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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:29 pm to
Posted by OceanMan
Member since Mar 2010
23222 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

I’m blown away a little that this thing will be here tomorrow night.


Yeah he's trucking.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80941 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

I moved to Nola in 94. Shortly after I moved here, I remember one storm less than 12 hrs from landfall in the panhandle and ol Bob was still on the news saying it still had a chance to basically take a 90 into the city. I asked around and people told me that was his MO.



I think that was Opal.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21548 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:33 pm to
Continued signs that Nate is getting better organized with formation of an eyewall and a principal rainband?

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:35 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:36 pm to


Black dot sitting in the deep white convection. That's not a color you see very often. Super cold cloudtops popping off.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80941 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:37 pm to
quote:

Black dot sitting in the deep white convection. That's not a color you see very often. Super cold cloudtops popping off.



What does that indicate?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21548 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

Black dot sitting in the deep white convection. That's not a color you see very often. Super cold cloudtops popping off.


Nate is going off! Hopefully, fast movement and lack of a closed eyewall (for now) keeps RI off the table.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

Black dot sitting in the deep white convection. That's not a color you see very often. Super cold cloudtops popping off.



That's pretty cool, in a not really good for us kind of way.
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

Black dot sitting in the deep white convection. That's not a color you see very often. Super cold cloudtops popping off.


That good or bad? As someone from Lafourche parish, do I upvote or downvote?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:40 pm to
quote:

What does that indicate?


Super cold cloud tops, meaning storms that have shot way up into the atmosphere. Can be associated with strengthening, but it's not really a great barometer one way or the other.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:40 pm to
quote:

That good or bad? As someone from Lafourche parish, do I upvote or downvote?



You'd rather not see it, but it's not bad news by itself, if that makes sense.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:40 pm to
James Spann tweeted this. Must be accurate.

Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:42 pm to
It's not like he made the model and it's the NAM
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:43 pm to
@WxMartha
The mayor of Thibodaux has declared a curfew from 10 PM Saturday through 7 AM Sunday #Nate
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80941 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:44 pm to
Surface temps in the northern Gulf are only around 83 right now. Is that going to work in our favor? It's high enough to feed the system but I remember from the past that you need it to be 85-90 for it to be hurricane steroids.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21548 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:44 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

James Spann tweeted this. Must be accurate.





The NAM and HRRR don't do well with storm strength itself, but each have had their moments with convection in tropical systems, and they're useful for looking at total rainfall estimates and whatnot. The HRRR had some pretty impressive runs during Harvey, for example.
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:46 pm to
What year is it?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

Surface temps in the northern Gulf are only around 83 right now. Is that going to work in our favor? It's high enough to feed the system but I remember from the past that you need it to be 85-90 for it to be hurricane steroids.



You need warm water AND deep water. The run up to the coast won't really have either, but the storm will also be hauling arse, so it won't matter a ton.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80941 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

What year is it?


1993, I think. Based on the results LSU is producing on the football field.
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