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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:13 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177373 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:13 pm to
Convection blowing up like a sumbitch
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

Always, someone calling for a center relocation... Nate is mature enough of a system to prevent that from happening. Now, it wouldn't be surprising if Nate gives the appearance of slowing down at some point as the intense convection on the southern side rotates around.



Thanks for the follow up on that.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:15 pm to
quote:

Bob Breck is talking about this thing getting up to a 2 or 3




I'll have to see the context, but he consistently questioned whether Irma would make the turn and said New Orleans may be under the gun.

He's got a bad habit trying to stay in the news rather than just relaying the facts as they are.
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
16920 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

Bob Breck is talking about this thing getting up to a 2 or 3
I don't see it- Nate needs to be getting busy now and it's really not.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177373 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:16 pm to
Nate has a 31% chance of getting to 100 mph. That's getting to Gustav status.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21548 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

Now up 22 mph on last report. While I suspect the faster it moves the less time it has to organize and strengthen, but could it also go so fast that it won't start it's swing to the ME as soon as predicted?


Ceteris paribus, that seems like a possibility. I would have to go back to the model runs from earlier and look at things in more detail to make any kind of an educated guess.
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14492 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:18 pm to
I’m blown away a little that this thing will be here tomorrow night.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179055 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:19 pm to
At least he predicts
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:20 pm to
NAM is interesting...

Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
31555 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

He's got a bad habit trying to stay in the news rather than just relaying the facts as they are.

I moved to Nola in 94. Shortly after I moved here, I remember one storm less than 12 hrs from landfall in the panhandle and ol Bob was still on the news saying it still had a chance to basically take a 90 into the city. I asked around and people told me that was his MO.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177373 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:20 pm to
Yeah Nate is moving almost double what a storm through the gulf normally moves. That means normally it would be making landfall around Monday morning.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

Nate has a 31% chance of getting to 100 mph. That's getting to Gustav status.




Any link to that data? I believe you, I'd just like to read it.
Posted by dat yat
Chef Pass
Member since Jun 2011
4975 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:22 pm to
Thanks man. It looks like I have a 50% chance of water in the garage and a 10% chance of the water being higher than I raises the fridges/freezer. I kinda expected that and did the best I could with the place. Thanks.

And Geaux Tigers!
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21548 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

Convection blowing up like a sumbitch


Maxing out the scale

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:23 pm to
So the folks in the Northeast are apparently going to get smoked by Nate too. Nantucket, MA, has a greater chance of seeing hurricane force winds form Nate than New Orleans does.

LINK
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:25 pm to
quote:

Thanks man. It looks like I have a 50% chance of water in the garage and a 10% chance of the water being higher than I raises the fridges/freezer. I kinda expected that and did the best I could with the place. Thanks.

And Geaux Tigers!




Best of luck man. Check that site periodically as they update the storm surge expectations as the track/intensity change.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

At least he predicts






Touche.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

I’m blown away a little that this thing will be here tomorrow night.



You'll be blown away a lot tomorrow.

:rimshot:
Posted by JackieTreehorn
Member since Sep 2013
35576 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:28 pm to
We have Peej to offset Bob.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

We have Peej to offset Bob.

Couldn't we just get a retarded pony or something?
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