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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:30 pm to
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42459 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

quote:
monster in the making: Purple n gold just for you...lol




Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:31 pm to
Wouldn't be surprised to see the next confirmed pressure actually a tick higher than 991, at least based on the last two passes.
Posted by BayouBengals18
Fort Worth
Member since Jan 2009
9843 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

I’ll try to post a few pics from down here in plaquemines if things get crazy


Pshhh... You’re 10 miles north of the floodgate.
Posted by TheMailman
Member since Jul 2017
1550 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:32 pm to
Will New Orleans get any rain from this thing
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 8:33 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177373 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:37 pm to
The cone shows Nate should be moving NW right now but it's been at a pretty good NNW clip all day.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:38 pm to
Just tuning in, What can B.R. expect? Thank
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:39 pm to
quote:

Will New Orleans get any rain from this thing




3km NAM model says, no, not really:



Anything to the west of landfall is going to be decently windy, humid, but relatively dry too.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:40 pm to
Forecast: 40-60 mph gusts
1inch rain

OT lounge: next Harvey. A monster. Run for your life
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:41 pm to
quote:

The cone shows Nate should be moving NW right now but it's been at a pretty good NNW clip all day.



It has started to move more NW in the last hour or two:



ETA - Well, it's not really a true NW in that image. You're right, it's still moving north of northwest.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 8:42 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:41 pm to
Unless the NHC and every computer model blew this forecast, BR is basically in the clear.

Rumblings about a center relocation among the nerd message boards. Resettling under the big convection SE might open the door for a little additional strengthening tonight.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102122 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:41 pm to
quote:

Will New Orleans get any rain from this thing



I intentionally did not go to the dealership to get a car cash anticipating some rain.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:43 pm to
quote:

Forecast: 40-60 mph gusts
1inch rain

OT lounge: next Harvey. A monster. Run for your life




The OT crazies, to be fair.
Posted by Slickback
Deer Stand
Member since Mar 2008
28146 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:45 pm to
I watch the news and it looks like NBD but it seems some people here are a little more worried.

I'm in Orange Beach. Guess we'll re-evaluate in the morning and make a decision.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:45 pm to
Well this is an interesting drop:



993 mb but had a wind of 61mph. Hurricane force winds slightly off the ground @ 968mb.
Posted by dat yat
Chef Pass
Member since Jun 2011
4975 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:47 pm to
I'm in venetian isles and the water is up 2' already. 3 more feet and it's in the garage level. I raized 2 fridges and a freezer up a few feet and put fishing rods and the good tools upstairs. Moved the boat and tractor to higher ground. Tomorrow I'll be at my Philipina's house in Algiers where the pumps are good.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:48 pm to
quote:

I'm in Orange Beach. Guess we'll re-evaluate in the morning and make a decision.




Orange Beach is probably going to get punched in the mouth with some shitty arse weather, surge, and winds, but it's unlikely to be anything life threatening.

Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102122 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:49 pm to
Good news is sometimes the pressure is lower than the wind speed and the storm runs into land does not catch up.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

I'm in venetian isles and the water is up 2' already. 3 more feet and it's in the garage level. I raized 2 fridges and a freezer up a few feet and put fishing rods and the good tools upstairs. Moved the boat and tractor to higher ground. Tomorrow I'll be at my Philipina's house in Algiers where the pumps are good.




NHC is saying Venetian Isles area could see surge up to 6 feet above ground level.

This storm is going to pack a bigger surge than it's wind speeds would suggest. Levi Cowan points it out in his video this evening, but there is basically going to be unbridled south winds flowing from Central America to the northern Gulf Coast. Even 40 mph winds, for that long, over that much water, will be an issue.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 8:52 pm
Posted by RingLeader
Slidell, LA
Member since Jan 2007
1110 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

I'm in venetian isles and the water is up 2' already. 3 more feet and it's in the garage level. I raized 2 fridges and a freezer up a few feet and put fishing rods and the good tools upstairs. Moved the boat and tractor to higher ground. Tomorrow I'll be at my Philipina's house in Algiers where the pumps are good.


North of you in Lakeshore/Slidell our water was up about 4' above normal early this week. Slowly dropped out 18-20" over Wednesday-Friday morning with the light north wind overnights. Now back up 6" since sun down. Starting out about 3ft above normal.
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:52 pm to
and?? Shits real up here lol
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