but we don't really have a system that exists yet and again, the mid and upper levels would have to play nice once we do. Don't hit the panic button until we have something to panic over.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 11:21 am to Duke
Can I be the first to suggest that the models are all wrong and it's going to shift many hundreds of miles to the West?
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